Monday, October 3, 2022

Global Economic Monitor 221004

(Introduction)

[Markets]
※   U.S. stocks close up over 2% after September selloff
※   Oil surges over 4% on reduced supply outlook
※   Treasury yields slip


[Indicators]
※   JPMorgan gauge declined to 49.8 in September from 50.3
•   Japan Q3 Tankan index: Japan's business mood darkened in Q3: BOJ survey


[World]
※   The new gains come as Kyiv presses its offensive in the east after taking Lyman back from Russian forces
※   A U.N. agency warns that further policy tightening risks a global economic downturn
※   ‘Tighter monetary policy has begun to cool demand and reduce inflationary pressures, but our job is not yet done,’ said New York Fed President John Williams
※   Polls underestimated first-round support for the incumbent, who will face leftist rival Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in a runoff
※   Investors and analysts call on the Swiss bank to move faster with cost savings, fresh investor capital
※   The new rules could be the most sweeping action taken yet by the Biden administration to thwart China’s access to American technology that powers data centers and supercomputers.
※   Kwarteng and Liz Truss, the prime minister, agreed to abandon the plan to axe the top rate of tax late on Sunday night


[Korea]
※   KB경영연구소: 2022 한국 1인가구 보고서


[Opinions]
•   Project Syndicate(Nouriel Roubini): The Stagflationary Debt Crisis Is Here
•   Project Syndicate(Simon Johnson): Putin Escalates, Europe Hesitates
•   Project Syndicate(Joschka Fischer): The Cold War Is Back
•   Project Syndicate(Mohamed A. El-Erian): A Shocking Ten Days for the UK
•   Project Syndicate(Jean Pisani-Ferry, Daniela Schwarzer): How to Build the European Political Community
•   FT(Editorial Board): Truss and Kwarteng’s embarrassing U-turn
•   FT(Robert Armstrong): Japan’s unique position
•   WSJ(Editorial Board): The Tories Are for Turning on Taxes
•   WSJ(Editorial Board): OPEC’s October Oil Surprise
•   WSJ(Walter Russell Mead): Putin’s Nuclear Threat Is Real
•   WSJ(Mary Anastasia O’Grady): Populism Wins Brazil’s Election
•   Bloomberg(Editorial Board): The World’s Most Important Market Needs Some Work
•   Bloomberg(Stuart Trow, Marcus Ashworth): Welcome to the Scary, New Inflationary World
•   Bloomberg(Clara Ferreira Marques): With Bolsonaro Down and Not Out, Buckle Up
•   머니투데이(김세관): 카드수수료와 車보험, 그리고 첫 단추

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