Sunday, July 31, 2022

Global Economic Monitor 220801

(Introduction)

[Markets]
※   U.S. stocks indexes jump 1-2%; Amazon, Chevron lead
※   S&P 500, Nasdaq post biggest monthly gains since 2020
※   Oil futures up nearly 2%; U.S. dollar index dips
※   Longer-term Treasury yields decline


[Indicators]
•   US Jun. Personal spending·income: Consumer Spending Grew Much Faster in June
※   Spending rose 1.1% as inflation accelerated, curbing purchasing power
※   France and southern Europe outperform forecasts but economists warn of darkening prospects as German GDP stalls
※   Just 10 of the 21 sectors tracked by China’s statistics bureau expanded in July, versus 13 in June
•   Japan Jun. Retail sales: Japan June retail sales rise 1.5% year/year - govt
•   India Jun. Core industry production: India's June infrastructure output grows 12.7% y/y
•   한국 주간 아파트 수급동향(부동산원): 고금리·집값 하락…서울 아파트 거래 역대 최저 행진


[News]
※   On the second day of an apparent rebound, he is still reporting no symptoms, according to the White House
※   The possibility of stopover on the island presents a dilemma for the Biden administration
※   Drone hits Russia’s Black Sea Fleet HQ; Zelensky urges residents of Ukrainian-held parts of Donbas to leave area immediately


[Opinions]
•   Project Syndicate(Mark Leonard): Ukraine’s War Viewed from China
•   Project Syndicate(Bruno Maçães): The New Geopolitics
•   Project Syndicate(Jean Pisani-Ferry): A New Test for EU Solidarity
•   FT(Katie Martin): Investors clutch at reasons to hope
•   FT(Robert Armstrong): Recession? We just don’t know yet
•   WSJ(Editorial Board): What Did Joe Manchin Get for $433 Billion?
•   WSJ(Editorial Board): China’s Economic Struggles
•   WSJ(Editorial Board): The Schumer-Manchin Tax and Subsidy Pact
•   WSJ(Editorial Board): Greens vs. Electric Vehicle Tax Credits
•   WSJ(Editorial Board): The Schumer-Manchin Tax Increase on Everyone
•   WSJ(Holman W. Jenkins, Jr.): Why Pretend Green Pork Will Stop Climate Change?
•   WSJ(Mary Anastasia O’Grady): How China Took Latin America
•   WSJ(John Berlau, Josh Rutzick): The 20-Year Experiment Holding America Back
•   WSJ(Michel Gurfinkiel): Can the ‘Rimland’ Contain China and Russia?
•   WSJ(French Hill, Amity Shlaes): The Fed Alone Can’t Slay Inflation
•   WSJ(Stuart Gottlieb): Biden’s Climate Plans Are Unsustainable
•   NYT(Farhad Manjoo): Recession? Not for Big Tech.
•   Bloomberg(Editorial Board): Europe’s Energy Plan Isn’t Nearly Ambitious Enough
•   Bloomberg(Jonathan Levin): Janet Yellen’s Legacy Is Being Eroded by Inflation
•   Bloomberg(Clive Crook): The Fed Should Get Ready for Higher Unemployment
•   Bloomberg(Tobin Harshaw): Putin, Nukes and Keeping the West Strong for Ukraine
•   Bloomberg(Matthew Brooker): Biden and Xi Are Still Hostage to a Wild Card
•   Bloomberg(Brooke Sample): Trump and His Allies Are In Control of the GOP

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