Sunday, July 10, 2022

Global Economic Monitor 220711

(Introduction)

[Markets]
※   Wall Street flat after strong jobs report
※   Treasury yields tick up
※   Oil up 2% but posts weekly loss


[Indicators]
•   US May Wholesale inventories: U.S. wholesale inventories revised lower in May
•   US May Housing-affordability index: Housing-Affordability Index Drops to Lowest Level Since 2006
•   US Jun. Nonfarm payrolls: U.S. Added 372,000 Jobs in June
※   Despite strength in labor market, broader economy has been weakening in response to high inflation and rising interest rates
※   Subdued inflation means Chinese authorities can focus more on reviving the economy
•   China Jun. Car sales: China Car Sales Jump as Covid Curbs Relaxed
•   Japan May Household spending: Japan's household spending slips for third straight month
•   Japan May Current account: Japan's current account surplus down 93% in May
•   한국 6월 외국인 증권투자: 외국인, 상반기에 韓주식 20조 가까이 팔았다
•   한국 3분기 제조업 경기실사지수 전망치: 믿었던 제조업 마저…3분기 경기 '흐림'
•   한국 주간 아파트 수급동향(부동산원): 얼어붙는 서울 아파트 매수심리…수급지수 9주째 하락


[News]
※   At G-20 gathering, Ukraine’s foreign minister said Russian naval blockade has ‘shredded global chains of food supply’
※   Police arrest 41-year-old man suspected of firing two shots at former leader with crudely made gun
※   Prime Minister Fumio Kishida’s ruling coalition wins majority of seats at stake in voting two days after ex-leader’s assassination
※   Protests forced out president and prime minister and signal tough choices ahead for other countries with high debt and shortages of food and energy
※   Infections less likely to cause severe illness or death than past waves, FT analysis suggests
※   Authorities in cities across the country are rushing to fight more infectious Covid-19 strain


[Opinions]
•   Project Syndicate(Joseph E. Stiglitz, Dean Baker): Inflation Dos and Don’ts
•   Project Syndicate(Raj Persaud): The End of Boris’s Illusion
•   Project Syndicate(Barry Eichengreen): Boris Johnson Leaves Behind a Sterling Mess
•   Project Syndicate(Daniel Gros): An Inflation-Adjusted Social Contract for Europe
•   Project Syndicate(Bill Emmott): How Abe Changed Japan
•   FT(Merryn Somerset Webb): Uncomfortable echoes of the 1970s
•   FT(Philip Coggan): Markets are losing faith in central banks
•   WSJ(Editorial Board): Shinzo Abe and Japan’s Revival
•   WSJ(Editorial Board): Shinzo Abe and North Korea’s Kidnappers
•   WSJ(Andy Kessler): The Many Reasons ESG Is a Loser
•   WSJ(Mary Anastasia O’Grady): Argentina Heads for Another Crackup
•   WSJ(Fred P. Hochberg): Imports Would Give America a Boost
•   WSJ(John Greenwood, Steve H. Hanke): The Fed Ignored the Money Supply, and a Recession Is Coming
•   WSJ(Victoria Coates): The EU Gets Real About Energy Security
•   WSJ(Matt Pottinger): Shinzo Abe Invented the ‘Indo-Pacific’
•   NYT(Paul Krugman): That Was the Stagflation That Was
•   WP(Joe Biden): Why I’m going to Saudi Arabia
•   Bloomberg(Editorial Board): Be Grateful for Crypto’s Well-Timed Meltdown
•   Bloomberg(Marcus Ashworth): The ECB Needs a Formidable Tool Against Fragmentation
•   Bloomberg(Clara Ferreira Marques): How To Be a Modern Autocrat
•   Bloomberg(Pankaj Mishra): Ukraine Shouldn’t Overplay Its Hand With Allies
•   Bloomberg(Stephen Mihm): Inflation Is Raging Because Globalization Is Fading
•   MarketWatch(Shihoko Goto): Shinzo Abe wanted to be the next Margaret Thatcher

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