Business Intelligence Monitor 211007

(Introduction)

[Markets]

•   Global: Stocks rebound on progress toward U.S. debt ceiling resolution

•   UK: U.K. Inflation Expectations at 13-Year High Lift Rate-Hike Bets

•   Natural gas: Gas markets whipsaw after Russia offers to stabilise energy prices

※   UK gas contracts for November delivery soar almost 40% before falling back after Putin’s comments

•   Metals: Copper extends losses on worries about China property, growth

•   Grains: Corn, soybean futures fall on pressure from U.S. harvest

•   한국: 금융시장 연일 '휘청'…주식·원화·채권 '트리플 약세'

•   한국: 신재생에너지 확대 눈앞…관련株 '햇살'

•   한국: 두산그룹주 다 내려, 두산중공업 오리콤 6%대 두산 4%대 하락

[Indicators]

•   US Sep. Employment(ADP): U.S. Companies Add Most Jobs in Three Months, ADP Data Show

•   US Weekly Mortgage rates·applications: As mortgage rates shoot even higher, refinance demand plummets 10%

•   Eurozone Aug. Retail sales: Euro zone retail trade weaker than expected in Aug as food sales fall

•   Germany Aug. Factory orders: German industrial orders fall more than expected in August

•   UK Sep. : Shortages and surging prices stunt UK construction growth: PMI

•   Poland Benchmark rate: Poland Unexpectedly Raises Interest Rates After Inflation Surge

•   New Zealand Benchmark rate: New Zealand Raises Interest Rates as Inflation, Housing Pressures Build

•   한국 9월 CPI: 3분기 물가 2.6%↑ 9년여만에 최고…계란·휘발유·전셋값↑

[Trackers]

•   Johns Hopkins University: COVID-19 Global Cases & Deaths

•   Worldometer: COVID Live Update

•   Bloomberg: Covid-19 Vaccine Tracker

•   NYT: Covid-19 Vaccine Tracker: Latest Updates

•   FT: Pandemic crisis: Global economic impact tracker

•   CNN: Tracking America's recovery

•   Bloomberg: Global PMI Tracker

•   Bloomberg: The Covid Resilience Ranking

[News]

•   WSJ: Democrats Weigh GOP Offer for Short-Term Debt-Limit Extension

※   Parties have been at impasse as possible U.S. default looms

•   WSJ: From a Trillion-Dollar Coin to Invoking the 14th Amendment, How the U.S. Could Address the Debt Ceiling

•   WSJ: How Tight Is Trump’s Grip on the GOP? Take a Look at the Ohio Senate Primary

•   WSJ: Coal Shortages Push Up Prices, Weigh on Economies

•   WSJ: Natural Gas Prices Take Wild Ride After Putin Comments

•   WSJ: White House Plans Biden-Xi Call in Coming Weeks

※   Planned meeting follows Beijing stepping up military flights near Taiwan, U.S. exercises east of island

•   WSJ: U.S. Trade Policy Adapts to a China That Will Never Change

•   WSJ: Builders Hunt for Alternatives to Materials in Short Supply

•   WSJ: Biden Administration to Spend $1 Billion to Boost Rapid Covid-19 Tests

•   WSJ: China Would Be Able to Launch Attack on Taiwan by 2025, Island’s Defense Minister Warns

※   Taiwan’s military faces its most dire challenge from Beijing in decades, Chiu Kuo-cheng said after sorties by Chinese fighters and bombers

•   WSJ: Iran’s Armed-Drone Prowess Reshapes Security in Middle East

•   WSJ: Chinese Property Bonds Hammered by Weak September Sales and a Surprise Default

•   WSJ: Facebook Slows New Products to Examine Possible Impact

•   WSJ: GM Sets Ambitious Revenue Target, Challenges Tesla With $30,000 Electric SUV

•   NYT: W.H.O. Approves the First Malaria Vaccine, in a Major Breakthrough

•   NYT: Behind the Global Appeal of ‘Squid Game,’ a Country’s Economic Unease

•   NYT: Why Wall Street Backs China Despite Beijing's Tighter Grip

•   WP: 5 ways this debt ceiling standoff could end

•   WP: Here’s the hard deadline for fixing the debt ceiling crisis (by minting a $1 trillion coin)

•   WP: When will the European Union accept new members? Answer still eludes Balkan leaders.

•   FT: Power crunch in China and India stokes global growth anxiety

•   FT: US considers releasing emergency oil reserves to tame fuel price surge

※   Energy secretary Jennifer Granholm says ‘all tools are on the table’

•   FT: IMF leaves Georgieva’s fate in limbo after inconclusive meeting

•   FT: European industry warns that rising gas prices undermine recovery

•   FT: EU states clash with Brussels over response to gas crisis

•   FT: EU agrees €30bn western Balkans package but no date to join bloc

•   FT: German parties to start three-way talks on coalition led by Social Democrats

•   FT: The souring of the Anglo-French relationship

•   FT: Johnson admits it will ‘take time’ to restructure UK economy

•   FT: UK households warned of further 30% rise in energy bills next year

•   FT: National Grid chief warns of tighter winter electricity supplies

•   FT: UK managers plan slow return to office as Covid concerns remain

•   FT: The importance of what Tai didn’t say

•   FT: Global watchdogs set out guidance on regulating stablecoins

•   FT: Drive for green schemes fuels investment trust funding boom

•   Bloomberg: U.S., OECD Are Quietly Optimistic on Global Tax Deal

•   Bloomberg: Covid Protection Wanes Months After Second Shot, Studies Show

•   Bloomberg: Data on Mixing, Matching Boosters Under FDA Review, Fauci Says

•   Bloomberg: Biden Says US, China Stick to ‘Taiwan Agreement’ After Xi Call

•   Bloomberg: Blinken Urges China to Halt ‘Provocative’ Actions Toward Taiwan

•   Bloomberg: Blinken Urges China to Act Responsibly in Evergrande Crisis

•   Bloomberg: Biden Team Seeks to Pare Back Economic Agenda in Strategy Shift

•   Bloomberg: Biden to Meet With CEOs to Highlight Risk of Debt Default

•   Bloomberg: Why Carlyle CEO Lee Says Many Firms Are Underinvesting in China

•   Bloomberg: ECB Said to Study New Bond-Buying Plan for When Crisis Tool Ends

•   Bloomberg: Merkel Dismisses Russian Role in Europe’s Energy Price Crisis

•   Bloomberg: A Powerful, Right-Wing Party Emerges in Brazil Without Bolsonaro

•   Bloomberg: China Travel During Golden Week Holiday Suggests Weak Spending

•   Bloomberg: Hong Kong Plans Massive City on Chinese Border as Cure for Unrest

•   Bloomberg: Europe Firms Mull Moving Staff From Hong Kong, Chamber Says

•   Bloomberg: Debt-Ceiling Drama to Gin Up Treasuries’ Haven Appeal

•   Bloomberg: Brazil Hedge Funds See Biggest Outflows Since 2017 as Rates Rise

•   Bloomberg: Shock Default in China Has Investors Eyeing Repayment Dates

•   Bloomberg: Treasury Arbitrage Traders Can’t Wait for Fed to Start Tapering

•   Bloomberg: China Tells Gas Importers to Bear High Cost to Fix Energy Crisis

•   Bloomberg: U.S. Shale Producers to See Minimal Expansion Despite Oil Rally

•   Bloomberg: Fracking for Oil, Gas With Electric or Natural Gas Fleets More Common in U.S.

•   Bloomberg: OPEC Says Gas Crisis Shows Energy Transition Is Being Botched

•   Bloomberg: Nvidia Makes Early Concessions in EU’s Review of Arm Deal

•   Bloomberg: Lithium Prices Are Soaring, Sparking More Deals for Key Battery Metal

•   Bloomberg: Russia Considers Unveiling 2060 Net-Zero Goal at COP26 Talks

•   Bloomberg: Only 5% of Europe’s Big Firms on Net-Zero Course, Accenture Says

•   Reuters: IMF sees inflation subsiding in 2022, supply risks may keep it elevated

※   IMF: World Economic Outlook, October 2021 (CH 2,3)

※   The latest World Economic Outlook will be published on October 12, 2021

•   Reuters: Sub-Saharan Africa GDP to grow 3.3% this year, 3.5% in 2022 -World Bank

※   World Bank: Sub-Saharan Africa Exits Recession in 2021 but Recovery Still Vulnerable

•   Reuters: World Bank ups Russia's 2021 GDP forecast but warns of sanctions impact

•   Reuters: Hydrogen, ammonia can help ensure power security in energy transition - IEA

※   IEA: Global Hydrogen Review 2021

•   Reuters: China turns to stranded Australian coal to combat power crunch -trade

•   Reuters: U.S. CDC's Walensky says COVID-19 death 7-day average remains constant at 1,400 per day

•   Reuters: German construction workers threaten nationwide strike for higher wages

•   Reuters: Sweden, Denmark pause Moderna COVID-19 vaccine for younger age groups

•   Reuters: Germany still working on recommendation for COVID-19 booster shot

•   Reuters: Moody's expects more UK energy suppliers to fail as wholesale prices soar

•   Reuters: EU's von der Leyen: "We must invest in renewables for more stable energy prices"

•   Reuters: EU has enough gas for winter, eyes gas market reform - energy chief

•   Reuters: Carbon market not to blame for energy price spike, EU climate chief says

•   Reuters: BOJ's Kuroda says Japan's labour practices keep wage pressures under control

•   Reuters: Russia reports record daily death toll from COVID-19

•   Reuters: Greenpeace calls for end to carbon offsets

•   Reuters: Explainer: Could a 'strategic reserve' ease Europe's gas crisis?

•   Reuters: Analysis: Russia's Gazprom feels the heat over Europe's red-hot gas prices

•   Reuters: Analysis: Buying the dip? Not so fast, some Wall St banks say

•   AP: While US summer surge is waning, more mandates in the works

•   CNN: Goldman Sachs warns of a 'real risk' that America could default on its debt

•   CNBC: Even with current drive to renewables, CO2 emissions will grow through 2050, says U.S. government

※   EIA: International Energy Outlook 2021

•   CNBC: Dr. Gottlieb sees Covid’s ‘pandemic phase’ ending when antiviral pills, kids’ vaccines available

•   CNBC: Latin America and Caribbean Islands have vaccinated just 37% of populations against Covid

•   SCMP: Fantasia downgraded to default status by rating companies as Chinese property sector crisis worsens

•   SCMP: Xinjiang exports rattled by coronavirus outbreaks in Central Asia as risks from US sanctions loom

•   SCMP: First Japan-UK submarine warfare exercise held with China in its sights

•   Nikkei Asia: 240m COVID vaccine doses at risk of waste in Japan, U.S. and Europe

•   Nikkei Asia: 'Kishida shock' to stocks shows fear Japan will slide on reforms

•   Nikkei Asia: Asian Development Bank to fund closures of coal power plants

※   Asakawa says move would shut facilities five or 10 years earlier than planned

•   Nikkei Asia: TSMC weighs response to U.S. call for supply chain disclosures

•   Nikkei Asia: Hitachi-ABB wins $900m order for Egypt-Saudi power link

•   Economic Times: Indians usher in this festive season with higher bills, looming inflation

•   Economic Times: Consumption and external sectors showing signs of fatigue, cautions Nomura

•   Economic Times: Delayed recovery greatest risk to pandemic-hit Indian economy

•   Economic Times: Impact of protectionist measures on global economy has never been positive: Report

•   MINING.com: Iron ore price rout hacks $160 billion off top mining stocks

•   AppleInsider: Supply chain issues could affect iPhone 13 revenue, analyst says

•   DIGITIMES: TSMC to expand 7nm and 28nm fab capacities

•   매경(P1): 한전 신재생 부담, 5년뒤 8조로 급증

※   산업부: 「신재생에너지법 시행령」개정안 입법예고

•   매경: [단독] 文정부 태양광 보조금 퍼주기 내년 3500억 달해 2년새 2배로

•   매경: 태양광·풍력 수입 기자재 90%가 중국産

•   매경(P1): 정부 결국 상속세 개편 검토 나섰다…홍남기 "곧 국회 보고할 것"

•   매경(P1): "현대차 정밀 제조기술 활용…가장 완벽한 로봇 만들겠다"

•   매경: "실수요자 대출도 상환능력 내에서"

•   매경: "입주 코앞인데 어디서 돈 구하나"…국민은행 지점별로 대출 20억 제한

•   매경: 청년 5명중 1명은 "그냥 놀아요"…나라 경제 손실 연 62조원 달한다

•   매경: 먹는 코로나 치료제 2만명분 계약

•   매경: 박기영 신임 한은 금통위원 "정책낼때 기후위험 감안할것"

•   매경: 전세계 인플레·테이퍼링에…"원화값 1200원선 무너질것"

•   매경: 현대重그룹, 친환경에 올해 1조 투자…'수소 삼각편대' 띄운다

•   매경: 세계지식포럼서 머리 맞댔다…글로벌 ESG 전문가들 해법은

•   매경: 포스코 '탈탄소 리더십'에 세계 철강사 총출동

•   매경: "편의점 음식을 드론으로 배달받는다고?" 가평서 세븐일레븐 시범사업 나선다

•   한경(P1): 삼성전자, 2025년 2나노 반도체 만든다

•   한경: 초미세 반도체 조기양산 승부수…삼성 파운드리 "TSMC 잡겠다"

•   한경(P1): "디지털 전환, 5년이 데드라인"

•   한경: "해외여행 큰 장 선다"…'야놀자·하나투어' 전격 동맹에 '발칵'

•   한경: "예측·업무효율성 높이는 DX 가속화…AI·클라우드가 생사 가를 것"

•   한경: "北, 한국정치에 영향주려 한다 南北정상 화상회담 가능성"

•   한경: 기업 옥죄는 5敵에 신음…"해외보다 국내 리스크 더 커져"

•   한경: 탄소세 도입, 법인세 인상 공약…"선거가 두렵다"

•   한경: 외국 기업도 "복잡한 규제가 투자 걸림돌"

•   한경: 39일 만에…갤폴드3·플립3 판매 100만대 돌파

•   한경: SK바사 "국제 코로나 백신 내년에도 생산"

•   서경(P1): 中원료 끊긴 반도체부품사···'셧다운 위기' 현실화

•   서경: 반도체 원료값 3배 치솟아···"수입 대체루트 찾기도 막막"

•   서경: 도금강판·TV패널값 40% 급등···잘나가던 가전마저 수익 '먹구름'

•   서경(P1): "대출규제로 실수요자 5.7만세대 입주대란 우려"

•   서경: 총수 지분 팔아야 할 기업만 709곳···외국자본 먹잇감 불보듯

•   서경: 해고자도 노조 가입 '勞로 기운 운동장' ···경영계 "불법행위, 문제 제기조차 못해"

•   서경: “불법 폐쇄 월성 1호기, 매몰비용 보전 안돼”

•   서경: 대기업집단 기업결합 심사, 5년간 918건 모두 승인

•   서경: [단독]국내 금융사, 헝다 익스포져 20억 불과···큰 불은 피했다

•   서경: "주문하고 차 받기까지 수개월"···반도체 수급난에 수입차도 '급제동'

•   조선: 돌파감염 20% 넘어... 석달새 1만여명 늘었다

•   조선: 잔인한 9월 이어 불안한 10월? “코스피 올해 2800도 무너질수도”

•   조선: 기재부 세수 예측 보니… “증시 안좋고 집값 더 뛴다”

•   조선비즈: 전경련 “글로벌 혁신기업 167개 중 한국 기업은 4개뿐”

•   조선비즈: 빌라·단독주택도 ‘매매 대신 증여’...역대 최고치 기록

•   조선비즈: 中 ‘헝다 악재’ 만난 건설기계, 북미·인도·아프리카로 눈 돌린다

•   중앙: 배터리 또다른 전쟁, 광물을 확보하라

•   중앙: 불붙은 LPG 값, 석유화학도 가스회사도 운다

•   동아: “접종률 80∼90%는 돼야 ‘위드 코로나’로 갈 수 있어”

•   문화: 中전력난·국내 전기료 추가인상 조짐… 韓기업들 ‘비상’

•   문화: “생산수준으로 평가하는 GDP계산법… 코로나 비용도 반영해야”

•   한국(P1): 전국이 인정한 '수소산업특별시 창원'… 2021그린뉴딜엑스포서 '호평'

•   한국: 현대차 아산공장 가동률, 첫 50% 미만 '후진'...산업계 덮친 글로벌 공급망 쇼크

•   국민: 버거 세트에 감튀가 없다… 글로벌 물류대란에 수급 비상

•   서울: 머나먼 백신주권… 국가예방접종 백신 자급률 27%에 그쳐

•   한겨레(P1): 가계 보유 땅 32%, 상위 1%에 쏠렸다

•   머니투데이(P1): 1인세대 사상 첫 40% 돌파…'나혼자 산다' 늘고, '세대분리'도 늘고

•   머니투데이: "탄소중립은 지구공동체 사명…수소·그린뉴딜로 '녹색전환' 나선다"

•   머니투데이: "탄소중립과 그린뉴딜, 반드시 가야할 길"…세계는 이미 달린다

•   머니투데이: "기술 자립 인상적"···엑스포서 베일 벗은 K그린뉴딜 '면면'

•   머니투데이: 그린뉴딜 밸류체인 구축의 기틀 '선순환과 기술력'

•   머니투데이: 인프라의 힘' 공공 숨은 노력이 탄소중립 앞당긴다

•   머니투데이: 연구자 '피·땀·눈물'에 수소 상용화 '바짝'…'R&D 힘' 뽐냈다

•   머니투데이: 공대생이 반한 두산…"풍력부터 수소연료전지까지 1등"

•   헤럴드경제(P1): 변동성 장세...노후 장기투자 돈 몰린다

•   파이낸셜뉴스(P1): "美 반도체자료 요청, 우리기업 우려 커"

•   파이낸셜뉴스: 스마트폰 OLED패널 4개중 3개는 삼성

•   아시아경제(P1): 신차판매, 넷 중 하나 친환경

•   디지털타임스(P1): [기획] 엎친 에너지 대란, 덮친 스태그 공포

•   디지털타임스: [커지는 스태그의 공포] "선진국 경기회복속 원자잿값 치솟아, 장기화땐 수출기업 직격탄"

•   디지털타임스: "10월말 위드코로나, 확진자 급증 가장 우려"

•   디지털타임스: 탄소중립 정책 외면… 신평 3사, 발전사 회사채에 A등급 남발

•   이데일리(P1): 마지막 돈줄' 쥐어짜 버티는데…정부는 "손실보상 전액 어렵다"

•   연합: 오늘 2천400명대 예상…추석이후 비수도권서도 유행 확산 가속화

•   연합: 4시간만에 16∼17세 20%가 접종 예약…예약률 얼마나 올라갈까

•   e대한경제: 잇단 반도체 경기 하락 신호…삼성·하이닉스 실적 영향은?

•   e대한경제: SK E&S, 亞 수소 시장 진출 본격화…플러그파워와 합작법인 설립

•   더구루: 서부발전, '990억원' 투자 익산 2단계 연료전지 발전사업 진행

•   에너지경제: 글로벌 전력대란에 신규 석탄발전 힘 실린다…"정부, 전력수급 현실론 기울어"

•   에너지경제: [국감] 김성환 "산업부, 2030 NDC 위해 폐쇄 필요한 석탄발전 현황 파악 못해"

•   전자신문(P1): 현대차 정의선號 1년, '미래 모빌리티' 선봉에 서다

•   전자신문(P1): '세계 AI 구루' 한자리에…'삼성 AI 포럼' 내달 개최

•   로봇신문: [단독]2022년도 로봇부문 예산 '1805억원'

[Opinions]

•   Project Syndicate(Ashley Alder, Jon Cunliffe): Global Standards for Stablecoins

•   Project Syndicate(Barry Eichengreen): Dancing with the Debt Ceiling

•   Project Syndicate(Paola Subacchi): A Made-in-China Financial Crisis?

•   Project Syndicate(Kishore Mahbubani): The Genius of Jokowi

•   Project Syndicate(Ricardo Hausmann): ESG Will Not Help the Global South

•   Project Syndicate(Kris Peeters): Transport's Make-or-Break Decade

•   FT(Editorial Board): The bumpy ride to a new UK economic model

•   FT(Editorial Board): The Fed’s trading scandal undermines public trust

•   FT(Editorial Board): The IMF needs an ombudsman with clout

•   FT(Robert Shrimsley): Boris Johnson can battle business but he can’t ignore economics

•   FT(Brooke Masters): Memo to countries going green: don’t be like the UK

•   FT(Lena Komileva): Stagflation risk returns for investors as gas prices surge

•   FT(John Redwood): Financial cleansing deters investment in China

•   WSJ(Editorial Board): Boris Johnson’s Autumn of Discontent

•   WSJ(Daniel Henninger): Can Manchin and Sinema Save All 50 U.S. States?

•   WSJ(James Freeman): Doesn’t Anyone in the U.S. Government Like the U.S.?

•   WSJ(Karl Rove): Why Has Biden Surrendered to the Left?

•   WSJ(Dimitris Valatsas): As Central Banks Taper, Investors Should Take Cover

•   WSJ(John Lee): China’s Unstable Political Economy

•   NYT(Thomas L. Friedman): A Scary Energy Winter Is Coming. Don’t Blame the Greens.

•   NYT(Peter Coy): What a Trillion-Dollar Coin Can Teach Us

•   WP(Paul Waldman): Why Republicans think they can get away with setting fire to the economy

•   WP(Leana S. Wen): Here’s what it will take to end the covid-19 pandemic

•   Bloomberg(Editorial Board): Democrats Can End the Debt-Limit Drama, If They Want

•   Bloomberg(Bill Dudley): The Fed Is Fighting the Wrong Inflation War

•   Bloomberg(Daniel Moss): New Zealand Abandons Covid-Zero. Here Come Interest-Rate Hikes

•   Bloomberg(John Authers): Durable Inflation Risks Are Rising, May Be Severe Test for Fed

•   Bloomberg(Shuli Ren): Fantasia Opens a Nasty New Chapter in the China Evergrande Saga

•   Bloomberg(Lionel Laurent): Bitcoin and Crypto-Mining Will Not Save the Planet or Your Hometown

•   Bloomberg(Tim Culpan): How a Global Foundry Is Losing Money in a Chip Boom

•   Bloomberg(Mark Gilbert): Inflation Gauges Continue to Go Up Belying the Bank of England's Transience

•   CNN(Mark Wolfe): Sky high natural gas prices will hurt low-income Americans the most this winter

•   MarketWatch(Cam Hui): This volatile stock market could be ready for a 'melt up' through the end of 2021

•   Reuters(John Kemp): How high are oil prices really?

•   매경(사설): 태양광 의무비율 높이는 정부 전기료 감당할 수 있겠나

•   매경(박봉권): 100만 탈원전 반대 서명

•   한경(사설): 졸속 추진한 태양광·풍력, 남의 잔칫상만 차려줄 판

•   한경(강경민): 탄소중립 오히려 훼방놓은 환경단체

•   서경(한기석): ‘2050 탄소중립’ 말로 하나

•   서경(현정택): 공동부유론 속의 중국경제위기

•   조선(안준호): 진실 감춘 탄소중립위 해명

•   문화(사설): 글로벌 에너지대란 악화일로, 탈원전 죄책 더 커졌다