Sunday, July 17, 2022

Global Economic Monitor 220718

(Introduction)

[Markets]
※   Global markets firmer
※   Chinese economy slowed sharply in Q2
※   U.S. yields, dollar pull back after Fed officials' comments


[Indicators]
•   US Q2 Index of common inflation expectations: Fed’s Broad-Based Inflation Expectations Index
•   US May Business inventories: U.S. business inventories increase strongly in May
•   US Jun. Retail sales: U.S. Retail Sales Rose 1% in June
※   Consumers spent more across a range of goods while inflation reached new four-decade high
•   US Jun. Export·Import prices: U.S. import prices rise less than expected in June
•   US Jul. Empire State manufacturing index: New York Empire State July factory activity gauge improves, but mood darkens
※   The Chinese economy narrowly avoided a contraction in the second quarter as Beijing’s zero-Covid approach took a toll
•   한국 5월 주요 국가산업단지 산업동향: 5월 산단 가동률 0.3%P↑
•   한국 6월 수출입 컨테이너 운임: 6월 미국 동부행 수출 컨테이너 해상 운송비 1년새 두 배


[News]
※   Saudi officials temper expectations after summit between crown prince, U.S. president
※   Russia hits civilian centers and buildings across Ukraine, in what analysts say is an attempt to sour Kyiv’s appetite for war
※   Policy makers are leaning against full-point increase despite June inflation surge
※   Well more than two years into the worst pandemic in a century, the accompanying economic shock continues to assault global fortunes.
※   Division over Russia’s war in Ukraine meant a meeting of Group of 20 finance chiefs ended without the usual communique
•   Bloomberg Businessweek: Gas Crisis of the ’70s Holds Lessons for Today


[Opinions]
•   Project Syndicate(Shlomo Ben-Ami): Talking Peace in Ukraine
•   Project Syndicate(Barak Barfi): Biden’s Return to Realism in Saudi Arabia
•   FT(Editorial Board): Italy still needs Mario Draghi
•   FT(Constanze Stelzenmüller): A German gas crisis will cause jitters across Europe
•   WSJ(Editorial Board): Biden, Iran, and the Crown Prince
•   WSJ(Editorial Board): California Power Problems Hit Texas
•   WSJ(Editorial Board): Manchin’s Tax Message to Democrats
•   WSJ(Tunku Varadarajan): Sri Lanka’s Green New Deal Was a Human Disaster
•   WSJ(James Piereson): Welcome to the Full-Employment Recession
•   WSJ(Gerald F. Seib): Putin and Xi’s Bet on the Global South
•   WSJ(Michael Allen): Will the GOP Abandon Ukraine?
•   NYT(Leah C. Stokes): What Joe Manchin Cost Us
•   WP(Sebastian Mallaby): Trumpism makes the inflation fight urgent
•   Bloomberg(Jonathan Levin): Data-Dependent Fed Runs Out of Data to Change Its Mind
•   Bloomberg(Francis Wilkinson): Rising Seas Are the Next Crisis for the World’s Ports
•   Bloomberg(Stephen Mihm): Identifying Recessions Is More Art Than Science

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