Monday, October 31, 2022

Global Economic Monitor 221101

(Introduction)

[Markets]
※   Apple falls after report of iPhone production slump
※   Global Payments down on weak forecast
※   Dow scores biggest monthly percentage gain in decades
※   Dow down 0.39%, S&P 500 down 0.75%, Nasdaq down 1.03%


[Indicators]
•   US Oct. Dallas Fed manufacturing Index: Texas Factory Activity Declined in October for Sixth Straight Month
•   Eurozone Oct. CPI, Q3 GDP: Eurozone inflation hits record high of 10.7%
※   October figure puts ECB under pressure to continue raising interest rates despite slowdown
※   Falling global demand for Chinese exports adds to gloomy outlook for world’s second-largest economy
•   Japan Sep. Industrial production: Japan's September factory output posts first fall in 4 months
•   India Sep. Core industry production: Core sector output grows 7.9% in September


[World]
※   Prices for wheat and corn trade higher as future of deal remains unclear. ‘The food must flow.’


[Korea]


[Opinions]
•   Project Syndicate(Kenneth Rogoff): China’s Diminishing Returns
•   Project Syndicate(Chris Bradley): The Cusp of a New Era?
•   Project Syndicate(Camila Villard Duran): Bolsonarism After Bolsonaro
•   Project Syndicate(Andrés Velasco): Early to Hike, Early to Thrive?
•   FT(Robert Armstrong): How to be bullish
•   WSJ(Editorial Board): The Return of Lula in Brazil
•   WSJ(James Freeman): Communist Covid Lockdowns and Labs
•   WSJ(Walter Russell Mead): The High Cost of Low American Military Spending
•   WSJ(Eric J. Pan): The SEC’s Rules Are Getting Unreal
•   Bloomberg(Mohamed A. El-Erian): The Fed Should Think in Terms of a Trilemma
•   Bloomberg(Anjani Trivedi): The US Just Can’t Match China’s Industrial Heft

Sunday, October 30, 2022

Global Economic Monitor 221031

(Introduction)

[Markets]
※   Wall Street, global shares advance
※   Bond market yields creep up after large weekly drop
※   Oil prices drop on China demand worries


[Indicators]
※   Households slowed their rate of saving, Commerce Department report shows
※   The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation measure showed that price gains remained fast in September, and a gauge of wages it watches closely is climbing quickly.
•   Eurozone Oct. Economic sentiment: Eurozone Economic Sentiment Continues Its Steep Decline
※   Resilience of largest EU economy marred by price jumps elsewhere in the eurozone


[World]
※   Moscow cites attack on occupied Black Sea city of Sevastopol
※   Lula had 50.5% of the votes to Bolsonaro’s 49.5% with 90% of ballots tallied


[Korea]
•   과학기술자문회의: 尹 "연구기관 블라인드채용 폐지"


[Opinions]
•   Project Syndicate(Daron Acemoglu): China’s Economy Is Rotting from the Head
•   Project Syndicate(Aziz Durrani): Resetting Southeast Asia’s Climate Agenda
•   Project Syndicate(Arvind Subramanian): The Case for Structural Financial Deglobalization
•   Project Syndicate(Morten Svendstorp): The West Needs an Energy and Resource Alliance
•   FT(Editorial Board): The tricky balancing act for central banks
•   FT(David Sheppard): Is Europe winning the gas war with Russia?
•   WSJ(Editorial Board): A Recession Reprieve, for Now
•   WSJ(Editorial Board): An Energy Education for Democrats
•   WSJ(Editorial Board): Russia Resumes Its Food Blockade
•   WSJ(Editorial Board): Rishi Sunak Won’t Allow Fracking
•   WSJ(Alan S. Blinder): Why a 2023 Recession May Be Mild
•   WSJ(Andy Kessler): The Deadly ‘De-Growth’ Craze
•   Bloomberg(Daniel Moss, Gearoid Reidy): Kuroda Can’t Get to Yes. Should He Even Try?
•   Bloomberg(John Authers): Wile E. Coyote Moment as Tech Goes Off the Cliff
•   Bloomberg(Javier Blas): America's Missing Oil Barrels
•   Bloomberg(Clara Ferreira Marques): Brazil Gets the Election Finale It Didn’t Need
•   Bloomberg(Tim Culpan): Tech’s Terrible Week, in 10 Charts
•   Bloomberg(Gearoid Reidy): Yen Weakness Highlights Japan's Very Low Wages
•   한경(신관호): 영국 금융시장 혼란의 교훈