Business Intelligence Monitor 220107

(Introduction)

[Markets]

•   Global: Wall Street's Fed headache lingers as stocks decline, Treasuries gain

※   U.S. stocks down after choppy trading on Fed jitters

※   Treasury yields mostly rise, again

※   Gold, bitcoin continue slide

※   Oil surges on Kazakhstan, Libya supply issues

•   US: U.S. Oil Stocks Surge in Rebound to Pre-Pandemic Levels

•   Metals: Base metals fall on hawkish U.S. Fed signals

•   Iron ore: Iron ore price rises on hopes of demand recovery after Beijing Olympics

•   Grains: Soybeans ease after weather rally

•   한국: 미국 조기 긴축 예고에 코스피 1.13%·코스닥 2.9% 급락

•   한국: 하루에만 7600억 던졌다…'공매도 폭탄' 맞은 종목 보니

•   한국: '마의 1200원' 뚫렸다…미국 역대급 긴축 발언에 원화값 추락

※   매경: 국가재정 악화 가능성·北미사일…외환시장 곳곳에 암초

[Indicators]

•   OPEC Dec. Oil output: OPEC oil output boost in December again undershoots target

•   US Nov. Balance of trade: Consumer Demand for Goods Drove U.S. Import Surge During Holidays

•   US Nov. Factory orders: U.S. factory orders increase strongly in November

•   US Dec. Services PMI(ISM): U.S. Service-Sector Growth Shows Sharp Pullback From Record

※   ISM services gauge posts biggest point drop since April 2020

•   US Weekly Jobless claims: Job Market Remains Tight Despite Omicron Concerns

※   Initial jobless claims, a proxy for layoffs, totaled a seasonally adjusted 207,000 last week

•   Germany Nov. Factory orders: German Factory Orders Rise in Boon for Pandemic-Stricken Economy

•   Germany Dec. CPI: German Inflation Slows, Bolstering ECB Case for Surge to Ease

•   UK Dec. Business confidence: UK business confidence takes a sharp hit from Omicron

•   China Dec. Services PMI(Caixin): Growth in China's Dec services accelerates - Caixin PMI

•   Brazil Nov. Industrial production: Brazil's Industrial Production Unexpectedly Drops Amid Recession

•   한국 3분기 자금순환: 한풀 꺾인 '빚투'에... 가계 여윳돈 1년 새 5.2兆 늘었다

•   한국 주간 아파트 가격(부동산원): 전국 아파트값 상승폭 갈수록 둔화···대전, 33개월만에 하락

[Trackers]

•   Johns Hopkins University: COVID-19 Global Cases & Deaths

•   Worldometer: COVID Live Update

•   Bloomberg: Covid-19 Vaccine Tracker

•   NYT: Covid-19 Vaccine Tracker: Latest Updates

•   FT: Pandemic crisis: Global economic impact tracker

•   FT: Inflation tracker: the latest figures as countries grapple with rising prices

•   CNN: Tracking America's recovery

•   Bloomberg: Global PMI Tracker

•   Bloomberg: The Covid Resilience Ranking

[News]

•   WSJ: New York’s Record Wave of Omicron-Variant Cases Sees Fewer Severe Ones

•   WSJ: Cost of Covid-19 Testing Exceeds $100 for Some Families as Omicron Surges

•   WSJ: Biden, in Shift, Prepares Americans to See Covid-19 as Part of Life

※   Before Omicron surge, president said in July the nation was ‘closer than ever to declaring our independence from a deadly virus’

•   WSJ: Supreme Court to Weigh Vaccine Requirements for the Workplace

•   WSJ: Biden Assails Trump in Speech Over Jan. 6 Riot, Efforts to Overturn 2020 Election Results

※   President, congressional Democrats mark anniversary of riot at U.S. Capitol by Trump supporters

※   White House: Remarks By President Biden To Mark One Year Since The January 6th Deadly Assault On The U.S. Capitol

•   WSJ: Derby’s Take: Fed Minutes Flag Importance of Money Markets for Policy Shift

•   WSJ: Kazakhstan Protests: Russia Sends Troops as Dozens Killed in Unrest

•   WSJ: Kazakhstan Unrest and Russia’s Intervention Transform Ties With Moscow

•   WSJ: Kazakhstan Unrest Pushes Up Uranium and Oil Prices

※   The resource-rich country accounts for about 40% of the world’s uranium output, which it sells to utilities in the U.S. and elsewhere

•   WSJ: Russia’s Demands on Ukraine Must Be Addressed Urgently, Russian Official Says

•   WSJ: Omicron Pushes Wall Street Toward Work-From-Home Future

•   WSJ: Tesla Is No Longer Alone With ‘Full Self Driving’ Promises

•   WSJ: Are Foldable Smartphones Finally Cool?

•   NYT: For C.D.C.’s Walensky, a Steep Learning Curve on Messaging

•   NYT: Will ‘Forever Boosting’ Beat the Coronavirus?

•   NYT: A Fed Official’s 2020 Trade Drew Outcry. It Went Further Than First Disclosed.

•   NYT: China’s Latest Lockdown Shows Stubborn Resolve on Zero-Covid

•   NYT: How Corporate America Has Changed After the Capitol Attack

•   WP: Mounting omicron infections force businesses to scramble, threatening economic recovery

•   WP: Iran-backed militants probably behind attacks targeting U.S. troops in Iraq and Syria, Pentagon says

•   FT: Europe tackles vaccine holdouts as Covid cases surge

•   FT: EU fight over carbon allowances sharpens ahead of new tax talks

•   FT: Germany’s soaring energy prices force government to promise aid

•   FT: UK households face biggest income squeeze in a generation

•   FT: North-south divide emerges as UK electric vehicle sales hit record high

•   FT: Banks in talks with UK regulator about loans for energy suppliers

•   FT: China rushes to develop an mRNA vaccine as doubts grow over local jabs

•   FT: China’s economy: the fallout from the Evergrande crisis

•   FT: Canada minister defends oil sands despite pursuing emissions cuts

•   FT: Japan and Australia sign defence pact in face of more assertive China

•   FT: Kazakh protests mark end of Nazarbayev era

•   FT: Investment and the multiple risks of 2022

•   FT: Covid vaccine makers face investor pressure over global access

•   FT: Toshiba’s second-biggest shareholder calls for EGM to fight separation plan

•   FT: Cost of neutralising carbon emissions soars as demand escalates

•   FT: Three top energy themes for 2022

•   Bloomberg: WHO Underscores Risks of Omicron Even With Less-Severe Symptoms

※   Director-general of health body says omicron is ‘not mild’

•   Bloomberg: U.S. Puts Thorniest Ukraine Issue Off the Table in Russia Talks

•   Bloomberg: Fed Could Lift Off in March, Shrink Assets Next, Bullard Says

•   Bloomberg: Normalizing But Not Back to Normal: The U.S. Job Market in 2022

•   Bloomberg: Omicron’s Spread Means More Food Outages at U.S. Grocery Stores

•   Bloomberg: U.S. Puts Thorniest Ukraine Issue Off the Table in Russia Talks

•   Bloomberg: China’s Local Governments Give Early Hints of 2022 GDP Target

•   Bloomberg: China Says Stable Economy Is ‘Crucial’ Political Issue in 2022

•   Bloomberg: China Seen Delaying Property Tax Trials Until Market Improves

•   Bloomberg: Mumbai Won’t Go Into Lockdown Even if Cases Rise, Chahal Says

•   Bloomberg: India Rate Hikes Inevitable as Inflation Surges, Nomura Says

•   Bloomberg: IMF Critiqued for Dropping Tough Loan Standards for Covid Funds

•   Bloomberg: Bolsonaro Throws a 15-Year Lifeline to Thermal Coal in Brazil

•   Bloomberg: Brazil’s Omicron Toll Begins to Show Even Amid Data Blackout

•   Bloomberg: Indonesia’s Covid Cases Reach Two-Month High as Omicron Looms

•   Bloomberg: EM Currencies May See Futher Declines on Fed, Rising U.S. Bond Yields

•   Bloomberg: U.S. Firms Extend Credit at ‘Ballistic’ Pace in Bet on Recovery

•   Bloomberg: Goldman Sachs Sees ‘New Conundrum’ Capping Treasury Yields Surge

•   Bloomberg: Global Gas Shortage Worsens as Emerging Asia Joins the Hunt

•   Bloomberg: Goldman Bullish on Commodities, Seeing Years-Long Supercycle

•   Bloomberg: Tesla, Chips and China: The Auto Storylines to Watch in 2022

•   Bloomberg: Goldman Says Carbon Net Zero Shift Will Likely Boost Inflation

•   Bloomberg: China Proposes Cutting Carbon Quotas to Help Meet Climate Goals

•   Reuters: J&J says its single dose protects against breakthrough COVID-19 for up to 6 months

•   Reuters: Russia sends troops to put down Kazakhstan uprising as fresh violence erupts

※   U.S. questions deployment of Russia-led troops

•   Reuters: The Fed is going to tighten, the only question is how fast

•   Reuters: Fed's Daly sees rate hikes ahead, but says 'measured' approach needed

•   Reuters: Britain reports record COVID-19 prevalence as Omicron surges

•   Reuters: Africa CDC says severe lockdowns no longer tool to contain COVID-19

•   Reuters: Omicron spreads in India's big cities but hospitalisations still low

•   Reuters: Analysis: Investors brace for quantitative tightening as Fed sends hawkish message

•   Reuters: Analysis: U.S. Treasury yields risk breakout on hawkish Fed, corporate issuance deluge

•   AP: EXPLAINER: What’s behind unrest rocking oil-rich Kazakhstan

•   CNBC: Moderna CEO says people may need fourth Covid shot as efficacy of boosters likely to decline over time

※   people may need a fourth shot in the fall of 2022 to increase their protection

•   CNBC: EU’s plan to include gas and nuclear in ‘green’ ranking leaves investors confused

•   CNBC: As the U.S. seeks to calm Russia tensions, Europe pushes to be included

•   CNBC: Hydrogen power is gaining momentum, but critics say it’s neither efficient nor green enough

※   But critics say pursuing green hydrogen as a fuel source is not the best solution for combatting climate change because it’s inefficient and is often created with carbon-emitting energy sources.

•   CNBC: Cramer: Charts suggest inflation may cool down faster than expected, boosting stocks in 2022

•   MarketWatch: ‘Employees have more leverage right now’: 4.5 million Americans quit their jobs. Should you stay or go?

•   SCMP: China property debt crisis: R&F warns its asset sales may not meet bond repurchase deadline in a slumping real estate market

•   SCMP: US-China Fast Track Channel makes it easier for businesspeople and their families to enter China, with caveats

•   SCMP: China’s pandemic-hit businesses see tax cuts and fee reductions extended in bid to kick off new year on a high note

•   SCMP: China’s zero-Covid policy under renewed scrutiny as economic challenges mount

•   Global Times: RCEP starts to deliver benefits for enterprises: business leaders

•   Caixin: Xi’an Lockdown Rattles World’s Largest Chipmakers

•   Caixin: China Overtakes Japan as Top LNG Importer

•   Caixin: China’s Property Market Set for Gloomy Year After 2021 Ends in a Funk

•   Caixin: Xi’an Covid Outbreak Is China’s Worst Since Wuhan, Disease Expert Says

•   Nikkei Asia: Japan to enable restrictions amid rising COVID cases

•   Economic Times: Indian economic growth not be impacted much by Omicron: DPIIT Secretary Anurag Jain

•   MINING.com: Electric cars to account for 73% of lithium demand by 2030: Chile

•   DIGITIMES: Foxconn sees revenue surge 11% in 2021

•   DIGITIMES: Specialty DRAM prices soon to stop falling

•   DIGITIMES: Taiwan notebook ODMs reluctant to set up production lines in India

•   매경(P1): "구글 꺾을 한국기업 나온다"…비밀병기 들고 당당히 외친 이 회사

•   매경: 아빠는 교통방송, 뒷좌석선 힙합…차 한대, 방 4개처럼 쪼개지는 마법

•   매경: BMW 카멜레온車 비결은 캡슐…車아닌 플랫폼기업 선언한 GM

•   매경: '공유' 경계 허무는 삼성…장벽 쌓는 애플과 차별화

•   매경: "푸드테크·로봇·인공지능…기존 삶의 방식 다 바꿀것"

•   매경: "미래 10년은 헬스케어 산업이 혁신 이끈다"

•   매경(P1): 상속 주택 2년간 종부세 대상 제외

※   기재부: 2021년 세법개정 후속 시행령 개정안

•   매경: 설비투자 세액공제 혜택 대상에…그린수소·요소수 생산기술 추가

•   매경: SK이노·美솔리드파워, CES서 '꿈의 배터리' 논의

•   매경: 떡볶이도 호텔뷔페도…안오르는게 없네

•   한경(P1): "車 만드는 소니, 로봇 제조 현대차…연결·융합·확장이 CES 대세"

•   한경: 코 만지니 얼굴 찡그리고, 안마해주고…로봇이 '열 일'하는 세상

•   한경: "AI·로보틱스·메타버스 뒤섞여…융복합 기술빅뱅 일어나고 있다"

•   한경: 삼성 "스마트폰 3억대 팔 것"…기대감 커진 협력中企

•   한경: "오미크론 대응 백신, 연내 출시"

•   서경(P1): 이재용 사인만 남았나···삼성 "M&A, 곧 좋은 소식" [CES 2022]

•   서경: 공급망 병목에···눈길 잡은 '무인 자율주행트럭' [CES 2022]

•   서경: 보네퐁 스텔란티스 CSO "車 반도체 이슈 예측 어려워··· 삼성·아마존 등과 협력 강화" [CES 2022]

•   서경(P1): 안경덕의 경고···한전 사장에 “중대재해법상 처벌 대상”

•   서경: 무역 환경장벽 속속 등장···수출코리아 생존 비법은 '수소 초격차'

•   서경: "수소경제 기반 다진 韓, 수소법 개정안 처리 등 제도적 뒷받침 시급"

•   서경: 소형모듈원자로 등 안전성 으뜸···K원전 활용한 '에너지 로드맵' 짜야

•   서경: "환경문제·기술·경제성 등 고려···脫원전 벗어난 '통합에너지 정책' 필요"

•   서경: "물가, 올해 3%까지 오를 수도"···한은 전망 또 빗나가나

•   서경: 불안한 월세시장···'보증금 1억원=월세 30만원' 관행 깨지나

•   조선: “특보 얼마 주나요?” 삼성전자 CEO에 쏟아진 MZ세대 질문

•   조선: “세계경제 채찍효과, 공급망이 무너졌다”

•   조선: “알렉사, 아리아, 지니야”…더 이상 부르지 않는 그 이름

•   조선비즈: [韓경제, S와 싸워라]④공급망 붕괴 장기화…정부 역할은? ”나랏돈 풀기보다 생산성 향상”

•   조선비즈: 지난해 소신껏 쓴 셀 리포트...BNK·DB 맞고 KB는 틀렸다

•   중앙: 한진해운의 빈 자리, 중국 춘절 닥치면 더 커진다

•   중앙: 글로벌 생산·물류 차질 당분간 계속, 올해도 물가 압박

•   중앙: [단독] "화이자급 효과" 노바백스, 식약처 허가 1단계 넘었다

•   동아: 수출기업 86% “올해 통상환경 나아지지 않을 것”

•   한국(P1): "평양에서 서울 1분이면 타격" 北 '극초음속 미사일' 100일 만에 업그레이드

•   한국: 코로나, 미중 갈등, 이상기후… "공급망 교란 요인, 이젠 예측조차 어렵다"

•   한국: "경제 안보에 공짜는 없다"… 조기경보·자원재활용으로 총력 대응해야

•   쿠키뉴스: 국제동향 무시...‘탈원전’ 기조에만 몰빵 K-택소노미

•   서울(P1): [단독] 이재명, 재건축 안전진단 규제도 푼다

•   머니투데이: [단독]이재명, 5대 그룹 CEO와 경제토론 벌인다

•   더벨: 채권단 졸업 '눈앞' 두산중공업, '글로벌' 평가도 끌어올릴까

•   헤럴드경제(P1): 소상공인 40조 설자금…선물 20만원까지 허용

•   파이낸셜뉴스: 공급망 균형 못 맞추면, 한국경제 근간 흔들린다 [2022 신년기획]

•   파이낸셜뉴스: 공급망 불안에 흔들리는 경제정책 [2022 신년기획]

•   파이낸셜뉴스: CPTPP 가입 추진… 신흥시장 FTA 확대

•   파이낸셜뉴스: 리튬·니켈·코발트 수급 불안 확대… K배터리 공급망 비상

•   파이낸셜뉴스: 현대ENG, 암모니아 분해...수소생산기술 상용화 추진

•   아시아경제: 中시안 봉쇄 장기화…메모리 ‘몸값 반등’ 앞당기나

•   아시아경제: [넷제로 1번지 가다] 규제 대체할 '하이브리드선박'…세계 선사 러브콜

•   디지털타임스(P1): [기획] 票퓰리즘 족쇄에 떠는 재계

•   디지털타임스: 글로벌 5G 스마트폰시장, 1년새 121% 성장

•   디지털타임스: 삼성 vs 애플 "이번엔 중저가폰 한판 붙자"

•   이데일리(P1): 알짜 빼가는 물적분할에 떠는 개미…정치권도 목소리

•   이데일리: “그 사업 보고 샀는데”…개미 뒷통수 때리는 쪼개기 상장

•   이데일리: "물적분할 자회사 상장, 결국 주주 권리 보호가 핵심"

•   이데일리: 해외선 기업분할 오히려 ‘환영’…왜

•   이데일리: [CES 2022]거스를 수 없는 탄소중립…올해도 ‘그린테크’ 빛났다

•   이데일리: 삼성·현대차·LG 일감몰아주기 규제 피했다..'총수 지분' 지각변동

•   이데일리: 부채 폭증의 시대…더 큰 경제위기 부른다

•   연합: 오후 9시까지 전국서 3천296명 확진…어제보다 183명 적어

•   연합: 현대차, 현실 공장과 똑같은 '쌍둥이 공장' 메타버스로 만든다

•   더구루: 카자흐스탄 원전 건설 추진…한수원·뉴스케일 호재?

•   더구루: SK 이어 두산, 모반디와 '안테나 소자' 개발 기술 맞손

•   에너지경제: 잘 나가는 민간 발전사…탄소중립 추진에 발전비중·사업영역 커진다

•   에너지경제: 풍력 전용 RPS 고정가격계약 입찰, 4월 첫 실시…국산부품 사용 땐 인센티브 강화

※   산업부: 에너지차관 민관합동「해상풍력TF」회의 주재

•   에너지경제: 탄소중립 암초…원자재 가격 급등에 새해부터 비용상승 우려

•   에너지경제: ESS 사업자, 전력공급 역할 확대에 목소리 키운다…관련단체 사단법인화 추진

•   에너지경제: LNG업계 새해 화두는 ‘탄소중립·수소·안전’

•   전자신문(P1): [CES 2022]삼성전자, OLED TV 시장 진출 공식 선언

•   전자신문: 메타버스 영토 넓히는 '가상부동산'…사업성 검증 '숙제'

•   전자신문: 수소경제 걷어찬 국회…'수소법 개정안' 상임위 통과 또 불발

[Opinions]

•   Project Syndicate(Nancy Qian): Making the Most of the Beijing Winter Games

•   Project Syndicate(William H. Janeway): Capital Is Not a Strategy

•   Project Syndicate(Richard Haass): A World of Mounting Disarray

•   FT(Editorial Board): Crunch time for Poland and the rule of law

•   FT(Editorial Board): Kazakh protests are a warning for other ex-Soviet autocrats

•   FT(Edward Luce): The awkward issue of Biden’s age

•   FT(Chris Giles): The rotten UK energy market is expensive and difficult to fix

•   FT(Robert Armstrong): The reflation trade is the Omicron trade

•   FT(Peter Spiegel): Kazakhs shine a light on Putin’s weakness — at the worst possible time

•   FT(Nastassia Astrasheuskaya): Putin faces judgment call on allies over gas supplies

•   FT(Bernard Schwartz): Joe Biden’s infrastructure plan rises to China challenge but faces its own

•   FT(John Reed): Myanmar massacre fuels calls for vote on UN arms embargo

•   FT(Jamie Powell): Don’t overcomplicate the rotation

•   FT(Lex): Kazakhstan/commodities: Russian troops provide cold comfort

•   FT(Lex): UK energy/windfall taxes: resist the impulse to tax luck

•   WSJ(B. Joseph Pine II): Inflation and the ‘Experience Economy’

•   WSJ(Bjorn Lomborg): Today’s Soaring Energy Prices Are Only the Beginning

•   NYT(Jeffrey Shaman): Here’s When We Expect Omicron to Peak

•   NYT(Wendy Parmet): The Government’s Ability to Control the Pandemic Is at Stake

•   WP(David Ignatius): Biden wants to turn Ukraine into a porcupine

•   WP(Henry Olsen): Biden’s efforts to build alliances against China are bearing fruit

•   Bloomberg(John Authers): The Fed's Minutes Shook Markets, but Reining in Exuberance Isn't All Bad

•   Bloomberg(Anjani Trivedi): Can Beijing Tolerate an EV Battery Monopoly?

•   Bloomberg(Hal Brands): The ‘Putin Doctrine’ Becomes Clear in Ukraine and Kazakhstan

•   Bloomberg(Javier Blas): Mild Winter Weather Has Helped Europe in Putin's Gas Wars

•   전자신문(사설): 발목 잡힌 수소법 개정안