Tuesday, May 31, 2022

Global Economic Monitor 220601

(Introduction)

[Markets]


[Indicators]
•   Eurozone May CPI: Eurozone inflation hits record 8.1%
※   Higher than expected price rises pile pressure on ECB to speed up rate increases
※   Manufacturing PMI rises to 49.6, contracting at slower pace
•   Japan Apr. Industrial production: Japan's April factory output slumped amid China lockdowns
※   The South Asian nation reported GDP growth of 4.1% for the fourth quarter; rising food prices are restraining consumer spending
•   India Apr. Core industry production: Core sector output in April shows robust growth of 8.4%
•   India FY2022 Fiscal account: FY22 fiscal deficit at 6.7% Vs revised estimate of 6.9%
•   한국 2021년 국가채무: 국가채무 939조원…1년새 120조원 늘었다
•   한국 4월 금융기관 가중평균금리: 8년 만에 처음 보는 금리…가계대출 금리 4% 넘었다


[News]
※   The advanced rocket system would double Ukraine’s strike range
※   President affirms ‘laser focus on addressing inflation’ while letting central bank do its work
※   Western sanctions have begun to take a toll on Moscow’s petroleum output
※   After two months of lockdowns, China’s financial capital attempts return to normalcy
※   EU leaders agree ban on country’s seaborne oil while granting temporary exemption for pipeline imports to help landlocked states


[Opinions]
•   Project Syndicate(Michael Spence): The Global Economy in Transition
•   Project Syndicate(Simon Johnson): Europe Can Stop Russia’s Aggression Now
•   Project Syndicate(Jason Furman): Will US Consumers Keep Spending?
•   Project Syndicate(Joseph E. Stiglitz): Getting Deglobalization Right
•   Project Syndicate(Harold James): What If Ukraine Is a Forever Crisis?
•   Project Syndicate(Mauricio Cárdenas): Colombia’s Battle of Populisms
•   FT(Janan Ganesh): The hour of Europe has still not arrived
•   NYT(Thomas L. Friedman): I Thought Putin Invaded Only Ukraine. I Was Wrong.
•   NYT(David Wallace-Wells): How Putin Has Played His Energy Cards
•   Bloomberg(Therese Raphael, Sam Fazeli): Mixing AstraZeneca and Pfizer Vaccine Doses Means Better Omicron Immunity
•   Bloomberg(Clara Ferreira Marques, David Fickling): Europe’s Partial Russian Oil Ban Is Flawed, But Necessary
•   Bloomberg(Matt Levine): Russia Has Some Dollars Somewhere
•   Bloomberg(Allison Schrager): The Virtue Bubble Is About to Burst. Good Riddance.

Monday, May 30, 2022

Global Economic Monitor 220531

(Introduction)

[Markets]
※   Oil prices hit their highest in over two months


[Indicators]
•   Germany May CPI: German inflation hits an all-time high


[News]
※   Governor Christopher Waller says he doesn’t favor stepping back from half-percentage-point rate rises until clear evidence of inflation slowdown
※   Fiji summit ends without comprehensive accord amid concerns that proposal could give Beijing too much regional sway
※   Agreement to include temporary exemption for supplies via pipeline to bring Hungary on board
※   Philip Lane rebuffs hawkish calls for swifter normalisation of monetary policy as German inflation hits record 8.7%
※   산업연구원: 2022년 하반기 경제산업전망


[Opinions]
•   Project Syndicate(Hans-Werner Sinn): How Global Food Crises Work
•   Project Syndicate(Jean Pisani-Ferry): The Eurozone’s Unusual Policy Playbook
•   Project Syndicate(Mark Leonard): The Decline and Fall of Davos Man
•   Project Syndicate(Kaushik Basu): Global Shortages Demand Global Solutions
•   Project Syndicate(Nikki Reisch, Lili Fuhr): Dismantling the Fossil-Fuel Economy at Stockholm+50
•   FT(Gideon Rachman): The west must hold its nerve on Ukraine
•   WSJ(Joseph R. Biden Jr.): My Plan for Fighting Inflation
※   I won’t meddle with the Fed, but I will tackle high prices while guiding the economy’s transition to stable and steady growth.
•   WSJ(Editorial Board): Biden’s Ukraine Ambivalence
•   WSJ(Editorial Board): Colombia Tilts Toward Trouble
•   WSJ(Editorial Board): Germany’s New Defense Deal
•   WSJ(Walter Russell Mead): Blinken’s Indo-Pacific Blueprint
•   NYT(Zachary Karabell): Russia or China? The U.S. Has a Choice to Make.
•   Bloomberg(Lionel Laurent): When Crypto's Tulipmania Meets The Real Economy
•   Bloomberg(Mark Gilbert): Crypto Needs to Be Separated from the Real Economy