[Markets]
※ Oil back below $100 as supply concerns ease
※ Some calm returns to markets, eyes on further sanctions
• 한국: 고유가에…풍력·원전주 치솟고 한전 '털썩'
[Indicators]
• US Jan. Personal spending·income: U.S. Consumer Spending Rose 2.1% in January and Inflation Accelerated Amid Omicron Wave
※ Commerce Department’s inflation gauge rose 6.1% from a year earlier
• US Jan. Pending home sales: U.S. Pending Home Sales Unexpectedly Fall by Most in 11 Months
• US Weekly Rig count: US drillers add oil and gas rigs for a record 19th month
• Eurozone Feb. Economic sentiment: Eurozone Economic Sentiment Rises in February
• UK Feb. Consumer confidence: UK consumer confidence plunges as surging living costs take toll
• 한국 1월 무역지수 및 교역조건: 교역조건 10개월째 악화일로…수입금액지수 34.4% 상승
• 한국 1월 주요 유통 업체 매출: 집콕 못참아…백화점·마트 1월 매출 18% 쑥
[Trackers]
• Johns Hopkins University: COVID-19 Global Cases & Deaths
• Worldometer: COVID Live Update
• Bloomberg: Covid-19 Vaccine Tracker
• CNN: Tracking America's recovery
• Bloomberg: Global PMI Tracker
• Bloomberg: The Covid Resilience Ranking
[Calendars]
[News]
※ Russian troops face fierce resistance in Ukraine as Western responses against Moscow mount and Putin puts nuclear forces on alert
※ Penalties unveiled Friday include sanctioning Vladimir Putin, a rare move by Washington aimed at punishing the Russian leader
※ Group will also take measures to paralyze the activities of Russia’s central bank in the latest response to the Kremlin’s attack on Ukraine
※ About half of U.S. counties meet new threshold for recommending masks indoors, including at schools, compared with 95% under earlier metrics
• WP: Post-ABC poll finds a deeply pessimistic nation, worried about the economy and Biden’s leadership
※ On Friday, Germany not only agreed to allow countries with German weapons to send deliveries to Ukraine, it also offered to send missiles, fuel and vehicles via Poland.
• Bloomberg: Biden Bets on U.S. Battery Independence
※ Russia-Ukraine talks imminent at Belarus border
※ Severe scenario puts hit to GDP close to 1%
• CNBC: Emerging market debt funds drop as Russia’s attack ripples to different corners of financial markets
• MarketWatch: Ukraine, surging inflation and wild price swings: How some see the state of stock market as Biden readies crucial SOTU
• SCMP: US, China ‘sorely need’ to resume trade talks and CPTPP could play role, American lobbyist says
• SCMP: Explainer | US-China trade war: was the phase-one trade deal a ‘historic failure’, and what’s next?
• SCMP: China’s ‘common prosperity’ push, consumer nationalism stir new challenges for global brands
• Global Times: Russia-Ukraine conflict starts to affect China-Europe trade
• Global Times: Exclusive: Chinese embassy in Ukraine mulls alternative plans apart from charter flights to evacuate Chinese nationals amid rising tensions
• Caixin: Weekend Long Read: The Weaknesses of New Structural Economics Theory’s Explanation of China’s Growth
• Nikkei Asia: U.S. should abandon ambiguity on Taiwan defense: Japan's Abe
• Nikkei Asia: Japan to quintuple gasoline subsidies in wake of $100 crude
• Nikkei Asia: China's Didi reverses course, will remain in Russia
• Nikkei Asia: China and U.S. soar ahead in flying car patent race
• Economic Times: India can be 3rd largest economy by 2030 on back of four big reforms: Arvind Panagariya
• Economic Times: India may grow at 9.5% in 2022: Moody's
• Economic Times: India's oil import bill to top $100 bn in current fiscal
• Economic Times: 443 infrastructure projects show cost overruns of Rs 4.45 lakh crore
• Power Engineering: Should we just burn hydrogen for electricity?
• MINING.com: Committing to carbon neutrality, venturing into forward-facing commodities is miners’ way to stay in business – report
• Construction Equipment: Governors Plan Big Infrastructure Investments
• Robotics & Automation News: Universal Robots products: Transforming the industrial landscape
• Robotics & Automation News: Caterpillar claims ‘world’s largest’ number of autonomous trucks
• Robotics & Automation News: Global industrial robot density in manufacturing sector doubles over 2021
• Robotics & Automation News: China aims for global leadership in robotics with new five-year plan
• Robotics & Automation News: Why Are Servo Motors Used So Widely in Robotics?
• 매경(P1): 공급망 덮친 전쟁…기업 '비상경영'
• 매경: 러 금융제재 강화땐 수출대금 못 받을 판
• 매경(P1): 서울시 "올해 공시가 30% 또 올라…새정부에 종부세 개편안 제안"
• 매경: 사전예약 돌풍 갤럭시S22 전세계 동시 출격
• 매경(P1): 원전이 주력이라는 文…운영연장은 모르쇠
• 매경: 서울 올 입주 반토막…전세시장 불안 불안
• 한경(P1): 공포가 된 중대재해…"정상업무 꿈도 못꿔"
• 한경: 勞, 모호한 중대재해법을 무기로 악용
• 한경(P1): 탈원전 외쳤던 문 대통령…대선 코앞서 "다시 원전"
• 한경: "러·우크라 전쟁, K조선엔 기회"
• 한경(P1): 글로벌 시장 'i의 공습'
• 한경: 올해 소비자물가 4%대 찍나
• 한경: 정치로 누른 물가, 대선 후가 더 문제
• 한경: 인플레 고통, 저소득층이 1.3배 더 크다
• 한경(P1): "살려달라는 호소 5년간 모르쇠, 이제 와서 원전이 주력이라니…"
• 서경(P1): 美·日·유럽, SWIFT 제재 착수…한러 무역 올스톱
• 서경(P1): 개학 코앞인데…'원격 - 등교' 대혼란
• 서경(P1): 3년만에 돌아온 MWC…'초연결 기술' 향연
• 서경: 克日 2년…잠자던 K-소부장 깨어났다
• 서경: 라스트마일에 꽂힌 모빌리티, PM 확대 바람
• 조선(P1): 대선 열흘 앞두고 탄도미사일 쏜 北
• 조선비즈: 대기업 44% “국민연금 반대 안건, 주총 통과 어렵다”
• 동아: “욕지해상풍력 반대” 어선 200척 시위
• 한국(P1): "오미크론 치명률, 의도적인 과소평가 위험하다" 전문가들의 '경고'
• 세계(P1): 오미크론 폭증에 지침 완화… 확진자 동거인, 3월부터 격리 ‘알아서’
• 한겨레: ‘비축유 방출’ 한국도 합의
• 경향(P1): 주식양도세 40%, 상위 0.1%가 납부
• 머니투데이(P1): 정부 "對러 수출통제 참여 3월초 美와 세부사항 협의"
• 머니투데이(P1): [단독]삼성 반도체 수장의 긴급 방미…백악관·파운드리 챙겼다
• 머니투데이: [단독]올해 공시가격 30% 급등 '폭탄' 없다…3가지 이유
• 머니투데이: "워낙 전기를 많이 쓰니"…잘나가는 반도체업계 '탄소중립' 고민
• 더벨: ㈜두산, IR자료에 담은 테스나 인수 의지
• 헤럴드경제(P1): 우크라까지…소용돌이 빠진 반도체M&A [헤럴드 뷰]
• 헤럴드경제: 무산, 무산 또 무산…반도체M&A 최대장벽은 ‘규제’
• 헤럴드경제: 절대강자 없는 차량용 반도체…가장 치열해질 글로벌 전쟁터
• 헤럴드경제: 부자가 서민보다 나랏돈 더 타갔다
• 파이낸셜뉴스: 對러 제재 속 반도체 장비주株 반사익 누리나
• 파이낸셜뉴스: 中저가공세 맞서… 한화큐셀, 美프리미엄 태양광 시장 공략
• 이데일리(P1): E 리스크 피하자'…삼성 올해 상반기 RE100 가입 추진
• 이데일리(P1): "우크라 사태, 1년이상 갈 수도…韓 인플레 압박 더 커질 것"
• 이데일리: '거품' 경고한 투자 귀재 "내년 폭락장 온다"
• 이데일리: 국민연금 대표소송 공은 소위원회로…경영계 우려는 여전
• 전자신문(P1): 우크라戰, 韓 반도체 영향…네온가스값 200% '급등'
• 전자신문(P1): 신한카드, 국내 '무선 아이폰결제' 상용화
• 전자신문: 로봇 스타트업 라운지랩, 4월 완전 무인카페 오픈
• 전자신문: 대덕전자, 올해 FC-BGA 매출 1500억 목표
• 로봇신문: 지난해 중국 산업용 로봇기업 투자액 역대 최대 기록
[Opinions]
• Project Syndicate(Nouriel Roubini): Russia's War and the Global Economy
※ It is tempting to think that the war in Ukraine will have only a minor economic and financial impact globally, given that Russia represents merely 3% of the world economy. But policymakers and financial analysts need to avoid such wishful thinking.
• Project Syndicate(Carl Bildt): Putin's Imperial Delirium
• Project Syndicate(Maciej Kisilowski, Anna Wojciuk): Ukraine's Lessons for NATO's Eastern Flank
• Project Syndicate(Jason Furman): The Economic Consequences of the Ukraine War
• Project Syndicate(Nina L. Khrushcheva): What's on Putin's Mind?
• Project Syndicate(Ricardo Hausmann): The Case for a Punitive Tax on Russian Oil
• Project Syndicate(William A. Haseltine): Could the COVID-19 Virus Evade the Vaccines?
• FT(Editorial Board): Ukraine conflict raises the possibility of stagflation
• FT(Editorial Board): A tragedy for Ukraine and all of Europe
• FT(Editorial Board): Putin underestimated Ukraine and the west
• FT(Rana Foroohar): China, Russia and the race to a post-dollar world
• FT(Gideon Rachman): Vladimir Putin’s grand plan is unravelling
• FT(Martin Sandbu): The EU must deploy financial shock and awe against Putin’s aggression
• FT(Mohamed El-Erian): Six factors to guide investors during Ukraine turmoil
• FT(Katie Martin): Cold market logic kicks in after Putin blindsides fund pros
• FT(John Dizard): Ukraine war disrupts global market for grains
• FT(Merryn Somerset Webb): The crisis in Ukraine adds a further dose of uncertainty to markets
• FT(Theodor Weimer): Capital markets union is key to a sovereign EU
• FT(Jonathan Guthrie): Swift delay highlights divisions in US-led sanctions alliance against Russia
• FT(Ethan Wu): Ukraine is not yet a markets crisis
• FT(Richard Shirreff): The politics of ‘iron and blood’ return to Europe
• FT(Mateusz Morawiecki): Polish PM: Europe must abandon all illusions about Russia
• FT(Joe Rennison): Credit cycle turning as Ukraine war adds to inflation concerns
• FT(Andrew Griffith): Business and government must work together to starve Putin of resources
• FT(Ben Hodges): Western allies must regain the initiative over Putin in the Black Sea
• FT(Claire Jones, Joseph Cotterill): Russia’s FX reserves slip from its grasp
• WSJ(Editorial Board): John Kerry’s Ukraine Emissions
• WSJ(Editorial Board): Taking NATO’s Article V Seriously
• WSJ(Editorial Board): Putin’s Ukraine Slaughterhouse
• WSJ(Editorial Board): Climate Cleanup at the Supreme Court
• WSJ(Editorial Board): Energy, Russia and American Power
• WSJ(Editorial Board): Taking NATO’s Article V Seriously
• WSJ(Holman W. Jenkins, Jr.): Should We Grow Up About Energy?
• WSJ(Kimberley A. Strassel): The Ukraine War Is Biden’s Time for Choosing
• WSJ(Peggy Noonan): Where Putin Goes From Here
• WSJ(Andy Kessler): Make Populism Pop Again
• WSJ(Elaine Kamarck, William A. Galston): Will Democrats Throw It All Away in the 2024 Presidential Election?
• WSJ(Tony Abbott): Putin Gambles That the West Is Weak
• NYT(Editorial Board): Mr. Putin Launches a Sequel to the Cold War
• NYT(Thomas L. Friedman): We Have Never Been Here Before
• NYT(Ross Douthat): Vladimir Putin’s Clash of Civilizations
• NYT(Emma Ashford): It’s Official: The Post-Cold War Era Is Over
• NYT(Ivan Krastev): We Are All Living in Vladimir Putin’s World Now
• NYT(Emily Tamkin): How the American Right Stopped Worrying and Learned to Love Russia
• NYT(Maureen Dowd): Rash Putin Razes Ukraine
• NYT(Jody Freeman): Will the Supreme Court Frustrate Efforts to Slow Climate Change?
• WP(Editorial Board): From the streets of Russia, protests rise to the war without a cause
• WP(Editorial Board): In a new world, the U.S. and its allies must rediscover old security truths — and develop new ones
• WP(Editorial Board): Welcome to the pandemic twilight. But ‘endemic’ does not mean gone forever.
• WP(Editorial Board): States are in a tax-cutting frenzy. It’s a sign of excess pandemic aid.
• WP(Editorial Board): The war is not going Putin’s way. Congress must pass Ukraine aid swiftly.
• WP(David Ignatius): Putin’s assault on Ukraine will shape a new world order
• WP(Eugene Robinson): Putin’s attack on Ukraine is about more than his own delusions of grandeur
• WP(Colbert I. King): Putin has unfinished business in America
• WP(Matt Bai): Putin thinks he can win a new Cold War. He may be right.
• WP(Daniel W. Drezner): The war in Ukraine is going badly for everyone
• WP(Nataliya Gumenyuk): The saddest irony of Putin’s war on Ukraine
• WP(Joshua Keating): Economic sanctions were designed as a severe threat. Now they’re a default policy option.
• WP(Linda Kinstler): To understand the Ukraine-Russia conflict, look to colonialism
• WP(Samuel A. Greene, Graeme B. Robertson): Putin’s rule depends on creating foreign enemies — and domestic ‘traitors’
• WP(Alexandra (Sasha) Zborovsky): Putin’s war aims to undo the traumas of the 1990s for Russians
• WP(Nataliya Gumenyuk): The saddest irony of Putin’s war on Ukraine
• Bloomberg(Editorial Board): Economic Power is the West's Best Weapon Against Putin
• Bloomberg(Mohamed A. El-Erian): Global Markets and Economy Can’t Escape War in Ukraine
• Bloomberg(Justin Fox): As the Ukraine Crisis Mounts, Can the U.S. Claim Energy Independence?
• Bloomberg(Clive Crook): Ukraine Reminds Us of What We Already Knew
• Bloomberg(Brooke Sample): Forecasting the Housing Market Still a Loser's Bet
• Bloomberg(Martin Ivens): Russia Invasion of Ukraine Shows the West's Embrace of Russian Money Has to End
• Bloomberg(Andreas Kluth): Putin Has Already Caused a Revolution in Germany
• Bloomberg(Tim Culpan, Tae Kim): Tech Sanctions Won’t Sting Russia for a While
• Bloomberg(Stephen Mihm): Putin’s Nuclear Threat Is Terrifying Even If He’s Bluffing
• Bloomberg(Robert Bruce Zoellick): U.S.-China Need a New Shanghai Communique on Trade, Nukes, Taiwan
• Bloomberg(David Wainer): Russia Sanctions Over Ukraine: Europe Needs to Take Some Pain
• Bloomberg(Jenny Paris): Waging War Through Financial Markets Is an Imperfect Tool
• Bloomberg(Paul J. Davies): The Almighty Dollar Isn't the Currency to Fight Russia
• CNN(Gad Levanon): The labor shortage could lead to a recession next year
• Fox News(Tucker Carlson): Russia's invasion of Ukraine is a humiliating defeat for Joe Biden
• Fox News(K.T. McFarland): Three ways to stop Putin's next power grab
• Fox News(Daniel Hoffman): What does Russia's Putin fear most?
• Fox News(James Jay Carafano): Putin's invasion, Biden's equivocation
• Reuters(John Kemp): U.S. oil drilling rises in response to higher prices
• Reuters(Clyde Russell): Ukraine crisis will disrupt crude, coal and LNG flows even without sanctions
• 한경(사설): 임기 다 끝나서야 '탈원전 오류' 시인하는 건가
• 한경(한상춘): 韓 경제 新위기론과 '현대공급중시경제학'
• 조선(사설): 文, 원전 생태계 망쳐 놓고 임기 끝에 “원전 충분히 활용”이라니
• 문화(정인교): 에너지 가격 고공 행진과 文정부 뒷북
• 세계(사설): 대선 앞두고 “원전이 주력 전원” 말바꾼 文, 국민 우롱하나
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