Tuesday, January 31, 2023

Global Economic Monitor 230201

(Introduction)

[Markets]
※   U.S. Federal Reserve policy decision awaited
※   ECB, BoE policy announcements due Thursday
※   MSCI index set for biggest January pct gain since 2019
※   U.S. labor costs growth slows in Q4


[Indicators]
•   US Nov. Case–Shiller home price: Home Prices Fell in November for Fifth Straight Month
※   Mild weather and government support help region offset energy price rises triggered by Ukraine war
•   Eurozone Q4 Housing loans: Eurozone mortgage demand falls at record pace
※   Manufacturing returns to expansion territory but falls short of expectations
•   Japan Dec. Industrial production: Japan Output Inches Down as Global Slowdown Tempers Rebound


[World]
※   International lender sees much less chance of recession, though war in Ukraine still poses risks


[Korea]


[Opinions]
•   Project Syndicate(Kenneth Rogoff): Too Soon for Global Optimism
•   Project Syndicate(Takatoshi Ito): Japan’s Fiscal Dilemma
•   Project Syndicate(Willem H. Buiter): Eliminate the Debt Ceiling
•   WSJ(Editorial Board): The State Tax-Cut Movement
•   WSJ(Judy Shelton): Paul Volcker’s Recipe for Prosperity
•   WSJ(Simone Gao): Why China Will Never Lead on Tech
•   Bloomberg(Editorial Board): Big Banks Need to Be Resilient, Not Eliminated
•   Bloomberg(Daniel Moss, Gearoid Reidy): Superheroes Need Not Apply for BOJ’s Top Job
•   Bloomberg(David Fickling): How Europe Dodged a Factory Crisis
•   Bloomberg(Brooke Sutherland): What Recession? Manufacturers Still Plan to Spend Big
•   Bloomberg(Jessica Kar): The Economists Have Failed Us
•   조선비즈(방재혁): 아쉬울 때만 찾는 이재명의 소통 행보

Monday, January 30, 2023

Global Economic Monitor 230131

(Introduction)

[Markets]
※   Fed seen hiking 25 bps, ECB and BOE by 50 bps
※   Megacap stocks lead earnings results this week
※   MSCI index on track for biggest January pct gain since 2019


[Indicators]


[World]


[Korea]


[Opinions]
•   Project Syndicate(Andrew Sheng, Xiao Geng): Everyone Loses in a Fractured World
•   Project Syndicate(Josef Joffe): The German Lamb Is Learning to Howl
•   Project Syndicate(Lucrezia Reichlin): Central Banks Should Slow Down
•   WSJ(Editorial Board): Biden’s Green-Energy Mineral Lockup
•   Bloomberg(John Authers): Dumb, Dumber and Leading Economic Indicators
•   Bloomberg(John Authers): Crash Test This Week for Market Versus Real World
•   Bloomberg(Clara Ferreira Marques): A Mining Boom — But Without the Waste to Match?
•   Bloomberg(Kathryn A. Edwards): When Will US Workers Get Paid Leave? Try 2035
•   Bloomberg(Philip Cornell, Eugene A. Ludwig): Economists Have Failed Middle-Class Americans
•   서경(김현수): 은행, 주말 영업을 늘려라