Thursday, September 29, 2022

Global Economic Monitor 220930

(Introduction)

[Markets]
※   S&P 500 index touches nearly two-year lows
※   Airlines, cruises fall on cancellations due to Hurricane Ian
※   CarMax slumps after missing second-quarter expectations
※   Indexes end: S&P 500 -2.11%, Nasdaq -2.84%, Dow -1.54%


[Indicators]
•   US Weekly Jobless claims: U.S. Jobless Claims Hit Lowest Level in Five Months
•   US Weekly Mortgage rates(Freddie Mac): Mortgage Rates Rise to 6.7%, Highest Since 2007
•   Eurozone Sep. Economic sentiment: Euro-Area Economic Confidence at Lowest Since 2020 Amid Gas Woes
※   September figure of 10.9% comes as institutes outline how gas shortages could hit growth in 2023
•   India Jun. External debt: India's external debt up 7.3 per cent in June


[World]
※   Moscow, failing to reverse Ukrainian gains on the battlefield, continues to target civilian infrastructure
※   Chancellor unveils ‘protective shield’ to force gas and electricity prices down for businesses and consumers
※   Labor shortages, transportation logistics seen causing issues


[Korea]


[Opinions]
•   Project Syndicate(Dina Khapaeva): Putin’s New Nuclear Blackmail
•   Project Syndicate(Chris Patten): The Faith-Based Reaganomics of Liz Truss
•   Project Syndicate(Andre Pagliarini): Bolsonarismo After Bolsonaro
•   Project Syndicate(Jim O’Neill): Pound Foolishness
•   Project Syndicate(Ian Buruma): Hide the Swastikas
•   Project Syndicate(Gautam Nair, Federico Sturzenegger): The US Inflation Bonanza for Sovereign Debtors
•   FT(Editorial Board): Brazil’s imperfect presidential election
•   FT(Chris Giles): Economic orthodoxy bites back
•   FT(Robin Wigglesworth): Lessons from the UK pension fund shock
•   FT(Robert Armstrong): Learning to love the long end, part 2
•   FT(Steven Kelly ): Sympathy for the Dimon
•   FT(Javier Espinoza): Brussels re-energised for Big Tech battles
•   WSJ(Editorial Board): The First Central Bank Casualty
•   WSJ(Editorial Board): America’s Pacific Island Comeback
•   WSJ(Vivek Ramaswamy): ESG and the ‘Long-Run Interests’ Dodge
•   WSJ(Chris Miller): Why Russia Lacks ‘Smart’ Weapons
•   NYT(Paul Krugman): Is the Fed Braking Too Hard?
•   WP(Mike Mullen, Sam Nunn, Ernest J. Moniz): What Xi must tell Putin now
•   Bloomberg(Editorial Board): As Crisis Mounts, Liz Truss Needs to Show Competence
•   Bloomberg(John Authers): The UK Cannot Afford to Look This Ridiculous
•   Bloomberg(Mark Gilbert): Bond Markets Are Nearing a Painful Inflection Point
•   Reuters(John Kemp): U.S. gas exports squeeze domestic supply
•   한경(안세영): WTO 체제 자유무역의 종언
•   파이낸셜뉴스(이재연): 금융회사 자체 채무조정을 기대하며
•   디지털타임스(최광해): 부동산정책을 정상화하자

Wednesday, September 28, 2022

Global Economic Monitor 220929

(Introduction)

[Markets]
※   U.S. stocks rebound 2% after hitting new lows on Tuesday
※   UK gilts roar higher as Bank of England intervenes
※   U.S. dollar pauses record gains as UK pound stabilizes
※   Oil prices jump on drops in supply, weaker dollar
※   Gold up around 2%


[Indicators]
•   US Aug. Goods trade balance: US Goods-Trade Gap Narrows to Smallest Since October 2021
•   US Weekly Mortgage rates·applications(MBA): Mortgage refinancing drops to a 22-year low as interest rates surge even higher


[World]
※   The weather event has maximum sustained winds of up to 150 miles an hour that extend out 175 miles and a potential 18-foot-high storm surge
※   Punitive measures to include a ban on EU individuals serving on boards of state-owned enterprises
※   Central bank to spend £5bn a day for 13 days as it warns of ‘material risk to UK financial stability’
※   Company had hoped to see new devices trigger sales spurt


[Korea]
※   보도자료: 거시경제금융회의 개최


[Opinions]
•   Project Syndicate(Mohamed A. El-Erian): The Cost of the Fed’s Challenged Credibility
•   Project Syndicate(Gernot Wagner, Tom Brookes): The High Stakes of Climate-Risk Accounting
•   Project Syndicate(Takatoshi Ito): The Challenge of Monetary Tightening
•   Project Syndicate(Jan-Werner Mueller): Why Populists Don’t Concede
•   FT(Robert Armstrong): Are we nearly there yet, Jerome?
•   WSJ(Editorial Board): Bostic Belly Flops on British Tax Cuts
•   WSJ(Jay Starkman): Stop Me Before I Spend Again
•   Bloomberg(David Fickling): Peak Oil Has Finally Arrived. No, Really
•   Bloomberg(Clara Ferreira Marques): Brazil Election: Will Bolsonaro Really Leave If He Loses?