Tuesday, September 27, 2022

Global Economic Monitor 220928

(Introduction)

[Markets]
※   U.S. and global equity indexes deepen bear market
※   Government bond yields climb again
※   Dollar holds huge gains; sterling can't recover
※   Oil rallies from Monday's nine-month lows


[Indicators]
•   US Jul. Case–Shiller home price: Home Prices Suffer First Monthly Decline in Years
•   China Sep. Economic activiy(Bloomberg): China’s Economic Recovery Faces Fresh Risks From Global Slowdown
•   China Aug. Industrial profits: China Industrial Profits Fell More as Producer Prices Slowed
•   한국 2021년 사망원인통계: 지난해 사망자 31만7680명 ‘역대 최다’


[Lawmakers & Policies]


[News]
※   Blinken said the U.S. would never recognize the annexation, which could enable Moscow to say Russia is being attacked if Kyiv’s offensive continues
※   Washington looks to further squeeze Moscow, while economic impact on continent tests resolve of EU members
※   Emerging economies in Asia are seen outpacing China for the first time since 1990
※   Huw Pill signals central bank does not expect to act before November following UK government’s tax-cutting plans
※   Multilateral lender warns ‘untargeted’ fiscal package risks stoking inflation
•   전자신문(P1): 겁난다, 핀테크 '이중 규제'


[Opinions]
•   Project Syndicate(Stephen S. Roach): Core Dangers for the Fed and China
•   Project Syndicate(Andrew Sheng, Xiao Geng): In Search of a Development Plan for Asia
•   Project Syndicate(M. Niaz Asadullah): Asia’s Captive Market for Migrant Labor
•   Project Syndicate(Antara Haldar): Amazon’s Satanic Mills
•   FT(Martin Wolf): Why the strength of the dollar matters
•   FT(Robert Armstrong): The pound is not alone
•   WSJ(Editorial Board): The Alternative to Britain’s Trussonomics
•   WSJ(Editorial Board): Manchin’s Permitting Bill Has a Poison Pill
•   NYT(Ilia Krasilshchik): Russians Are Terrified and Have Nowhere to Turn
•   Bloomberg(Therese Raphael, Dan Hanson): Truss and Kwarteng Must Claw Back Credibility. Can They Do It?
•   Bloomberg(Leonid Bershidsky): Putin's Ukraine War Has Come Home to Russia

Monday, September 26, 2022

Global Economic Monitor 220927

(Introduction)

[Markets]
※   Fed rate hikes have investors 'throwing in the towel'
※   Casinos jump as Macau allows tour groups after nearly 3 years
※   Indexes: Dow -1.11%, S&P 500 -1.03%, Nasdaq -0.60%
※   Sterling falls below $1.07 despite central bank and government reassurances about interest rates and stable finances


[Indicators]
•   US Aug. Economic activity(Chicago Fed): Chicago Fed national activity index unchanged in August
•   Germany Sep. Ifo business climate: German Business Confidence Slides Further on Energy Concerns
•   Argentina Jul. Economic activity: Argentina’s Economy Stalled as Inflation Spiked in July


[Lawmakers & Policies]


[News]
※   Research body says loss of output could be larger if Europe faces energy shortages during a severe winter
•   헤럴드경제(P1): 상방압력 곳곳에...高苦물가


[Opinions]
•   Project Syndicate(Robert D. Kaplan): Russia, Iran, and the Perils of Post-Autocracy
•   Project Syndicate(Abe Shinzō): Realizing a Free and Open Indo-Pacific
•   Project Syndicate(Mark Leonard): Preparing for the Long War
•   Project Syndicate(Andrés Velasco): God Save the Pound?
•   Project Syndicate(Bill Emmott): Giorgia Meloni’s Moment
•   FT(Gideon Rachman): Putin’s nuclear threats cannot be ignored
•   FT(Robert Armstrong): What’s next
•   WSJ(Editorial Board): The U.S.-U.K. Trade Fail
•   WSJ(Editorial Board): The Italian Right’s Moment of Truth
•   WSJ(Editorial Board): A Gore-Kerry Political Climate Hit
•   WSJ(Walter Russell Mead): Liz Truss’s Big Gamble on the U.K. Economy
•   NYT(Mattia Ferraresi): Giorgia Meloni Is Extreme, but She’s No Tyrant
•   Bloomberg(Mohamed A. El-Erian): Why Investors Are Facing Even More Market Instability
•   Bloomberg(David Fickling): Commodity Markets Brace for a Rampant Dollar
•   Bloomberg(Allison Schrager): Norman Rockwell Policies Won’t Save the US Economy
•   한경(이우종): 美 인플레 감축법 처방책은