Sunday, March 27, 2022

Global Economic Monitor 220328

(Introduction)

[Markets]
※   Stocks muted as tech gives up some gains
※   U.S. Treasury yields near three-year peak
※   Oil prices reverse, add to recent highs
※   Safe-haven gold dips


[Indicators]
•   Germany Mar. Ifo business climate: War in Ukraine causes German business morale to collapse
•   China Jan-Feb. Industrial profits: China’s Industrial Profits Accelerate 5% in First Two Months
•   한국 주간 주택시장 동향(KB): 서울 아파트 매수 살아나


[News]
※   High casualties and stiff resistance prompt a shift by Moscow, while Biden visits Poland, signaling U.S. support for Ukraine
※   Efforts to reduce Europe’s dependence on Russian energy is a central topic at talks between Biden, EU leaders
※   President’s ‘cannot remain in power’ remark regarding Moscow’s leader could test NATO unity
※   The White House will propose a 20% minimum tax on the income and rising asset values of households worth more than $100 million
※   Federal Reserve Bank of New York leader says rate decisions to depend on performance, expected performance of economy at time of FOMC meetings
※   Decision comes day after officials denied Covid-19 lockdown plans, amid a rise in mostly asymptomatic cases
※   Russia-backed region signals possible referendum


[Opinions]
•   Project Syndicate(J. Bradford DeLong): America's Macroeconomic Outlook
•   Project Syndicate(Todd G. Buchholz, Michael Mindlin): Fight Inflation with Supply-Side Labor Reform
•   Project Syndicate(Slavoj Žižek): From Cold War to Hot Peace
•   Project Syndicate(Takatoshi Ito): East Asian Security After Ukraine
•   Project Syndicate(Andrew Sheng, Xiao Geng): The Ukraine War Is Reshaping Development
•   FT(Editorial Board): A bad month for Trumpism, if not Trump
•   FT(Editorial Board): The EU tries to loosen Big Tech’s grip
•   FT(Editorial Board): The west’s agonising choices on Ukraine
•   FT(Edward Luce): Biden’s inconvenient truth on Putin
•   FT(Stefan Wagstyl): Farm commodities — gamble or hedge?
•   WSJ(Editorial Board): Meanwhile, Watch China in the Pacific
•   WSJ(Editorial Board): Bernie Sanders Loves a Ukraine War Tax
•   WSJ(Holman W. Jenkins, Jr.): Measuring Out Putin’s Defeat in Ukraine
•   WSJ(Andy Kessler): Ukraine’s Asymmetric War
•   WSJ(illian Kay Melchior): Lviv Prepares for Russia’s Worst
•   WSJ(George E. Bogden): How Bill Clinton Sealed Ukraine’s Fate
•   WSJ(Melik Kaylan): Why Won’t We Call Putin a Colonialist?
•   WSJ(Thomas D. Grant): Beware a Phony Peace in Ukraine
•   WSJ(Dan Blumenthal): Beijing Gains From the Ukraine Invasion
•   NYT(Paul Krugman): How High Inflation Will Come Down
•   NYT(Paul Krugman): Wonking Out: To Shale and Back, Redux
•   NYT(Karolina Wigura, Jaroslaw Kuisz): Russia’s Neighbors Are Worried They’ll Be Next
•   WP(Daniel W. Drezner): Why did deterrence fail in Ukraine?
•   Bloomberg(Editorial Board): The U.S. Needs to Take a Chance on Trade With Asia
•   Bloomberg(Matthew A. Winkler): You Say the Fed Is Behind the Curve? Prove It
•   Bloomberg(Matthew Yglesias): iden Should Tax the Rich to Shrink the Deficit
•   Bloomberg(John Micklethwait, Adrian Wooldridge): Putin and Xi Exposed the Great Illusion of Capitalism
•   Fox News(Mike Garcia): Time is running out to deter China
•   Fox News(Dan Sullivan , Mike Gallagher): Ukraine war offers vital lessons on deterring China from invading Taiwan

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