Tuesday, February 28, 2023

Global Economic Monitor 230301

(Introduction)

[Markets]
※   Wall Street, global stocks decline
※   Treasury yields, dollar edge up
※   Oil advances more than 1.5%


[Indicators]
•   US Dec. Case–Shiller home price: Home-Price Growth Slowed in 2022
•   US Feb. Consumer confidence: US Consumer Confidence Drops on More Pessimistic Outlook


[World]
※   $53 billion plan, a mix of subsidies and conditions, will be a test of U.S. industrial policy


[Korea]


[Opinions]
•   Project Syndicate(Håvard Halland, Jessica Lovering): Development Banks Must Embrace Nuclear Energy
•   Project Syndicate(Ricardo Hausmann): The Left’s Capital Punishment
•   WSJ(Editorial Board): The ‘Not a Consensus’ Wuhan Covid Dodge
•   WSJ(James Freeman): The Red State Exodus
•   WSJ(Walter Russell Mead): War in the Middle East Is Closer Than You Think
•   WSJ(William A. Galston): Time Is on Russia’s Side, Not Ukraine’s
•   NYT(Paul Krugman): How Not to Panic About Social Security

Monday, February 27, 2023

Global Economic Monitor 230228

(Introduction)

[Markets]
※   Stocks edge up, bond yields retreat
※   Dollar pulls back after biggest weekly rally since September
※   Higher peak seen for Fed rates
※   Positive U.S. manufacturing, home sales data


[Indicators]
•   US Jan. Pending home sales: US Pending Home Sales Surge 8.1%, Most Since June 2020
•   Eurozone Feb. Economic sentiment: Euro-Area Confidence Unexpectedly Slows on Industry, Services


[World]
※   Rishi Sunak hails ‘new chapter’ in relationship with Brussels after meeting European Commission president
※   Remarks signal borrowing costs set to remain higher for longer than investors are pricing in


[Korea]


[Opinions]
•   Project Syndicate(Paul De Grauwe, Yuemei Ji): Tame Inflation Without Subsidizing Banks
•   Project Syndicate(Werner Hoyer): What Europe’s Economy Needs Now
•   Project Syndicate(Andrew Sheng, Xiao Geng): A Social-Enterprise Development Model
•   Project Syndicate(Stephen S. Roach): Sleepwalking Toward Accidental Conflict
•   NYT(Janet Yellen): Economic Aid to Ukraine Is Vital
•   Bloomberg(Therese Raphael): Finally, a Happy Chapter in the Post-Brexit Era

Sunday, February 26, 2023

Global Economic Monitor 230227

(Introduction)

[Markets]
※   Wall Street indexes close lower
※   Consumer spending rises, inflation heats up
※   Benchmark 10-year yields edge higher
※   Crude oil rises 1%
※   U.S. dollar surges, gold drops


[Indicators]
•   US Jan. Personal spending·income: Inflation Firmed, Consumer Spending Jumped in January
※   Data could lead Federal Reserve to raise interest rates for longer


[World]
※   U.S. agency’s revised assessment is based on new intelligence
※   Mester says data shows Fed needs to do ‘a little more’


[Korea]
•   비금융사: 슈거플레이션 덮쳤다
•   비금융사: 너무 다른 韓·日 車 노조


[Opinions]
•   Project Syndicate(이근): Will the New Industrial Policy Work?
•   Project Syndicate(Jeffrey Frankel): The Crusade to Ban ESG Makes No Sense
•   FT(Jonathan Wheatley): China’s foreign loans are becoming a US burden
•   FT(Brendan Greeley): The Fed needs more administrators
•   WSJ(Editorial Board): Battle of the Inflation Bulge
•   WSJ(Editorial Board): China’s Ukraine Peace Gambit
•   WSJ(Editorial Board): A Bigger Subsidy for Risky Mortgages
•   WSJ(Editorial Board): The FTC’s Antitrust Collusion
•   WSJ(Editorial Board): Abrams Tanks May Never Reach Ukraine
•   WSJ(Editorial Board): Another Turn in the Covid Lab-Leak Story
•   WSJ(Henry Kissinger, Eric Schmidt, Daniel Huttenlocher): ChatGPT Heralds an Intellectual Revolution
•   WSJ(Andy Kessler): How ChatGPT’s AI Will Become Useful
•   Bloomberg(Gearoid Reidy, Daniel Moss): The New BOJ Governor Is ‘Team Transitory.’ Get Used To It
•   Bloomberg(Shuli Ren): China Has a Debt Ceiling Problem of Its Own
•   Bloomberg(Clara Ferreira Marques, David Fickling): The Year That Redrew the Energy Map
•   Bloomberg(Jessica Karl): America's Massive Debt Pile Is a Cry For Help