Business Intelligence Monitor 220216

(Introduction)

[Markets]

•   Global: Stocks rally, oil slips as Russia-Ukraine tensions ease

※   U.S., European stocks rally

※   Crude prices retreat from 7-year highs, gold dips

•   Metals: Copper edges higher as Russian troops return to base

•   Iron ore: China’s Iron Ore Crackdown Sparks Rout as BHP Sees Price Support

•   Grains: Wheat, corn lower on cooler Russia/Ukraine tensions

•   한국: 우크라이나발 불안에 코스피 9거래일만에 2,600대로 하락

•   한국: 장 끝나며 곤두박질 친 원·달러 환율, 원인은 LG에너지솔루션?

•   한국: "여보, 대출이자 어떡해"...우크라 위기에 국채금리 8년래 최고수준

[Indicators]

•   US Jan. PPI: Supplier Prices Jumped Last Month as U.S. Inflation Surged

※   Latest figures seen as reinforcing case for the Fed to raise rates at March policy meeting

•   US Feb. Empire State manufacturing index: New York factory activity is barely positive in February

•   Eurozone Q4 Employment: Euro-Area Employment Tops Pre-Covid Level, Shrugging Off Omicron

•   Eurozone Dec. Balance of trade: Rising energy costs push eurozone trade deficit to 13-year high

•   Germany Feb. ZEW economic sentiment: German Investor Confidence Grows on Hope of Looser Virus Curbs

•   UK Jan. Employment: UK price rises outpace wage growth despite labour shortages

•   Japan Q4 GDP: Japan’s Economy Recovered in Fourth Quarter

•   Indonesia Jan. Balance of trade: Indonesia Jan exports grow below expectation after coal shipment ban

•   한국 1월 자동차산업 동향: 자동차산업 생산·내수·수출지표 `트리플 마이너스`

•   한국 1월 수출 컨테이너 운임: 1년 새 3배 폭등한 해상운임비, 국내 물가 상승 부채질 ‘악순환’

•   한국 1월 부동산시장 소비자 심리: 주택 매매 심리 5개월 연속 위축… 2년8개월만에 `최저`

•   한국 1월 주택가격(부동산원): 전국 주택매매·전세 상승 둔화…1월 집값 상승률 0.1% 그쳐

[Trackers]

•   Johns Hopkins University: COVID-19 Global Cases & Deaths

•   Worldometer: COVID Live Update

•   Bloomberg: Covid-19 Vaccine Tracker

•   NYT: Covid-19 Vaccine Tracker: Latest Updates

•   FT: Pandemic crisis: Global economic impact tracker

•   FT: Inflation tracker: the latest figures as countries grapple with rising prices

•   CNN: Tracking America's recovery

•   Bloomberg: Global PMI Tracker

•   Bloomberg: The Covid Resilience Ranking

[News]

•   WSJ: Russia Says Some Troops Pulling Back From Ukraine Border as NATO Hopes for Diplomacy

※   Mixed military signals from Moscow come as Germany’s chancellor holds talks with Putin

•   WSJ: For Ukraine, Deterring Russia Is a Long-Haul Challenge Even if War Is Averted Now

•   WSJ: Senate Action on Russia Sanctions Bill Stalls Amid Partisan Disagreements

•   WSJ: U.S. Weighs China Factor in Drafting Plans to Punish Russia

•   WSJ: Thousands of Ukraine Soldiers Have Already Died in a War Started When They Were Boys

•   WSJ: The Fed Missed Inflation. Can Jay Powell Tame It Without Causing a Recession?

•   WSJ: Senate Republicans Block Vote on Biden’s Fed Nominees

※   GOP lawmakers registered their opposition to the candidacy of Sarah Bloom Raskin as a top banking regulator

•   WSJ: Biden Administration Seeking Additional $30 Billion for Covid-19 Response

•   WSJ: Drought in U.S. West Is Driest Period in Centuries

•   WSJ: Turkish Economy Could Get Caught in Russia-Ukraine Crossfire

•   WSJ: Russian Opposition Leader Alexei Navalny Faces Up to 15 Years in Prison as New Trial Opens

•   WSJ: Farmers Feel the Squeeze of Inflation

•   WSJ: Intel Nears Roughly $6 Billion Deal to Buy Tower Semiconductor

•   WSJ: Intel Leads the Management Top 250 All-Stars

•   WSJ: GM to Restart Chevy Bolt Production in April

•   WSJ: Toshiba Vote Is a Vote on Japan Inc.’s Future, Too

•   NYT: Biden Administration Promises to Buy ‘Clean’ Industrial Materials

※   White House: Fact Sheet: Biden-⁠Harris Administration Advances Cleaner Industrial Sector to Reduce Emissions and Reinvigorate American Manufacturing

•   NYT: A World Away From Ukraine, Russia Is Courting Latin America

•   NYT: The Age of Anti-Ambition

•   WP: U.S. ‘excess deaths’ during pandemic surpassed 1 million, with covid killing most but other diseases adding to the toll, CDC says

•   WP: How far is China willing to go to help Russia?

•   FT: Biden says there is still ‘room for diplomacy’ to solve Ukraine crisis

※   US president reiterates that Russian troops remain in a ‘threatening position’

•   FT: ECB ‘cannot ignore’ house price surge in inflation assessment, says executive

•   FT: EU seeks to mend ties with African Union countries

•   FT: Poll setback hits electoral strategy of Spain’s centre-right

•   FT: Price of securing standby winter generation hits record high in UK auction

•   FT: Population changes provide UK with unexpected boost to public finances

•   FT: US shares fresh claims of Moscow coup plot for Ukraine

•   FT: US considers suspending gas tax to combat rising inflation

•   FT: Can the Minsk accords help de-escalate Russia-Ukraine tensions?

•   FT: Emerging markets: all risk and few rewards?

•   FT: Oil’s climb towards $100 tempts US shale companies to shed restraint

•   FT: America can hardly quench its thirst for fossil fuels

•   FT: Glencore sets aside $1.5bn to settle UK, US and Brazil probes

•   FT: EU to take on SpaceX and Amazon with its own satellite internet system

•   Bloomberg: Democrats Vow to Curb Inflation as GOP Savors Told-You-So Moment

•   Bloomberg: U.S. Wages Rose in Covid Era Despite Recent Inflation Highs

※   Dallas Fed: Real Wages Grew During Two Years of COVID-19 After Controlling for Workforce Composition

•   Bloomberg: From Food Banks to Ice Cream: Inflation Is Biting Across Europe

•   Bloomberg: ECB Bond-Buying Could End in Third Quarter, Villeroy Says

•   Bloomberg: Spain’s Covid Slump Could Have Been Far Worse Without the ECB

•   Bloomberg: Euro-Area Economy Is at Risk From Gas-Supply Shock, ECB Says

•   Bloomberg: Italy Electricity Bills Set to More Than Double This Quarter

•   Bloomberg: Another U.K. Inflation Shock Will Likely Embolden BOE Rate Hawks

•   Bloomberg: China’s Covid Zero Policy Has Limited Drag on Economy, ANZ Says

•   Bloomberg: Bolsonaro Is Set to Meet With Putin, and Ukraine Isn’t on Agenda

•   Bloomberg: IMF Board to Discuss Progress in Argentina Program on Wednesday

•   Bloomberg: Indonesia’s Covid-19 Cases Exceed Previous Peak in Delta Wave

•   Bloomberg: Global Policy Chiefs Confront Hawkish Market Bets on Inflation

•   Bloomberg: Treasury Market Liquidity Is Eroding With Fed’s Course a Gamble

•   Bloomberg: China Market Watchers See PBOC Cutting Rates in Coming Months

•   Bloomberg: Permian Roughneck Shortage Clouds Outlook for Oil Output Growth

•   Reuters: U.S. Fed should act soon and decisively to raise rates -World Bank's Reinhart

•   Reuters: Omicron threat remains high in east Europe - WHO

•   Reuters: EU greenhouse gas emissions rebound in third quarter as economies revive

•   Reuters: Myanmar to skip ASEAN ministerial meeting, Cambodia says

•   Reuters: Factbox: What are Europe's options in case of Russian gas disruption?

•   Reuters: Analysis: Yuan wobbles revive worries about Asia's vulnerabilities

•   Reuters: Analysis: Japan's yen back in favour as a funding currency, but with more risks

•   Reuters: Analysis: U.S. yield curve prices for Fed tightening, shows fears of policy error

•   CNN: Exclusive: Russia-Ukraine conflict could cause inflation to hit 10%, new analysis finds

•   CNBC: As the Russia-Ukraine crisis unfolds, China and Taiwan are watching

•   CNBC: Soaring lumber price adds nearly $19,000 to the cost of a new home

•   CNBC: Global semiconductor sales top half a trillion dollars for first time as chip production gets boost

•   CNBC: Banks haven’t quit coal. Study says commercial lenders have channeled $1.5 trillion to the industry since 2019

•   CNBC: Investing Club: This chart shows inflation may be peaking — here’s what it means for stocks

•   Fox Business: Inflation's grip tightens in Mountain states, Midwest as consumer prices surge higher

•   SCMP: China’s local governments, hit by property market slowdown, court foreign investment to steady growth

•   SCMP: China hot money inflows maintain pace, but risks ahead as US edges towards rate increase

•   SCMP: Study of Chinese mRNA vaccine candidate shows booster raises effectiveness against Omicron

•   Nikkei Asia: TSMC lifts Japan chip plant investment, with Denso following Sony

•   Nikkei Asia: Ukraine crisis: Satellite images show movement in Russian forces

•   Nikkei Asia: U.S. housing-market bubble could burst this year: AEI's Lachman

•   매경(P1): 탈원전 외친 문재인 정부 5년, 원전 오히려 더 돌렸다

•   매경: 유가·LNG 값 더 뛰면 2월도 무역적자 불보듯

•   매경: 발전공기업 6社, 작년 2조5천억 채권찍어 빚 돌려막아

•   매경(P1): 몸값 1,000,000,000,000원…K유니콘 7곳 추가됐다

•   매경: 러·우크라 인근 韓생산기지 밀집…삼성·LG·SK도 바짝 긴장

•   매경: 美 "한국 지원 환영"…우크라사태 개입 압박

•   매경: 경제학자 57% "韓 5년뒤 제로성장"

•   매경: 두산重, 에너지사업 성장에 新분류기준 도입

•   한경(P1): 주담대 금리 연 6% '눈앞'

•   한경(P1): "없어서 못 사는 상황"…현대차 '캐스퍼' 판매 돌풍 비결

•   한경: 빚내기도 힘들다…가계대출 2조 감소

•   한경: 이재명 공약예산 300조…윤석열은 266조

•   한경: 韓銀의 모순…기준금리 올리면서 국채금리는 낮춘다?

•   한경: 포스코, 풍력발전용 소재 공급 확대

•   서경(P1): 원자재·물류비 폭등…1분기 기업실적 '빨간불'

•   서경(P1): [단독] '오일' 다음 '배터리'…사우디 국부펀드, SK온에 1조+α 베팅

•   서경: "4시간 자고 일해도 이자 감당 못해"…개인파산 5년새 최다

•   서경: 이달 들어 확진자 매주 두 배 증가에도…자영업자 반발에 방역 조치 완화 불가피

•   서경: 韓 탈원전 지지하는 그린피스코리아…핵심 임원은 중국인

•   서경: 배터리, 완성차와 원자재 가격연동 재협상…LCC는 유가 급등·환율 상승에 '적자 수렁'

•   서경: 추경 재원조달 '딜레마' 빠진 정부…세출 구조조정하면 하반기 경기 둔화 우려

•   서경: 1200개 중 900개 목표가↓…그나마 '반도체·소비재·금융'은 올려

•   서경: UMC 中공장 셧다운…8인치 웨이퍼 수급차질

•   조선(P1): 신규 확진 9만명 육박, 사망자도 급증

•   조선: “美·英은 정점 찍고 하락세, 한국은 계속 확산”

•   조선: “車반도체 모자라 죽을 맛”이라더니… 車업체들 매출·영업이익은 최대

•   조선: [단독] 새똥광 대책이 ‘매 모양 연’?... 정부의 새똥 딜레마

•   조선: [단독] 갤S22에 ‘삼성 두뇌’ 못심었다, 머리 아픈 삼성

•   조선: 증권사 전망은 벌써 ‘십만전자’... 대체 언제 올라가나

•   조선비즈: 배터리부터 자동차까지…글로벌 수소기업 담은 ETF 줄줄이 상장

•   조선비즈: “배터리 원료 中 의존도 낮춰라”… 각 국·주요기업 골머리

•   조선비즈: [단독] 곡물 수입액, 사상 첫 석달 연속 8억弗 돌파…밥상 물가도 우크라發 쇼크

•   조선비즈: 文정부가 공들인 새만금 수상 태양광… 분쟁으로 또 표류 위기

•   조선비즈: 겨울 지나고 봄바람 부는 메모리 반도체…슈퍼사이클 다시 탄다

•   조선비즈: 김동연 “선거공학으로의 단일화 관심 없다”

•   인베스트조선: 코로나發 공급망 불안에…물류업계 급한 숙제된 'JIC(만약을 대비)' 전략

•   중앙: [View & Review] 40일 새 12조 몰린 정기예금…증시서 자금 ‘유턴’

•   중앙: 분양가 상한제에도 서울 분양가 1년새 17% 급등

•   동아: 원자재값 상승에 배터리-석유화학 줄줄이 타격

•   문화(P1): 진단키트 1개 6000원… 다음달 5일까지 적용

•   문화: 美, ‘휴머노이드’ 선뵈는데… 韓, 원천기술보다 ‘단품 로봇’ 급급

•   문화: “우주항공 같은 장기투자 없어 아쉬워…긴 안목으로 다각적 연구역량 쌓아야”

•   문화: 로봇개발 기업 경쟁력 위해… ‘인재육성·부품 국산화’ 정부지원 시급

•   한국(P1): [단독] 정부, 거리두기 '사적모임 8명·영업시간 오후 10시' 완화 가닥

•   한국: 전국 지자체 "올해 전기차 20만대 보급"…실현 가능성은 '글쎄'

•   국민: 복지 늘리겠다면서도… 대선주자들 ‘묻지마 감세’ 경쟁

•   머니투데이(P1): 서울 사람들 "청약통장 깹니다"…이유는

•   머니투데이: [단독] "우리집 빚 총액, 나라가 따져준다"...통계청 연구 착수

•   머니투데이: [단독] "대우조선 살릴 방법 찾아라"…조선 밑그림 다시 그린다

•   머니투데이: 학자출신 사외이사 많은 韓…기업인이 대부분인 英·美

•   헤럴드경제: 채권단 졸업 초읽기…두산 앞 ‘두 개의 산’

•   파이낸셜뉴스(P1): 반도체發 신차 대란… 쏘렌토 대기만 14개월 [車반도체 대란 '반사이익']

•   파이낸셜뉴스: '갤럭시S·Z' 투트랙 혁신… 하반기는 폴더블폰 '올인' [삼성 갤럭시S22 열풍]

•   파이낸셜뉴스: 한전, 무탄소발전기술 상용화로 탄소중립 이끈다

•   아시아경제(P1): "곧 100달러" 불 붙은 국제유가…국내 휘발유값도 1800원 눈 앞

•   아시아경제: 韓 코로나 재정지출 적다고?…돈 더 푼 국가들, 물가 더 올랐다

•   아시아경제: "이자도 영끌시대"…월급쟁이는 웁니다

•   아시아경제: 한풀 꺾인 집값… 하락진입? 재반등? 전문가들도 갸웃

•   아시아경제: 갤S22 완판인데…삼성도 '반도체 수급' 걱정

•   디지털타임스(P1): [기획] 1월 사상최대 전력 판매에도 한숨 짓는 한전

•   디지털타임스(P1): 기업인 45% "올해 국내경제 전망 부정적"

•   이데일리(P1): 기업 자금조달 초비상…회사채 시장 급랭

•   이데일리: 금리 더 뛰기 전에…이자 더 주고라도 회사채 찍는다

•   이데일리: 보릿고개 넘고 보자…회사채 발행 미루고 '몸 사리기'도

•   이데일리: 안팔리자 증권사에 떠넘기기…회사채 발행 갑질논란

•   이데일리(P1): 매달 1조원씩 풀린 실업급여…수급자 넷 중 셋은 취업 안했다

•   연합: K-UAM '에어택시' 상용화 본격 추진…내년 1단계 실증 사업

•   더퍼블릭: 두산 “성남시 요청으로 성남FC에 후원금” 진술…박은정은 왜 분당서로 돌려보냈나?

•   에너지경제: 에경연 "러-우크라 사태는 국내 에너지수급에 영향…유류세 인하·LNG 관세면제 연장해야"

•   에너지경제: [팩트체크] 태양광·풍력, "세계적 추세?"...IEA "전체 발전량 각 3-5% 그쳐"

•   에너지경제: "세계 석탄 수요 늘어날 전망…글로벌 넷제로 달성 어려워"

[Opinions]

•   Project Syndicate(Anne-Marie Slaughter): Anne-Marie Slaughter Says More…

•   Project Syndicate(Nurul Izzah Anwar): Measuring Poverty Properly

•   Project Syndicate(Mark Leonard): Will Putin Unite Europe?

•   Project Syndicate(Robert Skidelsky): Can the Olympics Prevent War?

•   Project Syndicate(Antara Haldar): Boris Johnson's Last Affair?

•   FT(Editorial Board): The Covid aftermath requires sovereign debt restructuring

•   FT(Martin Wolf): The looming threat of long financial Covid

•   FT(Ben Hall): Poland extends ‘olive branch’ on rule of law amid Russian security threat

•   FT(Susan Holmberg): The techlash is the first step to restoring a fair US economy

•   WSJ(Editorial Board): Tokyo’s Yield-Curve Defense

•   WSJ(Daniel Yergin): America Takes Pole Position on Oil and Gas

•   WSJ(John Bolton): Entente Multiplies the Threat From Russia and China

•   WSJ(Walter Russell Mead): ‘Asia First’ Misses the Point

•   NYT(Paul Krugman): Trump’s Big China Flop and Other Failures

•   WP(Editorial Board): Biden’s Cost-of-Carbon Inflation

•   WP(David Ignatius): Does Putin want a diplomatic solution in Ukraine? It’s not looking that way.

•   WP(David Von Drehle): In their excesses, Putin and Xi might be unwittingly saving the West

•   WP(Katrina vanden Heuvel): A path out of the Ukraine crisis

•   Bloomberg(Editorial Board): Modest Progress Should Be Welcomed in the Middle East

•   Bloomberg(Daniel Moss): Good News, Growth Laggards. You’re Ahead of the Game

•   Bloomberg(Tyler Cowen): Inflation Will Be Exactly What People Expect It to Be

•   Bloomberg(John Authers): The Ukraine Crisis Comes Amid Falling Consumer Sentiment, Impacting Risk

•   Bloomberg(Jonathan Bernstein): Why Fed Nomination Fights Don't Get Crazy

•   매경(사설): 탈원전 외치면서 원전 더 가동하는 文정부의 자가당착

•   매경(지만수): 중국은 왜 탄소중립에 베팅하나

•   조선(사설): 과도한 태양광을 ‘민폐’로 지적해 제동 건 일본 사례