Business Intelligence Monitor 220223

(Introduction)

[Markets]

•   Global: Oil soars, stocks fall as Russia, Ukraine fears intensify

※   U.S. stock indexes tumble, S&P confirms correction

※   Crude oil pares gains after hitting highest levels since 2014

※   U.S. dollar down, U.S. Treasuries rise, gold in the red

•   Metals: Aluminium and nickel hit multi-year highs on Russian supply threat

•   Iron ore: Iron ore price retreats amid concerns of policy risks in China

•   Grains: Grains, soybeans rally on fear of Russia-Ukraine conflict, surging oil

•   한국: 코스피, 우크라 전운 고조에 1.35% 하락…2,700선 턱걸이

[Indicators]

•   US Dec. Case–Shiller home price: Home-Price Growth Hit Record in 2021

•   US Feb. Consumer confidence: U.S. Consumer Confidence Drops to Five-Month Low in February

•   US Feb. PMI: Economy Gained Momentum in February Despite Inflation Worries

•   Germany Feb. Ifo business climate: German Businesses Are More Optimistic After Omicron Peak

•   UK Jan. Fiscal account: UK public sector surplus in January misses forecasts

•   한국 4분기 가계신용: 가계빚 1862조원 또 사상최대… 증가폭 역대 2위

•   한국 2월 BSI·ESI: 기업체감경기 2개월째 하락…제조업은 개선, 비제조업은 악화

[Trackers]

•   Johns Hopkins University: COVID-19 Global Cases & Deaths

•   Worldometer: COVID Live Update

•   Bloomberg: Covid-19 Vaccine Tracker

•   NYT: Covid-19 Vaccine Tracker: Latest Updates

•   FT: Pandemic crisis: Global economic impact tracker

•   FT: Inflation tracker: the latest figures as countries grapple with rising prices

•   CNN: Tracking America's recovery

•   Bloomberg: Global PMI Tracker

•   Bloomberg: The Covid Resilience Ranking

[News]

•   WSJ: U.S. to Sanction Two Russian Financial Institutions, Sovereign Debt, Elites and Family Members, Biden Says

※   More sanctions to follow if Russian invasion continues, president says

※   White House: FACT SHEET: Executive Order to Impose Costs for President Putin’s Action to Recognize So-Called Donetsk and Luhansk People’s Republics

•   WSJ: U.S. Adds Sanctions on Moscow After Concluding Russia Invaded Ukraine

※   White House has grappled with how to impose penalties in a way that would retain leverage in case of further escalation

※   White House: Fact Sheet: United States Imposes First Tranche of Swift and Severe Costs on Russia

•   WSJ: Sanctions Against Russia Roll Out; West Says More Could Come

•   WSJ: How Much Could Sanctions Hurt Russia’s Economy?

•   WSJ: In Ukraine Crisis, Putin Confounded Diplomatic Efforts by Western Leaders

•   WSJ: Fed’s Bostic Says Ukraine Crisis Adds Risk to Outlook

•   WSJ: Pro-Russian Infiltrators Are Ready to Pounce Should All-Out War Begin, Ukrainian Officials Warn

•   WSJ: Russian Escalation in Ukraine Raises Global Economic Risks

•   WSJ: Why This Economic Boom Can’t Lift America’s Spirits

•   WSJ: U.S. Urges Canada to Abandon Digital Service Tax

•   WSJ: Bearish Bets Against Markets Are Surging

•   WSJ: Meta’s Facebook Escalates TikTok Rivalry, Launches Reels Globally

•   WSJ: Logistics Companies Move to Snatch Up Supply-Chain Tech Startups

•   NYT: Three key decisions have shaped Biden’s handling of the Ukraine crisis.

•   NYT: The Limits of a Europe Whole and Free

•   NYT: As Elections Near, Macron Tries to Balance Being ‘King’ and Candidate

•   NYT: The Russia-Ukraine Crisis Is Shaking Markets and Portfolios

•   WP: In a Ukrainian city on Russia’s doorstep, Putin’s plans stir deep worries and defiance

•   WP: How U.S. sanctions against Russia work

•   WP: Biden to announce new spending on mineral production to address supply chain challenges

※   White House: FACT SHEET: Securing a Made in America Supply Chain for Critical Minerals

•   FT: Scholz takes heat off Germany with decision to freeze Nord Stream 2 project

※   Chancellor surprises political observers by suspending approval for contentious gas pipeline

•   FT: EU to blacklist officials after Moscow sends troops into Ukraine

※   Targeted sanctions package likely to mirror US, UK measures

※   European Commission: Statement by the Presidents of the European Commission and the European Council on Russian aggression against Ukraine

•   FT: Russia’s aggression tests limits of Ukraine’s restraint

•   FT: After recognising breakaway regions in Ukraine, what are Putin’s options?

•   FT: Nato membership must remain an option for Ukraine, says Finland

•   FT: EU targets Myanmar’s lucrative energy sector in latest sanctions

•   FT: Boris Johnson under fire over ‘peashooter’ Russian sanctions

•   FT: Senior BoE official signals ‘modest tightening’ of monetary policy

•   FT: Employers face ‘legal vacuum’ when all Covid restrictions lift in England

•   FT: How Xi Jinping’s anti-corruption crusade went global

•   FT: Oil majors and commodity traders at risk from new sanctions on Russia

•   Bloomberg: Russian Forces Will Be Far Away From Key Oil Pipeline

•   Bloomberg: IEA Says Monitoring Russian Statements ‘With Growing Concern’

•   Bloomberg: After Supply Chains, ‘Demand Chains’ Might Be the Next Big Thing

•   Bloomberg: After Long Covid, U.S. Businesses Get Ready for Long Inflation

•   Bloomberg: Narrow Window to Clear Clogged U.S. Port Hinges on Demand Waning

•   Bloomberg: Biden Halts Oil Permits Just as Gasoline Prices Surge on Ukraine

•   Bloomberg: Is Putin Playing Macron? French Voters Back Their Leader for Now

•   Bloomberg: Germany’s ‘Friendly Hawk’ Signals How Far He’s Willing to Bend

•   Bloomberg: France Expects ‘Contained’ Economic Impact From Ukraine Crisis

•   Bloomberg: You Can Catch the Omicron Virus Twice, Danish Study Finds

•   Bloomberg: Queen Still Has Mild COVID Symptoms, Cancels Online Meetings

•   Bloomberg: Putin Escalation Leaves China’s Xi With Difficult Balancing Act

•   Bloomberg: China Broadens Real Estate Lending Support to Bigger Cities

•   Bloomberg: China Boosts Cash Injection Into Banking System Before Month-End

•   Bloomberg: China Fights Latest Debt Crisis With Firm That Caused Last One

•   Bloomberg: Beijing Backs Hong Kong Lockdown as Covid Crisis Worsens, Sources Say

•   Bloomberg: Bond Traders’ U.S. Inflation Outlook Hits Record as Oil Rallies

•   Bloomberg: Fed Tightening May Usher in Yield Curve Inversion Late This Year

•   Bloomberg: Biden’s Russian Bond Ban Gives a Jolt to Global Debt Traders

•   Bloomberg: OPEC+ Sees No Need to Pump Faster as Oil Heads Toward $100

•   Bloomberg: Russian Oil Sells at Deepest Discount in Years Amid Tensions

•   Bloomberg: Iran Nuclear Diplomacy’s Endgame Nears for Energy Markets

•   Bloomberg: Sanctions Will Boost Europe’s Dependency on U.S. Gas, CEO Says

•   Bloomberg: India’s Fuel Appetite Seen at a Record Even as Oil Nears $100

•   Bloomberg: Elon Musk Dismissed Tesla (TSLA) German Factory Water Issue. Now It's a Problem

•   Reuters: UK says G7 foreign ministers agreed coordinated escalatory sanctions on Russia

•   Reuters: Biden sends troops to Baltics, F-35s to NATO's eastern flank -U.S. official

•   Reuters: EXCLUSIVE Punishing Putin: How Biden could cut Russia off from world tech

※   Biden administration could deprive it of a vast swath of low- and high-tech U.S. and foreign-made goods

•   Reuters: Russia's Yamal-Europe gas pipeline flows east as Ukraine crisis escalates

•   Reuters: ECB may need to cut short bond buys: Reinesch

•   Reuters: China plans bigger tax cuts in 2022 to prop up slowing growth

•   Reuters: China concerned about 'worsening' Ukraine situation, warns nationals there

•   Reuters: Antibody triggered by Sinopharm COVID booster wanes after six months - study

•   Reuters: Iran appears ready to swap prisoners with U.S.; nuclear deal near

•   Reuters: Nuclear accord must lift all sanctions harming Iran's economy -government spokesman

•   Reuters: Brazil's economy minister Guedes says he would stay for Bolsonaro second term

•   Reuters: Oil could jump by $20 if Ukraine crisis worsens, says BofA

※   The bank sees Brent heading to $120 a barrel by mid-2022

•   Reuters: ANALYST VIEW 4-Escalating Russia-Ukraine crisis ripples through markets

•   Reuters: Analysis: Putin moves on Donbass but signals deeper designs on Ukraine

•   AP: WHO: New COVID cases fall for the 3rd week, deaths also drop

※   The number of new coronavirus cases around the world fell 21% in the last week

•   AP: EXPLAINER: Deciding when to use ‘invasion’ label in Ukraine

•   CNN: How a battery shortage could threaten US national security

•   CNN: The Middle East already has a crypto hub, and it's not Dubai

•   CNBC: Russia’s Ukraine incursion could complicate the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decisions

•   CNBC: Will Putin’s troops stop in eastern Ukraine? The world waits for Russia’s next move

•   CNBC: The chance of a full-scale invasion of Ukraine is ‘very, very high,’ analyst says

•   CNBC: These U.S. companies face geopolitical risk from Russia-Ukraine, JPMorgan says

•   CNBC: Covid infections plummet 90% from U.S. pandemic high, states lift mask mandates

•   Hill: Russia approves legislation allowing troop deployment in Ukraine's rebel regions

•   SCMP: Coronavirus cases reported in more than 10 provinces across mainland China

※   There were four locally acquired cases in Beijing, all of whom had attended a training session in another province

•   SCMP: Ukraine crisis: China’s economy faces ‘minimal’ fallout from sanctions on Russia, despite close ties

•   SCMP: Ukraine crisis: why India isn’t condemning Russia, unlike the rest of the Quad

•   SCMP: China delays new anti-money laundering rules amid privacy worries, pushback from small financial firms

•   SCMP: Beijing berates US for ‘trying to include Taiwan in strategy to contain China’

•   Global Times: China handles complex Ukraine crisis with caution, principle

•   Caixin: Global LNG Supply Will Fall 100 Million Tons Short by Mid-2020s

•   Nikkei Asia: Anticipating retaliation, Japan scrambles to review Russian imports

•   Nikkei Asia: Asia's arms race: China spurs military spending spree

•   Nikkei Asia: China's Envision to produce 1,000-km range EV batteries in 2024

•   Economic Times: Barclays pegs India's Q3 GDP growth at 6.6%

•   OilPrice.com: The World Cannot Afford To Replace Russian Oil

•   MINING.com: Charts: Copper project pantry bare from 2025

•   DIGITIMES: Apple reportedly conducts 2nd-phase EVT for upcoming AR headset

•   DIGITIMES: IC design houses positive about demand for notebooks in 2022

•   DIGITIMES: TSMC obtains significant sub-7nm chip orders

•   DIGITIMES: What India's Vedanta plans in JV with Foxconn

•   매경(P1): "전국배송 초비상"…택배노조, 아시아 최대 물류허브까지 막았다

•   매경(P1): 공정위 "40개 독점노선 해소하라"…대한항공·아시아나 결합 승인

•   매경(P1): 게임은 넣고, 예술품 빼고…NFT 가상자산 기준 제시

•   매경: "푸틴이 코로나보다 더 무섭네"…반도체 차 음식료주 '덜덜'

•   매경: 우크라發 공급망 위기에 청와대도 발등의 불

•   매경: 이재명 "기축통화국 가능" 발언…현실 가능성은? [팩트체크]

•   매경: "국민연금 대표소송 일원화땐 정부 입김 작용해 위험천만"

•   매경: "우크라 변수 있지만 무역수지 1월이 저점"

•   매경: 현대차 中 충칭공장, 작년 12월 가동중단

•   매경: 손경식 경총회장 만장일치 연임

•   매경: 갤럭시S22 돌풍…출하량 3천만대 가나

•   매경: 앞으로 한두달 어쩌면 당신도…'코로나 종전선언' 대체 언제쯤

•   한경(P1): 메타버스 임원회의 연 신동빈

•   한경(P1): 전세대출 200조…2년 새 두 배로

•   한경: "2억 전셋집 주인, 단돈 5000만원으로 집 산 갭투자자"

•   한경: 반도체 특수가스 의존도 50% 달해…韓 메모리 생산 차질 우려

•   한경: "공포를 사자"…개미는 담았다

•   한경: LG이노텍 "반도체 기판이 새 먹거리"…4130억 투입

•   한경: "무인셔틀 상용화 추진"…롯데정보통신, 4단계 자율주행

•   한경: 흔해진 아이오닉 5·모델3…전기차 10만대 시대 열었다

•   서경(P1): [단독] 건설현장도 '인플레의 공습'…골조공사 셧다운 위기

•   서경: "35년만에 자재값 동시 폭등 처음"…건설현장 '셧다운'되나

•   서경: 6년간 동결한 표준건축비…인상 놓고 고민에 빠진 정부

•   서경: 지방은 인력 공급 사실상 막혀…"외국인 근로자 웃돈 줘야 고용"

•   서경: MZ 쇼핑몰 사장님 반란…60년 동대문시장 전통 깼다

•   서경: 대선 앞두고…'종부세 감면' 자료 재탕한 기재부

•   서경: 우크라發 EU에너지위기 점화…풍력株 바람불까

•   조선(P1): 확진 16만명 넘었다, 재택치료도 50만명 육박... 가족감염 비상

•   조선: “80대는 오미크론 치명률 4.9%... 얕봐선 안돼”

•   조선비즈: ‘에너지 저장장치(ESS)’ 규제 또 강화되나… 업계 ‘초긴장’

•   조선비즈: 삼성전자, 비주력 사업 정리하고 대형 M&A 노린다

•   조선비즈: 층수제한 풀어주면 서울 분양 숨통 트일까… “용적률·재초환 개선 없인 어려워”

•   인베스트조선: '어닝쇼크' 논란 키운 후진적 IR 문화...국내 상장사도 '분기 가이던스' 필요

•   중앙: 두산 이르면 이달 채권단 관리 ‘졸업’…박정원 사업재편 승부수

•   동아(P1): “일단 철수” 러-우크라 진출 韓기업들도 비상

•   동아: 기업 “사회문제 해결 정신 필요”… ESG로 지속가능한 성장 눈돌려

•   동아: 태양광 발전, 빛 반사-전자파 적지만 패널 재활용 확대는 과제

•   동아: 4차 접종 시작… 계속 맞아도 괜찮은걸까

•   문화(P1): “국민연금 대표소송 땐 韓기업 헤지펀드 먹잇감 전락”

•   문화(P1): 0~9세 확진 비율 全연령대서 최고

•   국민: ‘폴더블 전쟁’ 다음은 노트북… 국내외 업체들 한판 붙는다

•   경향: 월 전기료 1000원…원전 예정지가 신재생에너지 도시로 180도 변신

•   머니투데이(P1): 132조 '코로나 대출' 결국 연장·유예…은행 "단계적 정상화 필요"

•   머니투데이: 한달 새 6조 껑충...삼성전자 매출 전망 또 올랐다

•   더벨: 두산중공업, 유증 실권주 청약 흥행…경쟁률 205대1

•   파이낸셜뉴스(P1): 현대모비스, 모빌리티에 3년간 8조 투자

•   파이낸셜뉴스: "폐염전에 태양광 발전"… ‘친환경·지역상생’ 두토끼 잡았다

•   아시아경제(P1): 코로나19 장기화로 '빚 감당' 힘든 시민 ↑…1인 가구 비율 58%에 달해

•   아시아경제: 우크라이나發 지정학 리스크 커진 韓경제…유가 100弗 터치하면 물가 1.1%P 상승

•   아시아경제: [격전의 반도체]공급 부족에 5000억달러 날아갔다

•   아시아경제: [격전의 반도체]빅딜 쏟아지는데...멈춰버린 韓 반도체 몸집 키우기

•   디지털타임스: 대출절벽에 한풀 꺾인 청약시장

•   디지털타임스: 글로벌 TV시장 OLED로 전환 빨라진다

•   이데일리(P1): 라구람 라잔의 경고…"공짜점심 끝낼 때, 韓 `재정부양+금리인상` 부적절"

•   이데일리: 라구람 라잔 "비트코인 주류 자산에…배척 말고 제도권 편입해야"

•   이데일리(P1): 수천억대 빅딜 연발 메타버스 빅뱅온다

•   이데일리: ‘디지털 신대륙 메타버스에 올라타라'…엎치락뒤치락 생존경쟁 치열

•   이데일리: '적이자 동지'로 거미줄처럼 얽혔다…파워IP에 잇단 러브콜

•   연합: 1월 일자리 코로나 전보다 늘었다는데…풀타임으로는 98만개↓

•   연합: 전경련 "외투기업 10곳 중 9곳, 아직 올해 투자계획 못 세워"

•   e대한경제: 올 종심제 최대어 수출용신형연구로 시공권 놓고 삼성ㆍ대우ㆍ두산중 3파전

•   이뉴스투데이: [단독] 역대 최고가 넘어선 LNG…“에너지 시장 이상 조짐”

•   더구루: 한전·동서발전, 괌 우쿠두 복합화력 사업비 700억 증액

•   CEO스코어데일리: 국민연금, 대기업 주총서 날 세웠다…임원선임 69번·보수한도 56번 반대

•   에너지경제: 文대통령 5대강국 비전 해상풍력발전 사업 대선 정국서 논란

•   에너지경제: 기로에 선 재생에너지산업…업계, 이재명 후보 총력 지지 나선 속사정?

•   에너지경제: "발전 공기업 너도나도 LNG 터미널 투자, 건설비 급등에 경제성 재검토 필요"

•   전자신문(P1): 원전 전력거래량·가동률 최대치

•   전자신문(P1): LG, 국내외 13개 기업 모인 초거대 AI 연합전선 구축

•   전자신문: [스페셜리포트] "원전, 재생에너지와 함께 탄소중립 첨병" 커지는 목소리

•   전자신문: [스페셜리포트]사용후핵연료 문제 해결은 '난제'

•   전자신문: '차세대 원전', 글로벌 탄소중립 핵심 인프라 부상

•   전자신문: 솔루스첨단소재, 내달 북미 동박 공장 부지 매입 완료

•   디지털데일리: TSMC는 엔비디아, 인텔은 퀄컴 잡는다…삼성 파운드리 어쩌나

[Opinions]

•   Project Syndicate(Edward N. Wolff): The Upside of US Inflation

•   Project Syndicate(Carl Bildt): Russia's Lethal Identity Crisis

•   Project Syndicate(Willem H. Buiter): The Case Against Fed Gradualism

•   FT(Editorial Board): The west must show greater resolve over Russia’s aggression

•   FT(Martin Wolf): As inflation rises, the monetarist dog is having its day

•   FT(Tony Barber): Putin’s distortion of Ukraine’s history lays ground for further operations

•   FT(Katie Martin): Ukraine conflict: the risks looming for investors

•   FT(Lindsay Cook): Energy bills recharge the case for solar panels

•   FT(Andrey Kurkov): Concern for Ukraine is no longer enough — the west’s diplomats must act

•   WSJ(Editorial Board): Cracks in Western Resolve on Russia

•   WSJ(William A. Galston): Ukraine Invasion Marks an Era’s End

•   NYT(Editorial Board): A Pointed Response to Putin’s Provocations

•   NYT(Dennis C. Blair, Joseph F. Dunford Jr.): The West’s Delusion of Energy Independence

•   WP(Editorial Board): This is the way the postwar world ends

•   WP(Catherine Rampell): Why the poor suffer most from inflation, even though their wages have risen a lot

•   WP(David Ignatius): Surprising cracks, if small ones, appear in Kremlin support for Putin on Ukraine

•   WP(Jennifer Rubin): Yes, Putin’s invasion has begun. And the threat extends beyond Ukraine.

•   WP(George F. Will): Putin, in his feral cunning, is Bismarckian, with a dash of Lord Nelson

•   WP(David Von Drehle): Putin is reading from Stalin’s playbook. Here’s how the West should handle him.

•   WP(Marc A. Thiessen): The White House’s pathetic response to Putin’s invasion

•   WP(Hugh Hewitt): The world is awake to China’s and Russia’s malign ambitions

•   WP(Charles Lane): Does the world have answers for the questions Putin has raised?

•   WP(Daniel W. Drezner): The lose-lose outcome in Ukraine

•   WP(Robert Kagan): What we can expect after Putin’s conquest of Ukraine

•   WP(ett V. Benson, Bradley C. Smith): NATO’s membership rules invite conflict — and benefit Putin

•   Bloomberg(Editorial Board): The America Competes Act Is Too Big for Its Own Good

•   Bloomberg(Mohamed A. El-Erian): Fed's Inflation Mistakes Narrow Its Options as Russia-Ukraine Tensions Escalate

•   Bloomberg(Conor Sen): When We'll See Light at the End of the Inflation Tunnel

•   Bloomberg(Andy Mukherjee): India’s Giving Inflation Room to Grow, But That May Bite

•   Bloomberg(Liam Denning): Biden’s Ukraine Response Is Mired in Barrels of Oil

•   Bloomberg(Jonathan Bernstein): Ukraine Crisis Matters to Joe Biden and His Reputation

•   Bloomberg(Jonathan Bernstein): Biden’s Ukraine Speech Was Aimed at U.S. Allies, Not Voters

•   Bloomberg(Lionel Laurent): Energy Will Test Europe’s Unity on Ukraine — Putin Knows It

•   Bloomberg(Leonid Bershidsky): Putin's Recognition of Breakaway Republics in Ukraine Poses a Long-Term Crisis

•   Bloomberg(Bobby Ghosh): Will Sanctions Halt Putin’s Advance in Ukraine?

•   Bloomberg(James Gibney): Ukraine Can’t Escape Putin’s Mind

•   CNN(Mark Wolfe): Iran appears ready to swap prisoners with U.S.; nuclear deal near

•   Fox News(Liz Peek): Biden's weakness delivers chaos to US and the world

•   Fox News(Rebecca Grant): Russia's latest Ukraine move offers Biden's last chance at world leadership

•   서경(김영문): 에너지의 정의로운 전환