Tuesday, October 4, 2022

Global Economic Monitor 221005

(Introduction)

[Markets]
※   Investors start to mull central bank 'pivot' on rates
※   Dollar falls for fifth day
※   Gold hits 3-week high


[Indicators]
※   Openings fell by 10% in sign that the labor market is starting to cool
•   India Sep. Balance of trade: Exports shrink in September, trade deficit widens


[World]
※   Western officials say they haven’t seen any activities out of the norm or causing concern from Russia’s nuclear forces
※   Diplomats advance work on cap, but will wait to seek approval from the bloc as some member nations are hesitant
※   Governor Philip Jefferson says he remains concerned that consumers will expect higher prices to persist
※   An agreement would allow the social-media company and the billionaire to avert a high-stakes trial that was set to start soon
※   Riyadh and Moscow seek reductions at crucial Opec+ meeting that would push prices higher


[Korea]
•   산자위(정운천): 국감장서 골프 약속잡는 의원


[Opinions]
•   Project Syndicate(Joseph S. Nye): What Caused the Ukraine War?
•   Project Syndicate(Daron Acemoglu): Why Businesses Misbehave
•   Project Syndicate(J. Bradford DeLong): J. Bradford DeLong Says More…
•   Project Syndicate(Amin Saikal): Back to the Brink in Iran
•   Project Syndicate(Charles Tannock): Xi Jinping’s Radioactive Friend
•   Project Syndicate(Jason Furman): The Trussonomics Warning
•   Project Syndicate(Nina L. Khrushcheva): The Kremlin’s Suicidal Imperialism
•   FT(Robert Armstrong): You will not see the next crisis coming
•   FT(Eric Lonergan): The volatility virus strikes again
•   Bloomberg(Gary Shilling): The US Labor Market Is Looser Than It Appears
•   Bloomberg(Karl W. Smith): Biden Is Failing Homeowners in Inflation Fight
•   Bloomberg(Clara Ferreira Marques): Europe Is Exporting Its Energy Crisis
•   중앙(박정민): 치솟은 금리에 억눌린 사람들
•   헤럴드경제(심교언): 재건축부담금 완화와 도심주택공급 확대

Monday, October 3, 2022

Global Economic Monitor 221004

(Introduction)

[Markets]
※   U.S. stocks close up over 2% after September selloff
※   Oil surges over 4% on reduced supply outlook
※   Treasury yields slip


[Indicators]
※   JPMorgan gauge declined to 49.8 in September from 50.3
•   Japan Q3 Tankan index: Japan's business mood darkened in Q3: BOJ survey


[World]
※   The new gains come as Kyiv presses its offensive in the east after taking Lyman back from Russian forces
※   A U.N. agency warns that further policy tightening risks a global economic downturn
※   ‘Tighter monetary policy has begun to cool demand and reduce inflationary pressures, but our job is not yet done,’ said New York Fed President John Williams
※   Polls underestimated first-round support for the incumbent, who will face leftist rival Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in a runoff
※   Investors and analysts call on the Swiss bank to move faster with cost savings, fresh investor capital
※   The new rules could be the most sweeping action taken yet by the Biden administration to thwart China’s access to American technology that powers data centers and supercomputers.
※   Kwarteng and Liz Truss, the prime minister, agreed to abandon the plan to axe the top rate of tax late on Sunday night


[Korea]
※   KB경영연구소: 2022 한국 1인가구 보고서


[Opinions]
•   Project Syndicate(Nouriel Roubini): The Stagflationary Debt Crisis Is Here
•   Project Syndicate(Simon Johnson): Putin Escalates, Europe Hesitates
•   Project Syndicate(Joschka Fischer): The Cold War Is Back
•   Project Syndicate(Mohamed A. El-Erian): A Shocking Ten Days for the UK
•   Project Syndicate(Jean Pisani-Ferry, Daniela Schwarzer): How to Build the European Political Community
•   FT(Editorial Board): Truss and Kwarteng’s embarrassing U-turn
•   FT(Robert Armstrong): Japan’s unique position
•   WSJ(Editorial Board): The Tories Are for Turning on Taxes
•   WSJ(Editorial Board): OPEC’s October Oil Surprise
•   WSJ(Walter Russell Mead): Putin’s Nuclear Threat Is Real
•   WSJ(Mary Anastasia O’Grady): Populism Wins Brazil’s Election
•   Bloomberg(Editorial Board): The World’s Most Important Market Needs Some Work
•   Bloomberg(Stuart Trow, Marcus Ashworth): Welcome to the Scary, New Inflationary World
•   Bloomberg(Clara Ferreira Marques): With Bolsonaro Down and Not Out, Buckle Up
•   머니투데이(김세관): 카드수수료와 車보험, 그리고 첫 단추