Wednesday, April 30, 2025

Global Economic Monitor 250501

(Introduction)

[Markets]
※   First-quarter U.S. GDP contracts
※   S&P 500 registers seventh straight daily advance
※   Crude notches biggest monthly decline in 3 1/2 years


[Indicators]
•   US Mar. Personal spending·income: US Consumer Spending Jumps While Key Inflation Gauge Slows Down
•   Japan Mar. Industrial production: Japan Factory Output Falls in Sign of Frailty Before Tariffs
•   Japan Mar. Retail sales: Japan March retail sales rise 3.1% year/year


[World]


[Korea]


[Opinions]
•   Project Syndicate(Nouriel Roubini): America’s Economic Tailwinds Will Override Trump and His Tariffs
•   WSJ(Editorial Board): Tariffs Shrink the U.S. Economy
•   Bloomberg(Daniel Moss): Greenspan Set Carney on Path to Political Stardom
•   Bloomberg(Jonathan Levin): The GDP Drop Isn’t as Bad as It Looks
•   Bloomberg(Javier Blas): Lessons From the First Blackout of the Green Era
•   Bloomberg(Lionel Laurent): Europe, China's New Target Market, May Need a Temu Tax
•   파이낸셜뉴스(사설): 혁신 안 보이는 '항공안전 혁신 방안'

Tuesday, April 29, 2025

Global Economic Monitor 250430

(Introduction)

[Markets]
※   S&P 500 registers sixth straight day of gains
※   Canada's election rebukes Trump
※   US Treasury Secretary Bessent says tariff talks ongoing
※   Consumer expectations hit 13-1/2 year low, job openings fall 3.9%


[Indicators]
•   US Feb. Case–Shiller home price: US Home-Price Gains Eased in February as Listings Increased
•   US Apr. Consumer confidence: US Consumer Confidence Slumps to an Almost Five-Year Low
•   Eurozone Mar. Consumers’ inflation expectations: ECB Says Consumers’ Inflation Expectations Near 1-Year High
•   Eurozone Apr. Economic sentiment: Eurozone Business Sentiment Takes Hit From Tariffs


[World]


[Korea]


[Opinions]
•   Bloomberg(Jonathan Levin): The Tariff Train Wreck Is Foreseeable and Avoidable
•   경향(류덕현): 한국 경제, 0% 성장에 갇히나

Monday, April 28, 2025

Global Economic Monitor 250429

(Introduction)

[Markets]
※   Scant clarity as yet on U.S. trade talks
※   Mega-cap earnings, U.S. jobs and GDP data on tap
※   Global recession risk high due to Trump's tariffs, economists say
※   Canadians vote in election dominated by concerns about Trump


[Indicators]


[World]


[Korea]


[Opinions]
•   WSJ(Editorial Board): Trump and the iPhone Made in India
•   Bloomberg(Daniel Moss): Is America Alone? Not Yet, But It’s Trying
•   매경(사설): 세계를 뒤흔든 트럼프 100일

Sunday, April 27, 2025

Global Economic Monitor 250428

(Introduction)

[Markets]
※   Dollar edges up against euro and yen
※   Alphabet rises on better-than-expected profit
※   Nasdaq ends up more than 1%


[Indicators]
•   China Mar. Industrial profits: China Industrial Profit Rises in March


[World]


[Korea]
•   국토위(김은혜): 다시 불붙은 '재초환 폐지' 논의


[Opinions]
•   Project Syndicate(Maurice Obstfeld): King Dollar’s Shaky Crown
•   Project Syndicate(Marcel Fratzscher): Europe and China Must Unite Against Trump’s Trade Assault
•   WSJ(Editorial Board): Trump’s Smart Tax Decision
•   WSJ(Editorial Board): Kevin Warsh on Fed Policy and Independence
•   WSJ(Editorial Board): When the Wind Didn’t Blow in Germany
•   WSJ(Kenneth Rogoff): The Tax Bill and the Coming Debt Crisis
•   WSJ(Andy Kessler): Capitalism Won the Vietnam War
•   FT(Editorial Board): How to pass unpopular reforms
•   Bloomberg(Jonathan Levin): What the Tomato Teaches Us About Free Trade
•   Bloomberg(Kathryn Anne Edwards): America, Our Long Inflation Nightmare Is Over — for Now
•   Bloomberg(Mary Ellen Klas): A Baby Boom? In This Economy?
•   Bloomberg(Matthew Yglesias): Why the Republicans’ Budget Bill Won’t Add Up
•   경향(우석진): 최상목의 무능과 후안무치
•   경향(강병한): 한덕수의 출마를 권한다