Business Intelligence Monitor 220127

(Introduction)

[Markets]

•   Global: Stocks shed gains, Treasuries jump as Fed signals rate hikes could come 'soon'

※   U.S. stocks end mixed after being up roughly 2%

•   US: Dollar Nears 2022 High as Powell Says Fed Set for March Liftoff

•   US: Homebuilder Stocks Sink as Powell Alludes to Several Rate Hikes

•   Oil: Brent Rises to Highest Since 2014 Amid Geopolitical Tensions

※   Brent oil surged above $90 for the first time in seven years

•   Metals: Copper claws higher on hopes for a moderate Fed

•   Grains: Soybeans reach 7-month peak on oil strength, South American crop worries

•   DRAM: D램값 4弗선 유지…안정적 수급 예상

•   한국: FOMC 경계감 속 코스피 나흘째 하락…2,700선 턱걸이

[Indicators]

•   US Benchmark rate: Fed Tees Up March Interest-Rate Increase

※   Officials have accelerated plans to unwind support for the economy amid rising inflation

※   Fed: Federal Reserve issues FOMC statement

※   WSJ : Fed Grabs the Market’s Punch Bowl

•   US Dec. Goods trade balance: US Goods-Trade Gap Widens to Fresh Record as Imports Jump

•   US Dec. New home sales: U.S. New-Home Sales Surge Past Estimates, Reach Nine-Month High

•   US Dec. Leasing & Finance index: Monthly Finance Index Shows December Downturn

•   US Weekly Mortgage rates·applications: Mortgage refinance demand plunges 13% as interest rates climb

•   India Dec. PMI: Economic Indicators Flash Early Warning Sign for India’s Rebound

•   한국 11월 인구: 애 덜 낳고, 코로나 사망자 쑥…인구절벽 더 가팔라진다

•   한국 1월 BSI·ESI: 1월 기업 체감경기, 제조업 나빠지고 서비스업은 개선

[Trackers]

•   Johns Hopkins University: COVID-19 Global Cases & Deaths

•   Worldometer: COVID Live Update

•   Bloomberg: Covid-19 Vaccine Tracker

•   NYT: Covid-19 Vaccine Tracker: Latest Updates

•   FT: Pandemic crisis: Global economic impact tracker

•   FT: Inflation tracker: the latest figures as countries grapple with rising prices

•   CNN: Tracking America's recovery

•   Bloomberg: Global PMI Tracker

•   Bloomberg: The Covid Resilience Ranking

[News]

•   WSJ: U.S. Delivers Response to Russian Demands Amid Ukraine Crisis

※   Proposals build on U.S. offers made to Moscow, but stop short of meeting demands on Ukraine, NATO

•   WSJ: Russia’s Attempts to Sanction-Proof Its Economy Have Exposed a Weak Spot

•   WSJ: Omicron Deaths in U.S. Exceed Delta’s Peak as Covid-19 Optimism Rises in Europe

※   Netherlands eases restrictions with cases at record highs but hospitalizations subdued

•   WSJ: Biden Touts Build Back Better in Meeting With CEOs

•   WSJ: Moderna Starts Testing Omicron Vaccine in People

※   Previous vaccine studies have generated results in about two months

•   WSJ: Biden’s First Supreme Court Vacancy: A Look at Potential Candidates to Replace Breyer

•   WSJ: China Evergrande Promises to Play by the Book in Offshore Debt Restructuring

•   WSJ: Venture Capital Becomes a Tech Battleground Between China, U.S.

•   WSJ: Tesla Poised for Record Annual Profit

•   WSJ: Trucks Are Clogging America’s Roads, Delivering Goods and Tearing up Yards

•   WSJ: Intel Earnings Drop, Revenue Edges Higher

•   WSJ: Intel Wins Appeal of $1.2 Billion EU Antitrust Fine

•   WSJ: EV Battery Maker’s Sales Pitch to the West: We’re Not Chinese

•   NYT: The World Awaits Putin’s Word on Ukraine, but on That, He Is Silent

•   NYT: Counting Covid-19 Cases Doesn’t Capture the Pandemic’s Impact

•   NYT: We Need to Talk About Covid, Part 1

•   WP: Biden faces no easy options on Ukraine — and Democrats fret he could look weak

•   WP: House Democrats to launch three climate task forces

•   WP: Ukraine’s showdown with Russia plays out one meme at a time

•   FT: ECB warns European lenders on Russia sanctions risk

※   Central bank takes action as US threatens ‘massive consequences’ if Russia invades Ukraine

•   FT: LNG tanker near Russia’s Baltic territory draws scrutiny amid Ukraine crisis

•   FT: Poland lashes out at Germany over Ukraine weapons sales

•   FT: Italy’s business leaders talk climate change with Putin amid Ukraine crisis

•   FT: Only a handful of companies show they are ready for EU green rules

•   FT: Denmark becomes latest European country to lift almost all Covid curbs

•   FT: UK faces unintended consequences of post-Brexit financial regulation

•   FT: ONS to resume publishing detailed inflation data after prices criticism

•   FT: Johnson vows he will not quit as he awaits ‘partygate’ report

•   FT: How the Biden administration failed the Omicron test

•   FT: Hedge fund short-sellers take aim at green energy stocks

•   FT: Vestas warns of further turbulence for wind turbine makers

※   Danish manufacturer blames supply chain problems and higher costs for gloomy 2022 outlook

•   Bloomberg: WTO Grants China a $645 Million Tariff Weapon Against U.S.

•   Bloomberg: OPEC+ Delegates Expect to Ratify Plan for Modest Output Hike

•   Bloomberg: Scientists Identify Factors That Appear Linked to Long Covid

•   Bloomberg: Fed-Linked Swaps Show Rising Odds of Super-Sized March Hike

•   Bloomberg: Biden Commerce Chief Hopes Chips Bill on Floor Next Week

•   Bloomberg: Biden Seeks Endorsements From Ford, Microsoft for Stalled Build Back Better Bill

•   Bloomberg: Inflation Measure Cited by Powell Is About to Register More Heat

•   Bloomberg: Inflation Outlook No Reason for ECB to Change Track, Simkus Says

•   Bloomberg: ECB’s Simkus Warns of Major Economic Risk From Ukraine Tensions

•   Bloomberg: ECB Needs to Prepare for a Policy Shift, Ex-Fed Official Says

•   Bloomberg: Germany’s Scholz Is Tested as West’s Weak Link in Ukraine Crisis

•   Bloomberg: Germany Mulls National Gas Reserves to Prevent Winter Shortages

•   Bloomberg: France’s Energy Price Caps Are ‘Poorly Targeted,’ IMF Says

•   Bloomberg: Europe LNG Thirst Will Get Some Relief From Brazil’s Hydro Boost

•   Bloomberg: Chinese mRNA Vaccine May Fall Short of Pfizer, Moderna Shots

•   Bloomberg: China to Start Three-Year Crackdown on Money Laundering

•   Bloomberg: China Criticizes U.S. Diplomats Seeking Exit Over Covid Rules

•   Bloomberg: Bank Indonesia Signals More Hawkish Stance Ahead of Key Fed Meet

•   Bloomberg: World Bank Sees ‘Critically Weak’ Outlook for Myanmar This Year

※   World Bank: World Bank Myanmar Economic Monitor January 2022

•   Bloomberg: Market Turmoil Is Ultimate Test of What’s Real and What’s Not

•   Bloomberg: China’s Great Travel Rush Is Latest Boon for Soaring Oil Market

•   Bloomberg: Apple Tops China for First Time in Six Years After Huawei Fades

•   Bloomberg: EV Market: Older Americans Prefer to Get EV Cars From Legacy Automakers

•   Bloomberg: Economists Implore Biden to Get Key Climate Number Right

•   Bloomberg: China’s Xi Says Climate Targets Can’t Compromise Energy Security

•   Bloomberg: Can Home-Brewed Gas Free Europe From Russian Energy?

•   Reuters: U.S. has sent 400 mln COVID vaccine doses to 112 nations -White House

•   Reuters: Beijing's local COVID cases rise before Olympics; more areas find Omicron

•   Reuters: Brazil sees 2022 public debt as high as 6.4 tln reais, more floating rate debt

•   Reuters: Goldman Sachs: markets have not reached "danger zone" levels yet

•   Reuters: Analysis: Stock selloff is far from forcing the Fed to blink

•   Reuters: Analysis: Investors worry about hawkish Fed hurting growth, even theorize over next recession

•   Reuters: Analysis: Oil market faces rocky road as shock absorbers wear thin

•   Reuters: Analysis: Fed tightening a sign to get the 'heck out' of U.S. stocks

•   Reuters: Analysis: Investor clash on gas and nuclear muddies EU green finance drive

•   AP: Biden’s big test: Proving he can rally allies against Putin

•   AP: EXPLAINER: What’s known about ‘stealth’ version of omicron?

•   CNN: Why economists believe 2021 ended on a high note despite Omicron

•   CNN: Rents rose five times faster in 2021 than 2020

•   CNBC: More than two-thirds of omicron cases are reinfections, English study suggests

※   Omicron is a heavily mutated, highly infectious variant of that has led to record numbers of infections in many countries.

•   CNBC: CDC director says ‘milder doesn’t mean mild’ as Covid hospitalizations reach record high

•   CNBC: Chinese companies boost overseas investment in consumer products, EV supply chain

•   CNBC: China’s Huawei launches high-end smartphones overseas even as its global market share deteriorates

•   SCMP: Chinese warn US debt, dollar hegemony may lead to another ‘Nixon shock’ with global implications

•   SCMP: US-China investment at risk of slowdown under Senate proposal for greater FDI scrutiny, report says

•   SCMP: China urged to enhance security, economic ties in Eurasia as tensions with West grow

•   SCMP: China coking coal imports down 25 per cent due to Australia, Mongolia ‘gap’ caused by unofficial ban, border closure

•   SCMP: China, Russia take another step closer, agreeing to strengthen coordination on Asian affairs

•   SCMP: India takes on China and Russia in a Great Game for Central Asia

•   Caixin: Micron to Shut Down DRAM Chip Design Team in Shanghai

•   Nikkei Asia: Quad foreign ministers to meet in Australia next month

•   Nikkei Asia: Japan COVID surge unlikely to ease until early February

•   Nikkei Asia: Japan's Nidec makes foray into robot business

•   Nikkei Asia: Japan to open up power grids to battery storage for renewables

•   Nikkei Asia: Bill Gates-backed fast-reactor effort joined by Japan heavyweights

•   Nikkei Asia: China's Tsinghua Unigroup axes major memory chip projects

•   Nikkei Asia: Analysis: If Xi only secures 5 more years in power, that spells defeat

•   Mainichi: Bank of Japan members see inflation moving toward 2% target, wage growth key

•   Robotics Tomorrow: Digital Transformation and Industrial Robots Outlook

•   Robot Report: Boston Dynamics delivering fleet of Stretch robots to DHL

•   매경(P1): "1호로 걸리면 큰일"…중대재해법 시행날 공장 멈추는 기업들

•   매경: 안전책임자 신설·로펌 자문…대기업도 안심못해

•   매경: 금감원 "중대재해법 책임보험 법취지 안맞아"

•   매경(P1): LG엔솔, 상장 하루 앞두고…GM과 제3합작공장 전격 발표

•   매경: 동학개미 계좌가 박살났다…올해 들어 평균 20% 손실

•   매경: IT부품社도 연간 영업이익 1조…삼성전기·LG이노텍 '날개'

•   매경: 삼전 주주들에 모처럼 반가운 소식…중국 시안 공장 정상화

•   매경: LGD 3년만에 흑자…OLED 뚝심 통했다

•   매경: [단독] ‘두산家 며느리’ 조수애 “둘째 출산 아냐...첫째 예전 사진”

•   한경(P1): 반도체·오미크론發 '인플레 태풍'…국내기업에 불똥 튀나 '초비상'

•   한경: "그래도 믿을건 삼성전자"…고수 6인의 증시 대응 전략

•   한경: 쓰레기 악취가 '귀한 몸' 된다…수소 변환 장비 내달 본격 양산

•   한경: 삼성ENG·롯데케미칼·포스코 '수소 드림팀'

•   한경: 갤럭시S22, 내달 베일 벗는다

•   서경: 국민연금 가입자 68% "기업 경영개입에 반대"

•   서경: 유동부채 대비 현금자산 30%뿐…"유보금 과세 없애야"

•   서경: "돈 더 버는 배달로 몰려…공장서 일할 외국인 없어요"

•   조선(P1): 걷잡을수 없다 “설 지나면 하루 4만~5만명”

•   조선: 설 연휴 2877만명 이동 전망… 일부는 “감염될라” 귀성 포기

•   조선: 자가진단 음성 나와도, 열나면 집에서 쉬어야... 오미크론 검사 6문6답

•   조선: 10대 코로나 발생률, 60세 이상의 4~6배

•   조선: 정부의 집단면역 언급에… 전문가들 “감염 방치하나” “검토할 때”

•   조선(P1): 오바마 정부의 ‘대북 저승사자’ 美대사로 온다

•   조선(P1): 성남FC 후원금 중 일부, 市체육단체서 현금 인출

•   인베스트조선: 금리에 놀란 기업들…롯데지주·현대위아도 채권 발행 미뤘다

•   중앙(P1): ‘30조대 추경 나비효과’ 국민이 이자 폭탄 맞는다

•   중앙: "오미크론 공격에 말리지 말라…코로나와 족보 다르다"

•   동아: 정부 “도심 10만채 개발”… 착공 가능한 곳 10%뿐

•   동아: 자율주행 배달로봇, 내년부터 보도서 다닌다

•   한국(P1): "GTX 속지 마세요"... B·C노선 삽도 못 떴는데 E·F까지 남발 [공약 줌인]

•   세계(P1): 코로나 장기화에 치솟는 물가… ‘경제고통지수’ 10년 만에 최고

•   머니투데이(P1): [단독] 앞으로 5년 '저탄소·저출생·불평등' 나라살림 계획 짠다

•   머니투데이: 반도체 공급난이 뭐죠?…기아, 年 영업익·매출·순이익 최대 실적

•   헤럴드경제(P1): 토지보상금 올해 전국서 32조 풀린다

•   파이낸셜뉴스: '무탄소' 암모니아 발전기술 개발한다

•   아시아경제(P1): 증시 급락에 영끌 '곡소리'…하루에만 200억 반대매매 패닉

•   디지털타임스: "수주 호조세에 너무 올랐나?"… 신조선가 지수 5개월만 하락

•   더구루: 플러그파워 CEO "르노와 수소차 합작사, 연내 고객에 배포"

•   에너지경제: [LNG 세미나] "LNG 가격 상승에 국가간 경쟁 치열…2026년 공급 우위로 역전될 것"

•   에너지경제: [LNG 세미나] "탄소중립에 LNG 가교 역할 필수…안정적 수급 위해 가스공사 역할·제도 마련 필요"

•   전자신문: [스페셜리포트]1강 1중 파운드리 판도 변화 '촉각'

•   전자신문: [스페셜리포트]격전지 된 미국, 반도체 지원법으로 투자 유치 가속

•   로봇신문: 2021년 중국 서비스 로봇 비중 36% 돌파

[Opinions]

•   Project Syndicate(Nouriel Roubini): Inflation Will Hurt Both Stocks and Bonds

•   Project Syndicate(Howard Davies): The Mismanagement of Inflation Expectations

•   Project Syndicate(Kaushik Basu): The Economic Costs of Closed Minds

•   FT(Editorial Board): Western solidarity on Russia needs German support

•   FT(Robert Armstrong, Ethan Wu): Meanwhile, in Ukraine

•   FT(John Hussman): The Fed policy error that should worry investors

•   FT(Duvvuri Subbarao): Emerging markets must ‘make haste slowly’ on CBDCs

•   FT(Alan Beattie): The EU’s missteps in Ukraine show the limits of trade as foreign policy

•   FT(Claire Jones): The Fed’s fears are not those of the market

•   FT(Lex): Vestas/hedge funds: only ESG sceptics have tailwinds short term

•   WSJ(Holman W. Jenkins, Jr.): Waiting for the Last Days of Putin

•   WSJ(Marty Makary): The High Cost of Disparaging Natural Immunity to Covid

•   WSJ(John R. Deni): Biden Puts More Military Muscle Into NATO’s Russia Response

•   NYT(Thomas L. Friedman): Did We Miss Biden’s Most Important Remark About Russia?

•   NYT(Peter Coy): Is the Great Resignation Overblown?

•   NYT(Ross Douthat): The Year of American Disappointment

•   WP(George F. Will): Why Americans have a stake in Ukraine’s fate

•   WP(Paul Waldman): We’re still asking the wrong question about Biden and Ukraine

•   WP(Greg Sargent): What would a 2024 Trump coup look like? A new paper offers a worrying answer.

•   WP(Michael McFaul): Vladimir Putin does not think like we do

•   Bloomberg(Editorial Board): How Biden Can Revive the Build Back Better Tax and Spending Plan

•   Bloomberg(Mohamed A. El-Erian): Fed Does What’s Expected, Not What’s Needed

•   Bloomberg(Liam Denning): Lithium Is in Short Supply — But Probably Not for Long

•   Bloomberg(Andreas Kluth): Putin Is Having It Both Ways on Ukraine but There Will Be a Point of No Return

•   Bloomberg(Bobby Ghosh): Ukraine: Biden and Europe Still Don’t Get Vladimir Putin

•   CNN(Dana Peterson): Surging food prices are hurting those who can least afford it. This is what needs to happen

•   Fox News(Newt Gingrich): Biden is incapable of meeting the dangers from Putin and Xi who smell weakness

•   Fox News(Michael Waltz): Putin wants to build a new Soviet Union and he won't stop with Ukraine

•   Caixin(Shen Jianguang): China’s Factories Are Still Indispensable to the U.S.

•   아시아경제(강희종): '탈원전' 롤모델 독일, 어쩌다 에너지 볼모가 됐나