※ Killing of Iranian commander douses equity market rally
※ Oil, gold prices surge after strike in Baghdad
※ Scramble for safety boosts yen, Swiss franc, Bunds
※ European, U.S. shares fall less than 1%
• 한국: ‘반도체 반등’ SK하이닉스 역대 최고가
[Indicators]
• 한국 3분기 가계·개인사업자 부채: 가계·개인사업자 부채 사상 첫 2000조원 돌파
• 한국 12월 주택가격(KB): 다같이 오르던 서울 아파트 규제 이후 봤더니… "9억이하만 무풍지대"
• 한국 12월말 외환보유액: 작년말 외환보유액 4088억달러… 3개월 연속 사상 최대
• 베트남 2019년 재정수입: Việt Nam gains record in State budget revenue in 2019
• 인도네시아 2019년 소비자물가: Record-low inflation sparks worry over household spending
• 영국 12월 건설업PMI: Civil engineering activity declines at fastest pace since 2009
• 미국 11월 건설지출: U.S. construction spending rises 0.6% in November
• 미국 12월 ISM제조업PMI: U.S. Manufacturing Shrinks for Fifth Month
• 미국 4분기 GDP Nowcasting: Jan 03, 2020: New York Fed Staff Nowcast
• 미국 4분기 GDP Nowcasting: GDPNow - Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
• 글로벌 2019년 자동차판매: World auto sales suffer steepest drop since global financial crisis
[News]
• WP: Trump upended three decades of U.S. strategy with North Korea, but the gamble has failed to pay off
• Reuters: Exclusive: China to keep same inflation target in 2020 despite food price spike - sources
• CNBC: Why the killing of Iran's top military leader could be a longer term catalyst for oil prices
• MarketWatch: CES 2020: Where have the tech companies gone?
• Fox Business: Senate could approve USMCA as early as Friday: Navarro
• SCMP: China-made exports of Ford, Tesla, BMW set to surge as Beijing opens auto industry, government says
• SCMP: Chinese manufacturing hub Suzhou eyes increased foreign investment as it chases fresh growth
• SCMP: China’s sovereign currency ‘progressing well’, central bank says, but there’s still no launch date
• Global Times: China aims to curb household debt ratio, serving real economy
• 매경(P1): 전문가 70% "올해 서울 집값 더 오른다"
• 매경(P1): 뚝심의 마크롱 `퍼주는 복지 끝…이젠 일하자`
• 매경: "韓경제, 민간 역동성 회복 최우선 과제"
• 매경(P1): 일상속으로 들어온 미래기술…새 10년 키워드는 `디지털 전환`
• 매경(P1): 라잔 교수 "이란 뇌관 터지면 세계 3% 성장 힘들다"
• 매경: 文대통령, 남북 철도·도로연결 재언급할듯
• 매경: 정세균 "일자리·소득분배 정책 문제있어"
• 매경: 갤럭시S20·갤폴드2 내달 美서 전격 공개
• 매경: 전세자금 대출 막으니…서울 반전세 `급증`
• 한경(P1): 싼 중국산에 밀려…태양광 늘릴수록 국내기업은 파산·감원 속출
• 한경(P1): 평택항 달려간 문재인 대통령 "2030년 4대 수출강국 도약"
• 한경(P1): 국가의 흥망성쇠 달렸다…'골든사이클' 올라타라
• 한경(P1): 빛·소음 극한 환경에서도 TV 최적화…삼성 "AI가 뭔지 보여주겠다"
※ 추가 투자 예상 수혜주로는 원익IPS·에스에프에이(056190)·아이씨디(040910)·한솔케미칼(014680)·덕산네오룩스(213420)·두산솔루스(336370) 등이 꼽혔다.
• 서경(P1): 美·이란 전시상황...더 어두워진 韓경제
• 서경(P1): 국내기업 절반 "아직 경기 바닥 찍지 않았다"
• 조선(P1): 美국방, 김정은 행동따라 한미훈련 재개 검토
• 조선: 北 "우리의 존엄을 침해하면 강력 타격"
• 조선(P1): 탈원전 후 석탄발전 급증한 독일… 대기질 나빠져 年1100명 더 사망
• IT조선: [2020 키워드 #20] ④ 모빌리티
• 중앙(P1): 미국·이란 전운…한국, 호르무즈 파병 딜레마
• 동아(P1): 기업인들 “산안법 시행땐 툭하면 공장 멈출 판”
• 동아(P1): 칸막이 행정에 좌초되는 유망 新사업
• 동아사이언스: 북한 갈탄 활용해 수소경제 앞당긴다
• 문화(P1): 文정부 경제 ‘낙제’… “C·D·F학점” 77%
• 한겨레(P1): 최저임금 노동자, 시급 올랐어도 월급은 줄었다
• 머니투데이(P1): AI·항공 모빌리티·5G…'미래 10년' 이끌 기술은?
• 머니투데이(P1): 전세대출 4년새 3배 늘었는데.. 정부 손 못대는 이유
• 머니투데이: "10년 먹거리 찾는다"..CEO 서밋 된 CES
• 머니투데이: 조정지역 일시적 2주택자 1년내 팔아야 양도세 '0'
• 머니투데이: 현대차, 새해 '수소시스템' 2만대 생산체제…"본격 외부 판매"
※ 헤럴드경제: 외교부도 ‘원전 세일즈’ 나섰다
• 헤럴드경제: 대기업 ‘회사채’ 선호…은행권 대출잔액 급감
• 헤럴드경제: 서울 아파트, 지역·가격대·매매·전세 따라 ‘차별화’ 뚜렷
• 헤럴드경제: ‘바퀴달린 거대한 스마트폰’…전기차 ‘2020 도로’를 삼킨다
• 파이낸셜뉴스(P1): 현대·기아차 전기차 '질주' 수출 2배 넘게 뛰었다
• 파이낸셜뉴스: "해외 인프라 시장 진출 1조 금융지원"
• 파이낸셜뉴스: 퀀텀닷이냐 올레드냐… CES서 진검승부
• 파이낸셜뉴스(P1): 소부장 외국기업 인수때 稅부담 줄어든다
• 파이낸셜뉴스(P1): [단독]삼성, 대만 TSMC 맹추격... 6나노 파운드리 양산체제 돌입
• 파이낸셜뉴스: 서울 집값 4대 변수…추가 규제·경기회복·금리인하·4월 총선
• 파이낸셜뉴스: "보유세 선진국의 절반이지만 고가 다주택자엔 징벌적 수준"
• 파이낸셜뉴스: 경제심리 개선… 금통위 금리인하 부담 덜었다
• 파이낸셜뉴스: 국내 원유 수급엔 큰 문제 없지만… 정유업계 ‘촉각’
• 아시아경제: [신년 인터뷰]"美中무역전쟁 리스크 올해도 여전…유럽으로 번진다"
• 아시아경제: 중저가폰 겨냥하는 애플 …"올해 아이폰SE2 포함 6종 출시"
• 디지털타임스(P1): 시동 건 정의선의 `모션 랩`… 美시장 출사표
• 이데일리(P1): 투자 확대 외치면서 기업 세부담은 모르쇠..경제정책 엇박자
• 아시아타임즈: 신사1구역 재건축 수주전‥시공자 선정 향방은?
※ 신사1구역 재건축사업 시공자 입찰에 금호산업과 두산건설이 제안서를 제출
• Renewables Now: Suzlon proposes 68% discount in debt restructuring - report
• Construction Equipment: Doosan Bobcat Launches Dealer Trade-in Program
• MINING.com: How to facilitate the transition out of coal
• MINING.com: Top 50 biggest mining companies - MINING.COM
• MIT News: Top MIT research stories of 2019
• MIT Technology Review: Why the quantum internet should be built in space
• 전자신문(P1): 삼성전자, 올해 메모리 설비 증설에 '17조원' 푼다
• 전자신문(P1): 삼성-LG-현대차, CES서 'AI·플라잉카'로 혁신 알린다
• 전자신문: 삼성전자 차기 폴더블 스마트폰, LTE로 나온다
• 전자신문: 4분기 부진 삼성·LG···새해 실적 턴어라운드 기대
• 전자신문: [해설]삼성, 올해 낸드플래시 투자 집중 배경은 '초격차'
• 전자신문: 산업부, 'LNG 개별요금제' 최종 승인…전기요금 내려갈까
• ZDNet Korea: 광산 현장에 무인·자동화 스마트마이닝 도입된다 - ZDNet korea
• Phone Arena: Leaked Samsung promo reveals when the Galaxy 20 line and the Galaxy Fold 2 could be unveiled
• Inside EVs: Tesla Production And Deliveries Graphed Through Q4 2019
• Inside EVs: Quarterly Plug-In EV Sales Scorecard
• Inside EVs: Tesla Cuts China-Made Model 3 Prices Noticeably
• Hannover Messe News: Semiconductors back in full swing in 2020
• Robotics & Automation News: Emerging trends in the world of autonomous vehicles
• Robotics & Automation News: Fetch Robotics launches new system for real-time inventory visualization in warehouses
• Robotics & Automation News: Geek Plus sells 10,000 warehouse robots
• Robot Report: How to cut the cost of manufacturing
• Dronelife: Japanese Firm Tests Heavy-duty Delivery Drone
• Nikkei Asian Review: 'Winter' is coming for Asia's unicorns in 2020
• Nikkei Asian Review: 5G hype and China absence set tone for first tech event of new decade
• Nikkei Asian Review: Global wind power players see Japan as next money-spinner
• Japan Times: Honda plans to launch 'level 3' autonomous vehicle this year
• Economic Times: US Iran: Inflation, CAD under US-Iran tensions ahead of Budget
• Economic Times: Further escalation in US-Iran tension may affect India's exports: FIEO
• Business Standard: India Inc's overseas borrowing up 6.5% to $2.12 billion in Nov 2019: Report
• Hindustan Times: Govt unlikely to announce capital infusion for PSU banks in Budget - business news
• Jakarta Post: Power outages in over 740 Jakarta neighborhoods, 107 in Banten following massive floods
• Viet Nam News: 5G key for Việt Nam in Industry 4.0
[Opinions]
• Project Syndicate(Angus Deaton): Inequality in Cambridge and Chicago
• Project Syndicate(Michael Spence): What My Younger Self Never Expected
• Project Syndicate(Stephen S. Roach): The Myth of Global Decoupling
• Project Syndicate(Alissa Amico): How Ownership Concentration Is Happening, and Why It Matters
• Project Syndicate(José Antonio Ocampo): Can Latin America Avoid Another Lost Decade?
• Project Syndicate(Shlomo Ben-Ami): What Does Suleimani’s Death Change?
• Project Syndicate(Richard N. Haass): The Suleimani Assassination and US Strategic Incoherence
• Project Syndicate(Abbas Milani): The Post-Suleimani View from Iran
• Project Syndicate(Nina L. Khrushcheva): The Assassin’s False Creed
• Project Syndicate(Djavad Salehi-Isfahani): Trump’s Blind March to War
• FT(Edward Luce): Democracies are ill-suited to deal with climate change
• FT(David Gardner): Soleimani assassination risks war between US and Iran
• FT(Michael Mackenzie): Stakes are high for investors betting on 2020 rebound
• FT(Lex): US air strike/oil: Russian redoubt
• FT(John Dizard): US-China financial war is just beginning to take shape
• FT(Richard Haass): America must be ready for Iranian retaliation
• FT(John Dizard): US-China financial war is just beginning to take shape
• FT(Tim Harford): Robots will not be coming for our jobs just yet
• WSJ(Holman W. Jenkins, Jr.): On Iran, Trump Says ‘Yes We Can’
• WSJ(Joe Lieberman): The Democrats and Iran
• WSJ(Joseph C. Sternberg): Is America Ready to Win the China Trade War?
• WSJ(Reuel Marc Gerecht): The Bloody Legacy of Qasem Soleimani
• WSJ(Andy Kessler): Tech Will Rule These ’20s, Too
• NYT(Paul Krugman): Apocalypse Becomes the New Normal
• NYT(Thomas L. Friedman): Trump Kills Iran’s Most Overrated Warrior
• NYT(Bret Stephens): Suleimani Died as He Had Killed
• NYT(Editorial Board): Congress, Stop President Trump’s Rush to War With Iran
• NYT(Susan E. Rice): The Dire Consequences of Trump’s Suleimani Decision
• NYT(Daniel Benaim): Trump Hurts an Ally and Helps the Terrorists
• NYT(Ryan C. Crocker): The Long Battle With Iran
• NYT(Barbara Slavin): Qassim Suleimani’s Killing Will Unleash Chaos
• NYT(Gregorio Duvivier): Bolsonaro Doesn’t Deserve the Nickname ‘Trump of the Tropics.’ (Not Even That!)
• WP(David Ignatius): We’ve been inching toward war with Iran for decades. Will it ever end?
• WP(Henry Olsen): The Soleimani assassination could have dangerous ripples around the world
• WP(Jennifer Rubin): Why lying about an ‘imminent’ attack would matter
• WP(Kathleen Parker): Soleimani’s death shouldn’t come as a surprise. We should be questioning the timing.
• WP(Josh Rogin): America’s enemies are calling Trump’s bluffs
• WP(Palesa Morudu): South Africa's Eskom blackouts were a dark end to the decade
• WP(Robert Satloff): How the Soleimani assassination could pave the way for a new deal with Iran
• WP(Hugh Hewitt): Trump’s killing of Soleimani had to be done to protect American lives
• Bloomberg(Mohamed A. El-Erian): Muted Market Reaction to Iran Strike Overlooks Key Uncertainties
• Bloomberg(Noah Smith): Global Youth Protests at Risk of Spreading to China
• Bloomberg(Liam Denning): Soleimani Strike Isn’t Business as Usual for Oil
• Bloomberg(Liam Denning): The 2010s Were Energy’s Decade of the Great Rewiring
• Bloomberg(John Authers): Market Disruptions But No Black Swans in Middle East (Yet)
• Bloomberg(Julian Lee): Will Oil Become a Weapon of Choice for Iran?
• Bloomberg(Eli Lake): Trump’s Deadly Message to Iran’s Terrorist Regime
• BBloomberg(Hal Brands): Trump’s Iran Policy Spirals Toward Control
• Bloomberg(Andreas Kluth): How Dangerous Is Germany’s Far Right?
• Bloomberg(Satyajit Das): Economic ‘Doom Loops’ Get Harder to Avoid in 2020s
• Bloomberg(Narayana Kocherlakota): Five Big Macroeconomic Questions for 2020 and Beyond
• Bloomberg(Jim Bianco): Central Banks Are the Biggest Risk to the Economy in 2020
• Bloomberg(Bobby Ghosh): Good Riddance to Qassem Soleimani
• Bloomberg(Hussein Ibish): War With Iran Is Not Inevitable
• CNBC(Jake Novak): Op-Ed: Trump just took out the world's biggest bad guy Qasem Soleimani
• CNN(Fareed Zakaria): President Trump's Michael Corleone moment in the Middle East
• CNN(Richard Galant): 'World War III' was trending
• CNN(Michael D'Antonio): Trump threatens the stability of the world
• CNN(Christiane Amanpour et al): Soleimani killing: What happens next?
• CNN(Michael Ware): The killing of Iran's top general won't stop a war. The US and Iran have already been fighting for more than 40 years
• CNN(David A. Andelman): Trump's America stands utterly alone
• CNN(Peter Bergen): The killing of Iran's General Soleimani is hugely significant
• CNN(Peter Bergen): Trump has created his biggest foreign policy crisis yet
• MarketWatch(Mark Hulbert): The single best investment for the next decade
• MarketWatch(Paul Brandus): The only certainty about a U.S.-Iran war is uncertainty
• MarketWatch(Quentin Fottrell): Despite Iranian demonstrators chanting ‘Death to America,’ Qassem Soleimani was a polarizing figure in Iran
• MarketWatch(Stratfor analysts): Here’s how the killing of a top Iranian military leader will reverberate in the Middle East and beyond
• MarketWatch(Howard Gold): Why 2020 looks good for stocks and the economy — with one big exception
• 매경(박봉권): 월성 1호기는 아무런 잘못이 없다
• 한경(사설): 순리를 거스를 때 일어날 모든 재앙 보여주는 '억지 탈원전'
• 조선(사설): 독일의 '탈원전 피해' 한국은 더 극심하게 겪게 될 것
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