Business Intelligence Monitor 220128

(Introduction)

[Markets]

•   Global: Dollar gains as Wall Street retreats on future Fed hikes

※   U.S. stocks lose early momentum, end lower

※   Dollar hits highest level since July 2020

※   Gold falls to two-week low

•   Natural gas: U.S. Natural Gas Abruptly Surges Most on Record in Short Squeeze

•   Metals: Dollar rise drags copper lower on hawkish US Fed comments

•   Grains: Soybeans hit 7-month high on supply worries; firm dollar sinks wheat

•   한국: '검은 목요일' 코스피 2,610대로 추락…FOMC·LG엔솔에 '휘청'

•   한국: 원화값 1200원 놓고 당분간 공방…외환당국 추가개입 시사

[Indicators]

•   US Q4 GDP: U.S. Economy Grows as Fourth-Quarter GDP Shows Strongest Year in Decades

※   Economists expect growth to slow this year on weaker consumer spending, persistent supply shortages

※   BEA: Gross Domestic Product, Fourth Quarter and Year 2021 (Advance Estimate)

※   WSJ: America’s Economy: Stocking Up and Looking Up

•   US Dec. Durable goods orders: U.S. Durable Goods Orders Post First Decline in Three Months

•   US Dec. Pending home sales: U.S. pending home sales fall for second straight month in December

•   US Weekly Jobless claims: Job Market Appears Healthy Despite Omicron Headwinds

•   UK 2021 Car production: U.K. Makes Fewest Cars Since 1956 Amid Chip Crunch, Virus Hit

•   China Dec. Industrial profits: China's Dec industrial profits grow at slowest pace since April 2020

•   India Jan. Consumer sentiment: Consumer sentiment improves in January by 3.9% after a dip in December: CMIE

•   Taiwan Q4 GDP: Taiwan Economy Grows Fastest Since 2010 as TSMC Gives Boost

•   Philippines Q4 GDP: Philippines Economy on Pace to Pre-Pandemic Levels This Year

•   South Africa Benchmark rate: South Africa Hikes Key Rate and Signals Fewer Increases Ahead

•   한국 12월 사업체노동력: 지난달 숙박·음식업 종사자수 5만명↑…2개월 연속 증가

•   한국 주간 아파트 가격(부동산원): "호가 낮춘 매물 쌓인다"…서울 아파트값 1년8개월 만에 하락

[Trackers]

•   Johns Hopkins University: COVID-19 Global Cases & Deaths

•   Worldometer: COVID Live Update

•   Bloomberg: Covid-19 Vaccine Tracker

•   NYT: Covid-19 Vaccine Tracker: Latest Updates

•   FT: Pandemic crisis: Global economic impact tracker

•   FT: Inflation tracker: the latest figures as countries grapple with rising prices

•   CNN: Tracking America's recovery

•   Bloomberg: Global PMI Tracker

•   Bloomberg: The Covid Resilience Ranking

[News]

•   WSJ: Fresh Russia-Ukraine Talks Point to Possible Off-Ramp in Crisis

※   Two sides are in discussions to revive a dormant agreement that Ukraine fears could represent a ‘Trojan horse’ to give Russia sway in its future

•   WSJ: Russia Sends Medical Units to Ukrainian Front

•   WSJ: Ukraine’s Bulked-Up Military Is Still Outgunned by Russia

•   WSJ: As Russia Threatens Ukraine, Europe Scrambles to Secure Gas Supply

•   WSJ: China Calls for Calm From U.S. on Ukraine

•   WSJ: Prepare for an Unsettling Monetary Tightening Cycle

•   WSJ: Jerome Powell’s Comments Over the Past Year Show Mounting Inflation Concerns

•   WSJ: Biden Pledges to Nominate Black Woman to Supreme Court

•   WSJ: Covid-19 Curbs Eased Further in Europe as New Version of Omicron Spreads in Places

•   WSJ: Covid-19 Vaccine Booster Shot Cuts Omicron Death Risk by 95%, U.K. Study Shows

※   The analysis was done for people 50 and older, the population at highest risk of severe illness and death

•   WSJ: Beijing Steps Up Covid-19 Control Measures Ahead of Lunar New Year, Winter Olympics

•   WSJ: Behind the Stock Market Turmoil: A High-Speed Investor U-Turn

•   WSJ: What’s Behind Wall Street’s $100 Oil Forecast?

※   Dwindling inventories in the developed world, rising demand and doubts about OPEC’s output are supporting predictions for higher crude

•   WSJ: Apple Posts Record Quarterly Results Despite Parts Shortages

※   CEO Tim Cook said supply constraints are improving after issues hindered sales

•   WSJ: Renault-Nissan Alliance Plans $25.7 Billion in Electric Vehicle Spending

•   WSJ: AMD’s Planned Purchase of Xilinx Clears Last Big Regulatory Hurdle

•   NYT: How full is the U.S. recovery? Inflation’s impact obscures the answer.

•   NYT: Growth Is Surging in Biden’s Economy. Why Don’t Voters Feel Better?

•   NYT: A ‘NATO Nerd’ Thrown Into the Crisis Over Russia and Ukraine

•   NYT: How Russia Has Increased Its Military Buildup Around Ukraine

•   NYT: Can Biden Avert a Crisis With North Korea?

•   WP: Democrats look for bipartisan deal on China economic bill as rest of agenda founders

•   WP: Russia signals little optimism on resolving crisis as the West races to shore up support for Ukraine

•   FT: Brussels challenges China at WTO over block on Lithuania imports

※   EU brings case against ‘discriminatory and illegal’ action triggered by dispute over Taiwan

※   European Commission: EU refers China to the WTO following its trade restrictions on Lithuania

•   FT: New Russian gas projects face sanctions if Ukraine attacked

※   EU and UK proposals being drawn up with US support would curtail financing and technology transfer

•   FT: Russia has ‘little cause for optimism’ after US rejects its Nato demands

•   FT: Ukrainian frontier city weighs threat of renewed Russian aggression

•   FT: How Germany went from Europe’s economic locomotive to its laggard

•   FT: Italy seeks solution to Draghi conundrum

•   FT: UK-EU trade talks put on pause as Johnson uncertainty persists

•   FT: UK coronavirus cases tick up 10%, symptom tracker app shows

•   FT: Sunak’s tax-raising Budget helped drive up inflation, say MPs

•   FT: UK car industry warns of higher prices amid rising energy costs

•   FT: UK welfare system rules shaken up in drive to tackle labour shortage

•   FT: UK commits £100m to proposed Sizewell C nuclear plant

•   FT: Japan’s tight border rules threaten foreign investment, business groups say

•   FT: Bitcoin moves in lockstep with US stocks as big traders enter market

•   FT: Pricey investments spell ‘nightmare scenario’ for oil companies

•   FT: Supply chain crisis the only drag on Apple’s enormous growth

•   FT: Oaktree risks showdown with Beijing over Evergrande debt

•   Bloomberg: Harris’s Quick Hello to Taiwan Vice President Risks Irking China

•   Bloomberg: Energy Transition Drew Record $755 Billion of Investment in 2021

•   Bloomberg: Russia Sees Nuclear Deal Being Reached Next Month: Iran Snapshot

•   Bloomberg: Game Theory Shows Path to Avoid Russia War in Ukraine

•   Bloomberg: Fed Kicks Off Most Aggressive Global Tightening in Decades

•   Bloomberg: Fed Should Sell Bonds, Not Just Let Them Roll Off, Pozsar Says

•   Bloomberg: Powell’s Hawkish Determination Is Firing Up Bets on the Dollar

•   Bloomberg: EU ‘Climate Bank’ May Shun Green Label Plans on Gas, Nuclear

•   Bloomberg: EU Lawmaker Seeks Changes to Carbon Market Reserve Proposal

•   Bloomberg: U.K. Business Closures Rise 14% as Pandemic Hits Small Firms

•   Bloomberg: U.K. Won’t Face 1970s Style Wage-Price Spiral, Goldman Says

•   Bloomberg: Ukraine’s Ports Brace for More Economic Hardship in Russia Conflict

•   Bloomberg: China Says U.S. Failing to Meet Agreements From Biden-Xi Summit

•   Bloomberg: China Weighs Breaking Up Evergrande to Contain Property Crisis

•   Bloomberg: How Evergrande Group Became China’s Big Financial Nightmare

•   Bloomberg: These Indicators Show Whether China Housing Clampdown Is Easing

•   Bloomberg: As the Fed Hikes, China’s Central Bank Seizes the Moment for Stimulus

•   Bloomberg: China Summons Manufacturers After Prices of Rare Earths Surge

•   Bloomberg: ‘Stealth’ Omicron Variant Is Behind Major Hong Kong Outbreak

•   Bloomberg: Malaysia’s New Covid Cases Top 5,000 Again as Omicron Spreads

•   Bloomberg: IMF Payment Deepens Divide Within Argentina’s Ruling Bloc

•   Bloomberg: U.S. Housing Market Gained Almost $10 Trillion During Pandemic

•   Bloomberg: Record Commodity Prices Bolster Case for Fed’s Hawkish Tilt

•   Bloomberg: China’s Local Government Bond Sales Fall Short of Expectations

•   Bloomberg: Fed’s Hawkish Roadmap Sets the Path for Peers in Recovering Asia

•   Bloomberg: Chipmakers Crash as Intel, Lam Research Outlooks Disappoint

•   Bloomberg: Energy Transition Drew Record $755 Billion of Investment in 2021

•   Bloomberg: Hedge Funds See No End to Carbon Rally After Last Year’s Surge

•   Reuters: Germany's Scholz to meet Biden, discuss Ukraine and COVID

•   Reuters: U.S. urges China to use influence with Moscow over Ukraine

•   Reuters: Germany reports new daily record for COVID-19 infections

•   Reuters: German parliament approves climate spending with unused COVID support funds

•   Reuters: UK spending edges up after more people go out as Omicron eases

•   Reuters: Indonesia to allow only compliant firms to restart coal exports when ban ends - official

•   Reuters: Saudi Arabia may raise March crude oil prices for Asia

•   Reuters: Musk's bets on Tesla: human-like robots and self-driving cars

•   Reuters: Analysis: Investors look to prune portfolio risk as Fed hawkishness rules markets

•   Reuters: Analysis: 'Nimble' Fed narrows normalisation window for timid ECB

•   CNBC: ‘It’s anguish, it’s pain, it’s agony’ – here’s what it’s like to shop for a home in today’s tight housing market

•   CNBC: IMF sees potential for further market turbulence as central banks hike rates

•   CNBC: Market treated inflation like a ‘puppy dog’ and now faces multiple pullbacks, strategist says

•   Fox Business: Major US port hits container record as supply chain disruptions continue to roil US

•   SCMP: China debt: Beijing offers support to indebted Guizhou to ensure cash flow, boost investor confidence

•   SCMP: Lunar New Year lull to make supply chain ‘even worse’ amid factory closures, port delays in China

•   SCMP: China’s zero-Covid border rules going nowhere this year

•   Global Times: China to become high-income country no later than the end of 2023: economists

•   Nikkei Asia: Japan Inc.'s green shift in Southeast Asia hits renewable roadblocks

•   Nikkei Asia: China EV sales to 'make or break' Honda in next 5 years: executive

•   For Construction Pros: Factors Influencing 2022 Construction & Cement Growth: The Good, The Bad and The Better

•   DIGITIMES: Semiconductor equipment billings stay robust

•   DIGITIMES: Notebook shipments to drop 10% in 1Q22; demand rise for higher-end models, says Digitimes Research

•   Robotics & Automation News: Universal Robots reports record revenue of $311 million

※   Teradyne: Teradyne Reports Fourth Quarter and Fiscal Year 2021 Results

•   매경(P1): "TSMC 보고 있나" 이재용의 통큰 결단…반도체에 최소 70조 투자

※   삼성전자: 삼성전자, 2021년 4분기 실적 발표

•   매경: D램 기대 높인 삼성…매출 300조시대 연다

•   매경: 삼성은 반도체로, LG는 가전으로…전세계 매출 1위 찍었다

•   매경(P1): "생산 중단땐 끝장" 기업 방역 더 세진다

•   매경: "LG엔솔 안 팔고 버텼는데"…코스피 폭락에 오늘이 더 두렵다

•   매경: 빚투 파생상품 70조원 돌파…주가 폭락에 반대매매 급증

•   매경: "중대재해법 방화벽 쳐라"…기업들, 각자대표 체제로 속속 전환

•   매경: 수십개 하도급업체, 건설사에 안전예산 요구…노조는 막무가내 "안전관리자 우리 사람으로"

•   매경: "韓, 中 심기 건들순 없지만 미국과 對中전략 공유해야"

•   매경: 정부 우크라 대응TF 신설…원자재 가격 폭등에 대비

•   한경(P1): 초신선식품 새벽배송…물 만난 온라인 유통

•   한경: '주식의 적=금리인상'에 급락…강남 큰손들은 '분할 매수' 중

•   한경: "코스피 선물, 장기 조정 진입"

•   한경: "문재인 정부, 작년 쿼드회의 참석 거절"

•   서경(P1): [단독] 2·4 공급대책 1년…'2대 보완 카드' 꺼낸다

•   서경(P1): 윤석열 “주식 양도세 폐지”…증권거래세는 유지로 선회

•   서경(P1): 오미크론 방역 전환 앞두고 '자가진단키트' 품귀…‘제2 마스크 대란’ 오나

•   서경: "76곳 중 42곳 반대"...도심복합사업 철회 쉬워진다

•   서경: 도심복합사업 멈추면 공급 '빨간불'...동의율·분담금이 관건

•   서경: 홍남기 “조직 축소 없다”지만…세제실 분위기는 ‘흉흉’

•   서경: 이동걸 "3월 대우조선 컨설팅후 플랜B 결정"

•   조선: 태양광에서 원자력으로, 돈이 움직인다

•   조선: 쿵, 쿵, 쿵...비상걸린 중국경제, 회색 코뿔소 세마리가 나타났다

•   조선비즈: [막오른 중대재해법]① 검찰, 수사 역량 강화…대표이사 숨을 구멍 없다

•   조선비즈: 빨라지는 월세시대… “임대차법 2년 맞는 가을이 더 걱정”

•   조선비즈: [인터뷰] 獨 신재생에너지社 아·태 본부장 “민원으로 인한 규제가 큰 영향”

•   인베스트조선: 메모리 일부러 덜 판 삼성전자…파운드리 집중 위한 가격안정화 돌입

•   인베스트조선: 대기업 분할 상장 '일시 멈춤'…지주 청사진ㆍ주주 이익공유 이슈 수면 위로

•   중앙: [단독] 순방 동행 靑직원 확진…文 이례적 칩거 이래서였나

•   중앙: 중대재해법 체크리스트만 400개 “난수표냐”

•   동아(P1): 정부 “하루 확진 10만 갈것…거리두기 강화 안해”

•   동아: 정부 “오미크론, 콧물-두통 경증”… 중환자 줄어 위드코로나 모색

•   문화(P1): 새해들어 벌써 6번째… 北 미사일도발

•   문화: [단독]“檢·警, 성남FC수사 ‘이재명 당선무효’ 기다렸다 하려했다”

•   한국(P1): "위험한 작업 피하고… 돌다리도 두드리며 가자" 멈춰 선 공사현장

•   한국: "오미크론, 변이 많아 면역 회피력 뛰어나... 재감염 가능성 크다" [Q&A]

•   한국: [단독] 코로나 백신, 몇 번 맞아야 하나... "오미크론 이후 '갈아 끼우는' 백신 플랫폼 만든다"

•   한국: 원안위, '자동 정지' 한울 5호기 2주 만에 재가동 승인

•   머니투데이: "3경원 짜리 시장이 열린다"...최대 경제블록 RCEP 2월1일 발효

•   머니투데이: "LNG산업 성공경험을 수소경제에 이식" 에너지공기업 뭉쳤다

※   산업부: 에너지공공기관이 한데 뭉쳐 세계 최초로 청정수소 발전 전주기 생태계 구축

•   머니투데이: 서울 아파트 37만채 대출 한 푼도 못받는다…1년새 9만채↑

•   헤럴드경제: 신사업 따라가면 ‘현대차 미래’ 보인다

•   디지털타임스(P1): KDI도 놀란 집값 상승… 15년만에 최고상승률

※   KDI: KDI 부동산시장 동향 2021년 4/4분기

•   이데일리: 7년 만에 100MW도 못채운 풍력발전 보급…"풍촉법 국회 통과 시급"

•   이데일리: 풍력 선진국은…덴마크 `원스톱샵`, 英 `차액계약제`에 탄력

•   이데일리: 반올림 덕에…"작년 풍력 보급량, 하마터면 `0` 될 뻔"

•   연합: 오후 9시까지 전국서 1만1천804명 확진…어제보다 606명 적어

•   연합: 북한, 지대지 전술유도탄·순항미사일 시험발사 동시 공개

•   더구루: [단독] 현대두산인프라코어, 내년 3월 새사명 발표

•   더구루: 美, 원전 규제 푼다…소형 원전 시장 활짝

•   더구루: 두산 라인업 강화…초저공해 지게차 'D70S-9' 출시

•   에너지경제: 양이원영 "신한울 3·4호기 건설 안돼"…野 "이재명도 탈원전"

•   에너지경제: REC 가격, 6개월 새 두 배 올라 6만원대 눈앞…발전 공기업 등 ‘비상’

•   에너지경제: 전력 공기업, 경평 앞두고 ‘시름’…실적악화·평가지표 개편까지

•   에너지데일리: “재생에너지는 ESG·온실가스 감축의 중요 수단이다”

•   전자신문(P1): IT메가비전 2022, '트윈 트랜스포메이션'이 대세

•   전자신문: 부품업계 공급망관리 총력전...경영 화두로

•   로봇신문: 물류 로봇 특허 급증...연평균 29% 증가

[Opinions]

•   Project Syndicate(Hilary Appel, Jennifer Taw): Will Russia's Anti-NATO Gambit Succeed?

•   Project Syndicate(Charles Tannock): Russia's Likely Invasion Route

•   Project Syndicate(Andrew Sheng, Xiao Geng): How Much Has the Pandemic Cost?

•   Project Syndicate(Jean Pisani-Ferry): European Inflation Is Not American Inflation

•   FT(Edward Luce): Joe Biden’s Germany headache

•   FT(Martin Sandbu): The main objection to digital currencies is misguided

•   FT(Robert Armstrong): Jay Powell keeps his options open

•   FT(John Thornhill): The scramble for semiconductors is our era’s industrial Great Game

•   FT(Anjana Ahuja): Space-based solar power beckons as a new frontier for humanity

•   FT(Elga Bartsch): Europe should change fiscal rule book and aid ECB

•   FT(Izabella Kaminska): Do Tesla robots dream of infinite planetary resources?

•   FT(Philipp Hildebrand): The old inflation playbook no longer applies

•   WSJ(Editorial Board): The Fed’s Fledgling Inflation Hawks

•   WSJ(Editorial Board): Biden’s Berlin Gas Airlift

•   WSJ(Joseph C. Sternberg): Boris Johnson’s Partygate Is About the Economy

•   WSJ(Robert Hargraves): If You Want Clean Power, Go Fission

•   WP(Paul Waldman): Strong economic growth wrecks the GOP’s gloom-and-doom spin

•   WP(Josh Rogin): Putin is threatening to wreck Biden’s Asia strategy

•   Bloomberg(Daniel Moss): A Big Change Is Afoot. It’s Not Just a Rate Hike

•   Bloomberg(David Fickling): This Chinese Miner Could Kill the Battery Metals Boom

•   Bloomberg(Conor Sen): Biden's Economy Gives GOP Governors Money to Burn

•   Bloomberg(John Authers): Stock Markets Don’t Like Listening to Jay Powell

•   Bloomberg(Timothy L. O'Brien): Putin’s Wealth May Be Unreachable, But Russia’s Isn’t

•   Bloomberg(Lionel Laurent): France on Ukraine: Macron’s Bid for ‘Power Europe’ Runs Into Putin's Russia

•   Bloomberg(Leonid Bershidsky): Biden May Catch Putin in His Own Ukraine Trap

•   Bloomberg(Tim Culpan): TSMC’s Biggest Threat Isn’t an Intel Resurgence

•   Bloomberg(Javier Blas): Europe Will Continue to Struggle With Gas Prices Even After the Spat with Russia

•   Bloomberg(Jessica Karl): The World Needs to Stop Falling for Vladimir Putin’s Charms

•   MarketWatch(Rex Nutting): Hidden in the GDP report is proof that the air is already coming out of the economy

•   한경(이덕환): '탄소 포집'에 대한 장밋빛 환상