Business Intelligence Monitor 220119

(Introduction)

[Markets]

•   Global: Stocks sink, notably tech, as Treasury yields jump

※   Bond yields jump on hawkish monetary policy concerns

※   Rate-sensitive tech stocks lead stock market decline

※   Russia and Ukraine markets steady after heavy selloff

•   UK: Commodities Giant Glencore Hits Decade High on Price Boom

•   Russia: Russian stocks take biggest tumble since March 2020

•   Oil: Oil Prices Hit Seven-Year High on Rising Geopolitical Tensions

※   Concerns over the Omicron variant and tensions in Europe and the Middle East are factors driving the rally

•   Metals: Copper dragged down by strong dollar ahead of Fed meeting

•   Iron ore: Iron ore price recovers despite economic weakness in China

•   Grains: US wheat rallies as Russia-Ukraine tensions rise

•   한국: 코스피, 미국 국채금리 급등에 나흘째 하락…2,860대로 밀려

[Indicators]

•   US Jan. NAHB housing market index: Homebuilder confidence drops for the first time in four months

•   US Jan. Empire State manufacturing index: New York Manufacturing Gauge Slumps, Hinting at Omicron Effect

•   Germany Jan. ZEW economic sentiment: German Investor Confidence Surges Amid Hopes for 2022 Recovery

•   UK Nov. Employment: UK average earnings start to fall despite labour shortage

•   Japan Benchmark rate: Bank of Japan revises inflation projection for first time since 2014

※   BOJ: Statement on Monetary Policy

※   BOJ: Outlook for Economic Activity and Prices (January 2022, The Bank's View)

•   한국 2021년 자동차 산업 동향: 국산 하이브리드 불티, 車수출 이끌었다…수출대수·금액 9년만에 증가

[Trackers]

•   Johns Hopkins University: COVID-19 Global Cases & Deaths

•   Worldometer: COVID Live Update

•   Bloomberg: Covid-19 Vaccine Tracker

•   NYT: Covid-19 Vaccine Tracker: Latest Updates

•   FT: Pandemic crisis: Global economic impact tracker

•   FT: Inflation tracker: the latest figures as countries grapple with rising prices

•   CNN: Tracking America's recovery

•   Bloomberg: Global PMI Tracker

•   Bloomberg: The Covid Resilience Ranking

[News]

•   WSJ: Pfizer’s New Covid-19 Pill Works Against Omicron in Lab

※   Three separate, unpublished lab studies indicate Paxlovid is effective against the variant despite its mutations

•   WSJ: Biden Administration Starts Taking Orders for Free Covid-19 Tests

•   WSJ: U.S. Aims Sanctions at Pro-Russian Agents as Blinken Plans Ukraine, Russia Meetings

※   Pending sanctions, which will freeze the assets of at least four individuals, could be announced as early as Thursday

•   WSJ: Chinese Investment in U.S. Plane Maker Draws FBI, National-Security Reviews

•   WSJ: Texas, Arizona Have Recovered All the Jobs Lost When Covid-19 Hit

•   WSJ: Omicron’s Impact on Oil Demand Weaker Than Expected in Late 2021

•   WSJ: Violent Crime, Rising Costs Put South Africa’s Mining Industry in a Deep Hole

•   WSJ: Exxon Pledges to Reduce Carbon Emissions From Operations to ‘Net Zero’

•   WSJ: Microsoft to Buy Activision Blizzard in All-Cash Deal Valued at $75 Billion

•   WSJ: When Will EVs Go Mainstream? It Depends on Uncle Sam

•   NYT: Russia Thins Out Its Embassy in Ukraine, a Possible Clue to Putin’s Next Move

•   WP: A year ago, Biden unveiled a 200-page plan to defeat covid. He has struggled to deliver on some key promises.

•   WP: Why Biden is stumbling

•   WP: Climate advocates argue against breaking up BBB, call it a 'mistake' for Democrats and the planet

•   WP: More than a dozen killed in airstrikes on Yemeni capital in retaliation for Houthi attack on UAE

•   WP: As Florida home prices spike, middle-class residents wonder if they can afford to stay

•   WP: Indonesia passes law to move capital from Jakarta to Borneo

•   FT: Industry steels itself for challenge of ‘net zero’ manufacturing

•   FT: 3D printing and ‘reshoring’ offer limited protection to supply chains

•   FT: Investors jumpstart battery funding to plug clean energy gap

•   FT: ‘Factory of the future’ offers new blueprint for manufacturers

•   FT: EU drive for corporate tax deal sparks divisions

•   FT: Covid passes boosted economies and vaccine uptake, study shows

•   FT: Europe’s metals industry calls for release of gas reserves to curb prices

•   FT: Malta’s Roberta Metsola elected president of European parliament

•   FT: UK inflation set to hit 30-year high as rate rise expectations mount

•   FT: UK real wages start to fall as inflation bites

•   FT: EU plans 3-year extension to UK clearing system access

•   FT: UK should fix Brexit red tape, says trade group

•   FT: Slowdown in Chinese town highlights potential pitfalls of property reforms

•   FT: Moscow’s sanction-proofing efforts weaken western threats

•   FT: Nazarbayev emerges to deliver TV address to Kazakhstan

•   FT: Sustainable funds face threat from tech sector turmoil

•   FT: What we know about Evergrande’s ‘black-box’ restructuring

•   FT: Facebook patents reveal how it intends to cash in on metaverse

•   FT: How widespread is Covid in animals and what are the risks to humans?

•   Bloomberg: OPEC Sees Oil Market ‘Well-Supported’ by Robust Demand

※   OPEC: MOMR January 2022

•   Bloomberg: U.S. Dollar’s Comeback May Cut Short Rally in Emerging Currencies

•   Bloomberg: Omicron May Cut Future Severity of Coronavirus, Study Shows

•   Bloomberg: How Fast Are US Homes Selling? Available Listings Shrink in Hot Housing Markets

•   Bloomberg: Why Diversity Matters at the Fed

•   Bloomberg: Texas Power Grid Braces for Freeze That Imperils Fuel Supply

•   Bloomberg: Marks Says Inflation Is ‘Excessive,’ Higher Rates Are Overdue

•   Bloomberg: Germany Ready to Hit Nord Stream 2 to Counter Russian Aggression

※   Top envoy says retaliation would come if energy weaponized

•   Bloomberg: U.S., U.K. Poised for Talks to Resolve Dispute on Metals Tariffs

•   Bloomberg: The BOE’s Next Move Is About More Than an Interest-Rate Hike

•   Bloomberg: Italy Mulls as Much as $4.5 Billion to Fight Soaring Power Bills

•   Bloomberg: French Covid Infections Hit Record as Patients Fill Up Hospitals

•   Bloomberg: ECB Would Act If Inflation Proved More Persistent, Villeroy Says

•   Bloomberg: Europe Power Costs Fall as Mild Weather Lifts Renewables Output

•   Bloomberg: Beijing Faces Twin Variant Threat as Cases Rise Before Games

•   Bloomberg: PBOC Pledges to Use More Policy Tools, Avoid Credit Collapse

※   Room for RRR cut has narrowed, debt ratio to be stable: Liu

•   Bloomberg: China Sounds Alarm on Slowing Economy as Key Political Risk

•   Bloomberg: How China’s Economy Grew in 2021 Despite a Property Slump

•   Bloomberg: China’s Property Sector Contraction Worsens in Blow to Economy

•   Bloomberg: China’s Spreading Property Debt Crisis Pressures Xi to Ease

•   Bloomberg: China Diplomat Calls U.S. Omicron Surge ‘Greatly Out of Control’

•   Bloomberg: China to Curb Purchases of U.S. Farm Goods, Fitch Solutions Says

•   Bloomberg: Xi Jinping’s Covid Defense Gets Weaker With Every Omicron Case

•   Bloomberg: Israel Omicron Wave Expected to Peak in a Week, Official Says

•   Bloomberg: Japan Sees Continued Economic Recovery Despite Omicron Spread

•   Bloomberg: Ukraine crisis: Civilians nearest the front lines don't expect war with Russia

•   Bloomberg: Hawkish Central Banks Lead Investors’ Biggest Fears List: Chart

•   Bloomberg: ‘DeFi’ Decentralization Promise Is an Illusion, BIS Chief Says

•   Bloomberg: Inflation Holds No Fears for Equities Bulls, BofA Survey Shows

•   Bloomberg: Permian Oil Production Reached Record High Last Month

•   Bloomberg: Nickel Supply Squeeze Draws LME Scrutiny as Spot Prices Spike

•   Bloomberg: Hot LNG Market Prompts More-Than $1 Million Trip Across Globe

•   Bloomberg: China’s Record Coal Spree Seen Preventing Any New Energy Crunch

•   Bloomberg: China’s Fuel Exports Drop for a Second Year as Quota Tightened

•   Bloomberg: Europe’s Smelters Call for Action to Combat Soaring Energy Costs

•   Bloomberg: Shipping Companies Had a $150 Billion Year. Economists Warn They’re Also Stoking Inflation

•   Bloomberg: CATL Expanding in Battery-Swapping Business Amid EV Sales Surge

•   Bloomberg: GE Wins Wind Turbine Fight at U.S. Agency Against Siemens Gamesa

•   Bloomberg: EU Lawmaker Wants More Support for Poor During Green Transition

•   Bloomberg: EU May Miss CO2 Targets Without Better Buildings, Study Finds

•   Bloomberg: Europe’s Consumption Threatens Key Carbon-Absorbing Ecosystems, WWF Says

•   Bloomberg: How to Avoid Climate Disaster? Despite Fears, Companies Struggle With Solutions

•   Bloomberg: China’s $60 Billion Wind Empire Needs to Grow Its Own Blades

•   Reuters: France can't afford higher spending, tax cuts - central bank head

•   Reuters: Germany to help companies shoulder higher power costs

•   Reuters: Analysis: With Omicron, global economy spots chance to push past COVID

•   Reuters: Analysis: Inside OPEC, views are growing that oil's rally could be prolonged

•   Reuters: Analysis: Best supporting actor? NATO in secondary role if Russia invades Ukraine

•   AP: Race to cut carbon emissions splits U.S. states on nuclear

•   AP: US faces wave of omicron deaths in coming weeks, models say

※   COVID-19 deaths in the U.S. are climbing and modelers forecast 50,000 to 300,000 more Americans could die by the time the wave subsides in mid-March

•   CNN: Oil prices will surge to $100 this year, Goldman Sachs warns

•   CNBC: WHO says omicron won’t be last Covid variant as global cases surge by 20% in a week

※   “This pandemic is nowhere near over,” WHO Director-General Tedros Adhanom Ghebreysus said.

•   CNBC: We have a chance to end Covid emergency in 2022, WHO official says

•   CNBC: Investment in space companies hit record $14.5 billion in 2021, report says

•   SCMP: China-West tensions raise questions about limits of Beijing’s influence at WTO, UN and World Bank

•   SCMP: China must ‘urgently’ find solutions to boost trade ties with Germany, Berlin’s top diplomat says

•   SCMP: As China’s population nears ‘normalised phase of decline’, experts assess pace and severity

•   SCMP: China ‘not interested’ in becoming world’s No 1 economy or global hegemony, says vice foreign minister

•   SCMP: Exclusive | China ‘will issue visas’ for US Olympic delegation despite diplomatic boycott

•   SCMP: World’s rich thrived, doubled fortunes to US$1.5 trillion, as coronavirus pushed millions into poverty, Oxfam says

•   Caixin: Charts of the Day: China’s Record Low Birthrate Heightens Long-Term Economic Challenges

•   Caixin: Tech Insider: Most China Phone Sales Now 5G, Canon Closes Local Plant

•   Nikkei Asia: Sony's EV project is driven by software, not mechanics

•   Nikkei Asia: Toyota output to fall short of annual target of 9m vehicles

•   Nikkei Asia: Japan to tighten curbs as COVID cases hit record

•   Nikkei Asia: India woos global chipmakers again, this time with $10bn package

•   Nikkei Asia: Not in my backyard: Russia, China and U.S. squabble over spheres of influence

•   Nikkei Asia: Ukraine crisis highlights superpowers' quarrel over spheres of influence

•   OilPrice.com: Stop Building Coal Plants Now: UN Chief

•   OilPrice.com: China Sees 2022 As Crucial For Its EV Industry

•   DIGITIMES: PCB firm Ichia expects record revenue and profit in 2022

•   DIGITIMES: PC processor prices poised to rise in 2022

•   DIGITIMES: Taiwan to accelerate push for semi equipment self-sufficiency

•   DIGITIMES: China makers' aggressive mini/microLED capacity expansions challenge Taiwan LED makers

•   Robotics Tomorrow: Advancing AMR's with LIDAR

•   매경(P1): 여야 표퓰리즘 추경 압박에…결국 금리 올라 서민들만 신음

•   매경: "300만원 받고 연이자 800만원 더 낼판" 자영업자 한숨

•   매경: 추경 14조+α…고삐풀린 물가 더 자극할까 우려

•   매경(P1): 대표소송 남발 우려에도 국민연금 지지한 복지부

•   매경: 노동계 입김 큰 수책위에 소송권 '칼자루'

•   매경: "노골적인 기업 경영 간섭" 복지부 발표에 재계 당혹

•   매경: 文, 사우디 실권자 왕세자와 회담…"수소·의료 협력"

•   매경: 우후죽순 신재생발전…이용률은 '글쎄'

•   매경: 배터리 자체생산 시동 건 테슬라…원자재 '입도선매'

•   매경: KT, 얀덱스 손잡고 韓자율주행 배송로봇시장 공략

•   매경: 잡느냐 잡히느냐' 국운 걸린 5대산업…문제는 속도다 [Big Picture]

•   한경(P1): 카플레이션, 자영업 트럭까지 덮쳤다

•   한경(P1): 모호한 중대재해법…지자체·공공기관도 대혼란

•   한경: 터널내 도로 금만 가도 점검하라니…공공기관 "다 막고 공사할 판"

•   한경: 시민이 길 가다 넘어져도 지자체장 책임 물을 수도

•   한경(P1): 공정위, '해운 담합' 23개 선사에 과징금 962억 부과

•   한경(P1): 미래에셋 영토확장…'코인 은행' 만든다

•   한경: 작년 M&A 58조 사상 최대…'소부장' 거래 폭발

•   한경: '공급가뭄' 서울, 상반기 입주물량 1.2만가구 그칠 듯

•   한경: '역대급 오차'에 혼쭐난 기재부…'세입 추계' 분기별 수정 검토

•   서경(P1): [단독] LNG·유가 동반 폭등···에너지값 고삐 풀렸다

•   서경: 석탄값도 20% 뛰어 전기료 자극···이와중에 해외광산 팔고 탈원전 매몰

•   서경: 한은 "국제 원자재값 급등이 원화 약세폭 키워"

※   한국은행: 최근 원화 약세 원인 분석

•   서경: 韓이 만든 'UAE 원전'서 수소 수입할 판

•   서경(P1): LG엔솔 청약 첫 날 33조 '뭉칫돈'···237만명 청약 전쟁[시그널]

•   조선: 중국 車시장… 사드 이후 12위 추락 현대車, 센카쿠분쟁에도 3위 된 도요타

•   조선비즈: LCD 철수 서두르는 삼성디스플레이… 올해 6월 생산 마무리

•   조선비즈: 車 반도체 또 골치… 올해 벌써 14만9000대 생산 차질

•   조선비즈: 英 MSI “올해 컨테이너선 운임 강세, 벌크선은 하락”

•   조선비즈: 김동연 “이재명·윤석열, 소상공인 대책 약속만…돈 하늘에서 떨어지나”

•   동아(P1): [단독]“美제재 북한인들, 극초음속미사일 탄두용 내열부품 조달”

•   문화(P1): 회장직 건다더니 ‘매각 작업 난국’… 국가산업재편 휘청

•   세계(P1): 다중채무 자영업자 27만명… 코로나 이전 2배

•   한겨레: 수성 스프레이 뿌린 뒤 지웠는데 ‘벌금’? 기후저항시위 첫 판결 D-1

※   두산중공업 로고에 녹색칠 뒤 세척 중 연행

•   경향: ‘코로나 2년’ 경제 판도…수출의존도 높아지고 소비는 위축

•   머니투데이(P1): "강남 30억 1주택은 놔두고 우리만 때렸다"…지방 3주택자의 '울분'

•   머니투데이: "국내 오미크론 중증화율, 델타 25%에도 미치지 못한다"

•   헤럴드경제(P1): 광주·전남은 오미크론이 이미 우세종

•   파이낸셜뉴스: 삼성전기·LG이노텍, ‘영업익 1조 돌파’ 사상최대 실적 예고

•   아시아경제(P1): 밀린주문만 100만대…현대차 지금 사도 올해 안에 못탈수도

•   아시아경제: 특근 다시 사라진 현대차·기아, 반도체난 상반기 내내 지속될듯

•   아시아경제(P1): 구축 아파트도 전기차 충전시설 의무화…총 주차대수 2%

•   아시아경제: SK바사 코로나19 백신 임상 3상 8부 능선… '오미크론 효능'은

•   디지털타임스(P1): [뉴스분석] 대출규제에 대선 불확실성 분양시장마저 꽁꽁 얼었다

•   이데일리(P1): "영끌했는데 꼭지였나"...금리인상 서민주택에 '직격타'

•   이데일리: 상반기 관망세 속 '양극화' 심화..."똘똘한 한채 집중"

•   이데일리: “집값 하락요인 없어”…올해도 상승하는 이유는

•   이데일리: 빨라지는 '전세의 월세화'..월세난민 늘어난다

•   이데일리(P1): 정부 예산, 전기차의 절반…기 못펴는 수소차

•   이데일리: 전기차 나는데 수소차 주춤 왜?…"열악한 인프라 탓, 이점은 多"

•   이데일리: [르포]수소차 충전소 한 곳서 440대 감당…"50분 대기는 기본"

•   이데일리: 현대차, 수소차에 몰두하는 까닭…"미래 대비"

•   이데일리: "도로 위 수소차 늘리려면…수소법 통과·충전 인프라 늘려야"

•   이데일리: 2.5만가구 1년 쓸 전력생산…순수 우리기술로 우뚝선 한국형 풍력

•   이데일리: LG·삼성·SK, 전기차 배터리 이어 ‘소재’까지 영토 확장

•   이데일리: 김동연 “코로나 지원, 추경 없이도 SOC 구조조정으로 30조 가능”[만났습니다]①

•   연합: 오후 9시까지 전국서 4천846명 확진…어제보다 1천512명 급증

•   연합: 연초부터 ESS 화재 잇달아…더 강력한 안전규제 나오나

•   아주경제: [단독] 김동연 "법인세 포함 文정부 靑과 5가지 정책 놓고 싸웠다"

•   아주경제: 혁신 상징서 구태 기업으로…위기의 네이버·카카오

•   비즈니스포스트: 두산중공업에 유럽 에너지 위기는 기회, 소형모듈원전 기회의 땅 가능성

•   에너지경제: 에너지시장, 연초부터 심상찮다...화석연료 이어 재생E 가격까지 상승세

•   에너지경제: "화력발전 조기 퇴출 땐 사회·경제 혼란…수소·암모니아 혼소 발전 대안"

※   에너지경제연구원: 에너지포커스 2021년 겨울호

•   에너지데일리: “완성차·배터리 업계 간 ‘배터리 동맹’ 강화된다”

•   전자신문(P1): 삼성, AMD와 첫 AP '엑시노스 2200' 출시

•   전자신문: 원전내 고준위 방폐물, 2031년부터 포화…임시저장시설 건립 과제로

[Opinions]

•   Project Syndicate(Djavad Salehi-Isfahani): Iran's Vienna Gambit

•   Project Syndicate(José Manuel Barroso): Breaking COVID's Grip

•   Project Syndicate(Shlomo Ben-Ami): The Cold War that Wasn't

•   FT(Editorial Board): Fed needs a tougher stance on regulation

•   FT(Martin Wolf): Business leaders have to play a better political role

•   FT(Constanze Stelzenmüller): Energy trilemma causes a headache for Germany’s new leaders

•   FT(Michael Pettis): China’s record trade gap a symptom of struggle to rebalance its economy

•   FT(Najmeh Bozorgmehr): Tehran boasts of ‘economic resistance’ against US sanctions

•   FT(Lex): Renewables: China will breeze into offshore wind top slot

•   WSJ(Editorial Board): Washington Cashes In on Inflation

•   WSJ(Editorial Board): Biden Plays Capture the Federal Reserve

•   WSJ(William A. Galston): A Memo on Saving the Biden Presidency

•   WP(Max Boot): The West can’t stand by as Putin tries to resurrect the ‘evil empire’

•   WP(Jennifer Rubin): Biden needs a reset. Here’s how he can do it.

•   WP(Paul Waldman): Stop blaming the left for Biden’s problems

•   WP(Marc A. Thiessen): Biden wants to brag, but most Americans think his first year was a disaster

•   WP(Charles Lane): The ironic legacy of Biden’s first year: A strengthening Republican Party

•   WP(Leana S. Wen): We need to hear Biden’s Year 2 covid-19 strategy

•   WP(Rokhaya Diallo): France’s far right is a threat. But don’t ignore Macron’s problematic policies.

•   Bloomberg(Editorial Board): Turkey Can’t Defy the Laws of Economic Gravity

•   Bloomberg(Mohamed A. El-Erian): When Will Monetary Tightening Hit Financial Conditions?

•   Bloomberg(Justin Fox): How the Pandemic Ripped a Hole in Working-Age America

•   Bloomberg(Andy Mukherjee): EV Battery Makers Are Getting Their Hands on Everything

•   Bloomberg(Liam Denning): Exxon’s Partial Net-Zero Target Is Surprisingly Useful

•   Bloomberg(Matthew A. Winkler): Top 2021 Stock Picker Wins With Semiconductors

•   Bloomberg(Jonathan Bernstein): Biden’s Year-One Grade Is Just an Incomplete

•   Bloomberg(Allison Schrager): How Safe Assets Became Investors' Biggest Risk

•   MarketWatch(Mark Hulbert): Why Wall Street is celebrating Joe Biden’s low approval rating

•   매경(정동욱): 원자력 빠진 K택소노미 시급히 개정해야