Sunday, October 2, 2022

Global Economic Monitor 221003

(Introduction)

[Markets]
※   More pain for stocks; S&P500 down nearly 5% in Q3
※   Dollar flat, sterling rises after week of turmoil
※   Treasury yields tick up, stay near highs for year
※   Oil prices retreat


[Indicators]
•   US Sep. Personal spending·income: U.S. Consumers Boosted August Spending as High Inflation Spread
※   Households have maintained spending power despite a slowdown of the U.S. economy
※   Pace of consumer-price gains remained near a four-decade high, according to the Fed’s preferred measure
※   September’s double-digit figure bolsters calls for more big rate rises from ECB to slow price growth
※   Slowing exports, Covid-19 lockdowns prompt many economists to slash China growth forecasts for 2022 and 2023
•   Japan Aug. Industrial production: Japan's August industrial output rises 2.7% on month
•   India Aug. Core industry production: Core sector growth slows to 3.3 pc in August; lowest in nine months
•   India Aug. Fiscal account: India's April-August fiscal deficit at $66.56 billion


[World]
※   President Vladimir Putin is poised to ring in national celebrations of Russia’s expansion
※   President Volodymyr Zelensky says eastern city now ‘cleared completely’ of Russian troops, in another victory for Kyiv
※   Policy maker says officials are monitoring financial-market turbulence as global interest rates rise rapidly
※   Group to consider reducing output by 1 million barrels a day, as economic slowdown hurts demand
※   Agency cited ‘additional risks’ in lending to the country following Kwasi Kwarteng’s mini-Budget


[Korea]


[Opinions]
•   Project Syndicate(Ricardo Hausmann): Development, Decarbonization, and Dumb Landowners
•   Project Syndicate(Anne-Marie Slaughter): No Security Without Climate Security
•   Project Syndicate(J. Bradford DeLong): When the Fed Stops Trying
•   Project Syndicate(J. Bradford DeLong): Britain Is Not an Emerging Market – Yet
•   Project Syndicate(Izabella Teixeira, Ana Toni, Laurence Tubiana): The Populist Climate Threat
•   Project Syndicate(Hans-Werner Sinn): The ECB Has Been Driving EU Inflation
•   FT(Editorial Board): Vladimir Putin unleashes a new phase of war
•   FT(Katie Martin): Kwarteng crashes the bond market love-in
•   FT(Robert Armstrong): Five lessons from Britain’s bad week
•   FT(Tim Harford): Liz Truss’s growth delusion
•   WSJ(Editorial Board): The Bad Inflation News Continues
•   WSJ(Editorial Board): Biden’s Student Loan Admission
•   WSJ(Editorial Board): What Really Went Wrong in Britain
•   WSJ(Editorial Board): The Democratic Stock Trading Ban
•   WSJ(Editorial Board): Will Brazil Go Back to the Left?
•   WSJ(Holman W. Jenkins, Jr.): Liz Truss Is a Human Sacrifice to the Inflation Fires
•   WSJ(Andriy Yermak, Anders Fogh Rasmussen): Ukraine Needs More Security Guarantees
•   WSJ(Heidi Heitkamp): You Can’t Eat Without Natural Gas
•   WSJ(Jeb Hensarling): GOP Needs to Leave Trump Behind on Trade
•   NYT(Thomas L. Friedman): Putin Is Trying to Outcrazy the West
•   NYT(Alexander Baunov): Putin Just Told Us What He’s Planning
•   NYT(Maureen Dowd): Vladimir Putin’s ‘Medea’
•   Bloomberg(Editorial Board): Giorgia Meloni Has a Mandate But Little Time
•   Bloomberg(Allison Schrager): Hardly a Surprise: Pension Funds Stoked the UK Rout
•   Bloomberg(Jonathan Levin): Corporate Bond Doomsayers Are a Little Premature
•   Bloomberg(Jonathan Bernstein): Another Absurd Debt Ceiling Fight? Enough Is Enough
•   Bloomberg(Adam Minter): Throwing Shade Is Solar Energy's New Superpower
•   Bloomberg(Jessica Karl): The UK’s Total Nightmare of a Week Makes History
•   한경(최기련): 올겨울 에너지 패권은 어디로
•   한경(김주완): 국감 핵심 타깃이 된 스타트업
•   한경(김인엽): "우리가 IRA 어찌 알겠나"라더니

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